RaleighWx Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 I made this forecast back in early April and now release it. Thanks for reading.Click on the slideshow. http://www.examiner.com/article/summer-2012-forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Thanks, Alan. I shouldn't hone in on a single analog year, but I really enjoyed 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 I think your analogs look pretty good, although of course it's quite difficult to make a confident forecast when you have both 04 and 06 in there giving you such conflicting signals. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Keeps bringing me to an "access denied" page when I click on that link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 ^^^ Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Try this. I just went to his blog and found the link on there http://www.examiner.com/slideshow/summer-hurricane-forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 On 5/1/2012 at 5:36 PM, Isotherm said: Keeps bringing me to an "access denied" page when I click on that link. On 5/1/2012 at 6:26 PM, weatherwiz said: ^^^ Same here The link did not work for me as well...However, if you click the following homepage to Allan's articles, the slideshow can be opened on near the bottom right. http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-raleigh/allan-huffman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Thanks for sharing your thoughts Allan. I know you issued this about a month ago, so I was wondering how you feel things are progressing particularly when it comes to ENSO. Are you still thinking weak ENSO as early as June-July? Or did that bump up in the SOI of recent weeks put a hit into that expectation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Great writeup as usual! I'm really hoping we can get that June/August pattern to pan out here in the Northeast...would be good for severe wx chances! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted May 1, 2012 Author Share Posted May 1, 2012 On 5/1/2012 at 6:46 PM, NJwinter23 said: Thanks for sharing your thoughts Allan. I know you issued this about a month ago, so I was wondering how you feel things are progressing particularly when it comes to ENSO. Are you still thinking weak ENSO as early as June-July? Or did that bump up in the SOI of recent weeks put a hit into that expectation? Thanks. I am still thinking June. If you look at the subsurface there is only a very small pool of negative anomalies left in the eq. pacific near the dateline. Also the SOI has been negative again the last 6 days and April was the first negative SOI month since spring 2010, I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 On 5/1/2012 at 4:12 PM, RaleighWx said: I made this forecast back in early April and now release it. Thanks for reading.Click on the slideshow. http://www.examiner....r-2012-forecast Here's the right link: http://www.examiner.com/slideshow/summer-hurricane-forecast Nice preso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Good job with the outlook, nice presentation. I like a lot of your analogs, especially 1976, 2009, and 1951. The Northeast is a tough call for me, still going back and forth in terms of above/below normal temps. I think the cooler Mid-west and warm South/West is a reasonable call at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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