reber500 Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Hey guys, I was just wonder what your opinions are when you think the next potentially significant Outbreak could be? I've been thinking, just off of recent trends that it could be potentially mid-may (7th through 11th?) basing off of the GFS 200/500mb Winds it could be very interesting those days, although the GFS isn't developing any CAPE where the winds are strongest (TX/OK/KS/MO) With 80kt winds across most of the plains, and 100+ kts winds (200mb) in the KS, MO, NE, IA area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 There certainly could be something in that time frame, especially if that trough can eject into the Plains. However, given the look now and how far out we are it's way to early to say whether or not there would be a widespread significant severe wx outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reber500 Posted May 2, 2012 Author Share Posted May 2, 2012 True... It's a little to far out, but just something to think about... Maybe we can finally get rid of the Westerly Flow the Plains has had... ^-^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Would be nice to see a much sharper trough though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reber500 Posted May 2, 2012 Author Share Posted May 2, 2012 Would be nice to see a much sharper trough though Yes, but it could potentially be a bit sharper when/ if it ejects over the Plains... Give it is 9 or so days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Kind of a how much for Philly thread. Sort of a Slight risk every day for the next 10 days. Might be a moderate at some point but "Predictability too low" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Why don't we wait until we're not, you know, 6-10 days out from an event with only moderate potential. And then post in regional subforums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Memorial Day weekend.. Nebraska Hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asthut Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 I would put money on May 30-31, give or take a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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