moneypitmike Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Dude 58-59 /55 is warm and muggy..esp in May... Dude--muggy in the 50's is shawl weather. Remember, we're not in your tropics. 58.2/56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Forming as modeled too. Amazing what a little sun will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Dude--muggy in the 50's is shawl weather. Remember, we're not in your tropics. 58.2/56 BOX agrees..You FTL WILL BE MONITORING LOW-LVL PROFILES INTO THIS AFTN. CLOUDS ARE BREAKING ACROSS THE RGN ALLOWING IN SOME SUNSHINE...THATS THE BIGGEST CONCERN. THE ENVIRONMENT OUTSIDE HAS A SULTRY FEEL TO IT /FAIRLY MOIST THRU THE COLUMN WITH PWATS AROUND 1.2 INCHES/ WHICH LEADS TO SOME CONCERN WHETHER CONVECTION CAN INITIATE LATER TODAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 BOX agrees..You FTL WILL BE MONITORING LOW-LVL PROFILES INTO THIS AFTN. CLOUDS ARE BREAKING ACROSS THE RGN ALLOWING IN SOME SUNSHINE...THATS THE BIGGEST CONCERN. THE ENVIRONMENT OUTSIDE HAS A SULTRY FEEL TO IT /FAIRLY MOIST THRU THE COLUMN WITH PWATS AROUND 1.2 INCHES/ WHICH LEADS TO SOME CONCERN WHETHER CONVECTION CAN INITIATE LATER TODAY That's a good near term update. Exactly what we were talking about this morning with potential for a few tstms later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 That's a good near term update. Exactly what we were talking about this morning with potential for a few tstms later. It's almost as if they were lurking and ripped and read from here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 just noticed theres some storms firing in southern ct Matt Noyes just posted similar on Facebook saying isolated cloud to ground lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 BOX agrees..You FTL WILL BE MONITORING LOW-LVL PROFILES INTO THIS AFTN. CLOUDS ARE BREAKING ACROSS THE RGN ALLOWING IN SOME SUNSHINE...THATS THE BIGGEST CONCERN. THE ENVIRONMENT OUTSIDE HAS A SULTRY FEEL TO IT /FAIRLY MOIST THRU THE COLUMN WITH PWATS AROUND 1.2 INCHES/ WHICH LEADS TO SOME CONCERN WHETHER CONVECTION CAN INITIATE LATER TODAY And Albany says the following: TEMPS WILL BE HELD DOWN WITH THE SHOWERS/CLOUDS COMPARED TO THE PAST FEW DAYS. WE LOWERED MAX TEMPS BY A FEW DEGREES WITH MAINLY MID AND UPPER 60S IN THE VALLEYS...AND U50S TO M60S OVER THE HILLS AND MTNS. STILL LOOKS LIKE A 1-3 INCH RAIN EVENT FOR TONIGHT THROUGH TUE. WE UPDATED THE QPF WITH THE LATEST RFC QPF GRIDS. MORE LATER ON THE SOAKING RAINFALL WITH LATER UPDATES. KFS qpf, ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 And Albany says the following: TEMPS WILL BE HELD DOWN WITH THE SHOWERS/CLOUDS COMPARED TO THE PAST FEW DAYS. WE LOWERED MAX TEMPS BY A FEW DEGREES WITH MAINLY MID AND UPPER 60S IN THE VALLEYS...AND U50S TO M60S OVER THE HILLS AND MTNS. STILL LOOKS LIKE A 1-3 INCH RAIN EVENT FOR TONIGHT THROUGH TUE. WE UPDATED THE QPF WITH THE LATEST RFC QPF GRIDS. MORE LATER ON THE SOAKING RAINFALL WITH LATER UPDATES. KFS qpf, ftl. Could you please tell us which forecast office forecasts for your locale? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Looking outside you'd think it was 85/70. Step outside and it feels completely different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Could you please tell us which forecast office forecasts for your locale? You brought up NWS. I'm merely reporting which AFD is closer to my reality. Interestingly, my 'home radar' is ENX, not BOX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 You brought up NWS. I'm merely reporting which AFD is closer to my reality. Interestingly, my 'home radar' is ENX, not BOX. ALB is talking about the Adirondacks..not North Central Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 The sky is black off to the south of the office in Windsor..Looks like it's headed for the hilltop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Wednesday is kind of a waist. Nice sharp trough, but probably clouds and bouts of rain with a few tstms here and there. Doesn't look great for solar heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 def not a muggy day in ne mass today. more raw than anything else. 60/55 at 1pm . looks like Ct is a diff story lots of 70's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Just got back from a lunch jaunt and there are TCU now on the southern skies... probably near the interface where there's been some differential heating this morning. I'd watch radar along and S of the pike here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Oper. GFS 500mb heights alone suggest this Saturday would really torch - 90 with that structure. Not sure what the underlying thermal fields offers ..wind etc, but the 500mb heights exceed 582 - warmest run of recent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 It's good to see strong echoes again... and where else? Near the Pike, Monson & Brimfield. Also east of Palmer, Warren, and Brookfield. Pouring down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 warming up here....upper 60's .....some brightening. cells firing heading toward shrewsbury edit and boylston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 71/57 here now, certainly not a raw day. Another above normal day. After the rain tomorrow looks like an awesome stretch upcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 No lightning yet, but some heavy heavy rain in those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 No lightning yet, but some heavy heavy rain in those. Gun to head sox game tonight did I waste a ton of skrill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 ALB is talking about the Adirondacks..not North Central Mass He is not Central...I am ... he is def western No rain here since a few sprinkles/light showers this morning. Very sultry in the classroom attm Sun poked out for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 No lightning yet, but some heavy heavy rain in those. Been a pretty lame thunder season so far. The only one I remember was the weird one in early March (I think) that gave Tip and Ray some hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Just got back from a lunch jaunt and there are TCU now on the southern skies... probably near the interface where there's been some differential heating this morning. I'd watch radar along and S of the pike here You have enough holes in the cloudcover to see TCUs? 95% overcast here, maybe more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 ALB is talking about the Adirondacks..not North Central Mass They are not specifying the adirondacks, Kevin. And what does north central mass have to do with anything? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 They are not specifying the adirondacks, Kevin. And what does north central mass have to do with anything? lol He thinks you and I are neighbors. I am in North Central Mass. Exactly central. You are a 1 hour drive west of me... Silly CT person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 14, 2012 Author Share Posted May 14, 2012 Oops KBDR 141452Z 19005KT 5SM -RA BKN048 OVC060 Nah, another 5 star morning. 5 minutes of rain, it was just brutal, oh the agony LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 He thinks you and I are neighbors. I am in North Central Mass. Exactly central. You are a 1 hour drive west of me... Silly CT person LOL. In his defense, now that the sun is out and the temp has climbed to Albany's AFD of mid 60's, it is muggy. Once the sun goes behind the clouds though, i long for my shawl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 You can't "invent" conditions centered on your perception. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/ I go outside and not look at data a week old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 I go outside and not look at data a week old. I posted Main stems at normal, soil normal, reservoir full yea no science Tip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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