Mr Torchey Posted May 15, 2012 Author Share Posted May 15, 2012 Radar is pathetic, work is a go. Looks like a couple scattered showers but certainly nothing to get ones panties in a bunch...at least a half day ahead. 61 mostly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Once the LLJ intensifies later this afternoon/evening I suspect we'll see more in the way of rain around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Wonder if it'll be raining around 6:00 tonight..Soccer practice has been rained out the last 2 Tuesdays. This might be 3. My daughter is just upset beyond imagination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Euro is very warm thru day 10. Wow tomatoes going in this weekend then...hopefully Euro is tomato king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 15, 2012 Author Share Posted May 15, 2012 Looks like rain makes it in here around noonish, off to get at least 3 properties done. Have a great day everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Severe threat tomorrow? Models certainly look much more impressive now than they did a day or two ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Severe threat tomorrow? Models certainly look much more impressive now than they did a day or two ago. But then you think to yourself..1) It's SNE 2) It's May16th 3) Doody is not gung ho at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 But then you think to yourself..1) It's SNE 2) It's May16th 3) Doody is not gung ho at all lol... by mid May we're def in svr season here. Some of our biggest outbreaks have been in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 lol... by mid May we're def in svr season here. Some of our biggest outbreaks have been in May. Seems like it's the very end of MAy into about mid June when things get out. Tomorrow doesn't look outbreakish..Looks more like a rogue 50 mile gust or 2..and most likely ENY and W Ma..maybe NW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Seems like it's the very end of MAy into about mid June when things get out. Tomorrow doesn't look outbreakish..Looks more like a rogue 50 mile gust or 2..and most likely ENY and W Ma..maybe NW CT It certainly doesn't. You also said June 1, 2011 would be a spot 50 gust and a pulser or two. So the KFS doesn't have the best track record. I do think we'll see some storms fire up with the chance one could flirt with severe criteria. If we can generate enough instability wind fields strengthen nicely by 21z-00z plus we're in a nice looking right entrance region of a 250mb jet streak. This is more interesting than any thunder threat we've had in like 8 months lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 0.74" in the last 24hrs up here...another nice rainer. NNE FTW again early next week like March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 It certainly doesn't. You also said June 1, 2011 would be a spot 50 gust and a pulser or two. So the KFS doesn't have the best track record. I do think we'll see some storms fire up with the chance one could flirt with severe criteria. If we can generate enough instability wind fields strengthen nicely by 21z-00z plus we're in a nice looking right entrance region of a 250mb jet streak. This is more interesting than any thunder threat we've had in like 8 months lol. My reverse psychology worked well on June 1..so maybe it'll work tomorrow. Now you're gonna have WIz all worked up over tomorrow..wit drunken posts from Fenway this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 My reverse psychology worked well on June 1..so maybe it'll work tomorrow. Now you're gonna have WIz all worked up over tomorrow..wit drunken posts from Fenway this afternoon Your posts about June 1 were dead serious for the first 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 0.74" in the last 24hrs up here...another nice rainer. NNE FTW again early next week like March? Yeah good thing Kevin's marathon isn't Sunday..lol. NNE heat plume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 My reverse psychology worked well on June 1..so maybe it'll work tomorrow. Now you're gonna have WIz all worked up over tomorrow..wit drunken posts from Fenway this afternoon I snuck down for the last three outs of the game last night and fulfilled a bucket list requirement...sat behind home plate during a red sox game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Your posts about June 1 were dead serious for the first 3 days. Honestly they really weren't. Sales FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Honestly they really weren't. Sales FTW lol I think it's more Kevin's meteorology skills FTL. You and OSUMetStud were downplaying the event even the morning of. Fail, fail, fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Could be some good tstms in NY State tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Could be some good tstms in NY State tomorrow. Yeah I envision the usual bombs in ENY that march in Western Mass and you get all psyched up and we watch them die and get their cloud tops tangled up in MRG hair and we're left with sprinkles and anvils Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Yeah I envision the usual bombs in ENY that march in Western Mass and you get all psyched up and we watch them die and get their cloud tops tangled up in MRG hair and we're left with sprinkles and anvils NAM is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 NAM says Moneypitmike's wx station fried again from lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 NAM is impressive. If it's still on the table and as explosive 00z tonight..then we can start to think it's for real. This time I am serious and am downplaying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 If it's still on the table and as explosive 00z tonight..then we can start to think it's for real. This time I am serious and am downplaying SREFs have decent probs tomorrow, but it may be elevated stuff too. I think anything worthwhile and surface based stays from Berks and NW CT on west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Yeah I envision the usual bombs in ENY that march in Western Mass and you get all psyched up and we watch them die and get their cloud tops tangled up in MRG hair and we're left with sprinkles and anvils CT River valley points west... as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 SREFs have decent probs tomorrow, but it may be elevated stuff too. I think anything worthwhile and surface based stays from Berks and NW CT on west. Yeah it's sort of threading the needle but we'll see if we can get lucky. Models have looked more and more impressive last couple runs. Thinking it's a BDL-BAF points west kind of deal but leftover thunder to the east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 shove the upper system further south please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 80 Sat and low 80's Sunday FTW.. Another fantastic weekend shaping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 shove the upper system further south please Yeah best forcing and shear is north... best instability south. What else is new. I think there's a corridor between NYC and ALB that could get lucky particularly if we get more sun than expected. There also may be an area of nice low level shear too depending on how things play out in the mesoscale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Yeah best forcing and shear is north... best instability south. What else is new. I think there's a corridor between NYC and ALB that could get lucky particularly if we get more sun than expected. There also may be an area of nice low level shear too depending on how things play out in the mesoscale. Amazing how much sun we had yesterday and now again today..Tomorrow when we want it, we won't get any Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Yeah it's sort of threading the needle but we'll see if we can get lucky. Models have looked more and more impressive last couple runs. Thinking it's a BDL-BAF points west kind of deal but leftover thunder to the east? Yeah Albany gets hit good on the NAM. Shear (just the winds aloft) look pretty good actually. Just a question of instability out there I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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