ChrisM Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Yeah DXR is the only place in SNE that has any real tstorm potential Just cause of that post ill get a ripper tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 if you loop this time sensitive image you can see one of the better illustrations of a phenomenon I've often discussed in the past, where a dank heavy cold stagnated air mass gets dug in between the cordillera west, and the ocean east, and the rest of the atmosphere just rolls over it: http://weather.cod.e...ex.php?load=vis Without any mechanics to move this crap ...it may as well be L.A. Basin smog - trapped! I have seen these sort of set ups survive 2 or even 3 synoptic cycles and still manage to persist. It's a condition unique to spring in New England. Was June 2009 similar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Just cause of that post ill get a ripper tomorrow Are you home yet in harwinton? NW CT might have a chance too....most of the good elevated instability will lie to the sw of the WF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Are you home yet in harwinton? NW CT might have a chance too....most of the good elevated instability will lie to the sw of the WF. Driving home soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 3, 2012 Author Share Posted May 3, 2012 going to be some pretty intense heat just to my sw, hopefully thinks time out right for some severe tomorrow afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Driving home soon Good stuff. Yeah my buddies got home from uconn today. Lucky bastards are done before a lot of people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Severe tomorrow? GFS unstable in western CT tomorrow but pretty hilarious with NAM-style dew points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Severe tomorrow? GFS unstable in western CT tomorrow but pretty hilarious with NAM-style dew points Going on air with that! Does Wiz have a game to score? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Does Wiz have a game to score? Lol. If there's a chance for severe wx it wouldn't matter if he was on tap to be the live broadcaster for a Whale game. Severe and all that leads up to severe are all that matters to Wiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Boundary finally lifted a bit here. Made it to 80ish. Absolutely beautiful. Storms firing up again today across the boundary. Very weak wind fields and sufficient instability; sort of reminds me of seabreeze popcorn storms in SoFla. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Lol. If there's a chance for severe wx it wouldn't matter if he was on tap to be the live broadcaster for a Whale game. Severe and all that leads up to severe are all that matters to Wiz. Just like June 1st last year??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 49/49, socked in all day, east wind, pea soup fog, drizzle. If only it could stay this way until the snow flies in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Boundary finally lifted a bit here. Made it to 80ish. Absolutely beautiful. Storms firing up again today across the boundary. Very weak wind fields and sufficient instability; sort of reminds me of seabreeze popcorn storms in SoFla. You're in an utterly different world down there compared to the conditions we are suffering with up this way. Cloudy, occasional drizzle, temps locked 48-53 across the area. Hi Res imagery shows perfectly the pool of stagnated stuck cold dense air. Until mechanics come along sufficient to remove this, it doesn't appear it's going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 We got up to 60 here after the clouds finally broke in the late afternoon. Mid 80's in western NY I see. 49/49, socked in all day, east wind, pea soup fog, drizzle. If only it could stay this way until the snow flies in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 sneaky event those are the best Severe tomorrow? GFS unstable in western CT tomorrow but pretty hilarious with NAM-style dew points Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Tomorrow is a day where we don't really need much sfc-based instability to get some strong storms. The elevated instability (thanks in part to steep lapse rates and WAA in the llvls), steep lapse rates, and some helicity would be enough to yield to a strong storm or too with hail likely the main threat. Take a look at what's occurring near Ithica, NY right now as a prime example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 The euro and especially the 6z NAM really get the wf further NE today than they were previously. The NAM clears it through EEN and ORH by late in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Looks like the heavier stuff is sliding to my SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Looks like the heavier stuff is sliding to my SW Yup--missing me bigtime here with only .05" overnight. Hopefully something will fire up later on or else this will be another cool, dank day. 47.0/47, foggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Yup--missing me bigtime here with only .05" overnight. Hopefully something will fire up later on or else this will be another cool, dank day. 47.0/47, foggy We had a few heavier showers but the bulk of the action looks like it was farther south. Socked in, cool and damp. Suits me just fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Hmm...looks like there might be a lot less rain then models had yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Hmm...looks like there might be a lot less rain then models had yesterday. Continuation of fog/drizzle begetting fog/drizzle? Persistence ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 looks like we are just about out of the worst of this stretch of grey skies/cool temps. slightly better % of the region sees some breaks of sun today, more tomorrow, then sunday most of us are cleared out finally. disappointing the rain shield split around a lot of the region. but still a good signal for more rain next week so all is not lost on that front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I think I'm about to get into some clearing here soon, can't see any breaks off to the west though. Then again, can't see very far as I'm flanked by 1400' hills to that direction just three miles away lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I think I'm about to get into some clearing here soon, can't see any breaks off to the west though. Then again, can't see very far as I'm flanked by 1400' hills to that direction just three miles away lol I wouldn't be so sure. I see a pretty solid shield all the way back to the Binghamton, NY area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I wouldn't be so sure. I see a pretty solid shield all the way back to the Binghamton, NY area... LOL, the product I was looking at was from LAST YEAR's May 4th...wtf? Yeah it kind of does look crappy to the west now that I went somewhere else. lol, whoops. Oh well, according to MRG 50 degrees and clouds is the best way to live life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 LOL, the product I was looking at was from LAST YEAR's May 4th...wtf? Yeah it kind of does look crappy to the west now that I went somewhere else. lol, whoops. Oh well, according to MRG 50 degrees and clouds is the best way to live life. the good thing is the mid-level stuff breaks not to far to your NW and the low-level junk is thinner not too far from you so you'll probably start to brighten/break out before too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 the good thing is the mid-level stuff breaks not to far to your NW and the low-level junk is thinner not too far from you so you'll probably start to brighten/break out before too long. Yeah, it's much brighter out the front window than any other, and that window faces roughly NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 the good thing is the mid-level stuff breaks not to far to your NW and the low-level junk is thinner not too far from you so you'll probably start to brighten/break out before too long. Yeah the low level stuff is quite thin... it's fairly bright here for being OVC. I like the first sounding that comes up on the SPC page lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Yeah the low level stuff is quite thin... it's fairly bright here for being OVC. I like the first sounding that comes up on the SPC page lol LOL at those mid-level LRs. not fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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