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May observations and discussions...


ag3

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I should really save radar loops of storms approaching the area here. I am in western NJ (Hunterdon county) and cant tell you how seemingly everytime a line of storms is coming this way it always A) Breaks apart with a piece headed north and a piece headed south (ala last night) or completely fizzles apart (ala 99% of the rest of the time). Probably has to do with downsloping coming from EPA or NEPA? Also seems when it hits the Delaware River valley it loses a good amount of strength, any reason as to why a river would affect storm lines as much as it seems to do here?

I think most weather enthusiasts say the same thing regardless of where they live, that the storms always go north of them or south or split when they approach and reform after they pass. I know I do.
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Spectacular end of the week and weekend coming up, 70s for highs, some 50s for lows, perfect early June weather in my opinion. Not so great for summer enthusiasts who love the heat or those hoping to go in the pool and chill at the beach, but you people have plenty of time for that in late June though early September.

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Spectacular end of the week and weekend coming up, 70s for highs, some 50s for lows, perfect early June weather in my opinion. Not so great for summer enthusiasts who love the heat or those hoping to go in the pool and chill at the beach, but you people have plenty of time for that in late June though early September.

upton has 60% chance of rain for Saturday....

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We have seen our last 90 degree reading here until the UL lifts out and the heights can rebuild east from the Plains.

Yeah models seem to be converging that this feature will linger to around the 8th or so before the ridge builds back. It does show a prolonged deep trough out west, so one would assume (or hope if you like heat) that the ridge should fire east once the UL lifts out. In a way this is reminiscent of the 2003 pattern. Not sure if you can pull up that pattern that broke in a big turn around on the 22ns or so.

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No. The opposite in fact. He loves trying to sniff out the snowstorm before anyone and when the pattern doesn't favor one. Usually he's wrong though, especially in a winter like we just had.

Is it just me or does he seem extra? Idk, I'm not a weather expert but his predictions are always negative.

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Joe B: coldest opening to June since 2004, a cool summer for much of the nation pic.twitter.com/uNaAjQOV

the opening to June 2003and 2009 was much cooler in NYC

HI Low DEP

1 68 56 -5 0.23

2 80 58 +2 0.01

3 76 60 +0 0.01

4 74 59 -1 0.00

5 65 60 -5 trace

6 60 56 -11 0.12

7 80 68 +1 0.00

8 86 70 +8 0.00

9 91 64 +11 0.00

10 82 63 +3 trace

11 71 57 -3 trace

12 77 61 -4 0.00

13 76 61 -2 0.00

14 81 65 +2 0.01

15 87 72 +8 0.00

16 88 74 +9 0.00

17 87 72 +8 0.99

18 88 71 +8 0.00

19 82 64 +0 0.00

20 73 57 -8 0.00

21 80 60 -3 0.00

22 75 67 -2 0.37

23 82 70 +2 0.00

24 81 67 +0 0.00

25 81 65 -1 0.95

26 78 66 -2 0.01

27 77 60 -6 0.00

28 78 64 -4 0.00

29 77 61 -6 0.32

30 82 66 - 0.00

CODE]

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a -nao translated into midsummer can mean big heat. i could say this until i'm blue in the face but nobody here seems to get it.

I think we had that during the big heat of July last year. In early June however, I think it's a pretty cool signal right?

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Yep June 03 was 3 degrees below normal, saw 10" of rain and had a high of 57 on June the 4th. That had to be a record low maximum

the opening to June 2003and 2009 was much cooler in NYC

HI Low DEP

1 68 56 -5 0.23

2 80 58 +2 0.01

3 76 60 +0 0.01

4 74 59 -1 0.00

5 65 60 -5 trace

6 60 56 -11 0.12

7 80 68 +1 0.00

8 86 70 +8 0.00

9 91 64 +11 0.00

10 82 63 +3 trace

11 71 57 -3 trace

12 77 61 -4 0.00

13 76 61 -2 0.00

14 81 65 +2 0.01

15 87 72 +8 0.00

16 88 74 +9 0.00

17 87 72 +8 0.99

18 88 71 +8 0.00

19 82 64 +0 0.00

20 73 57 -8 0.00

21 80 60 -3 0.00

22 75 67 -2 0.37

23 82 70 +2 0.00

24 81 67 +0 0.00

25 81 65 -1 0.95

26 78 66 -2 0.01

27 77 60 -6 0.00

28 78 64 -4 0.00

29 77 61 -6 0.32

30 82 66 - 0.00

CODE]

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Yeah models seem to be converging that this feature will linger to around the 8th or so before the ridge builds back. It does show a prolonged deep trough out west, so one would assume (or hope if you like heat) that the ridge should fire east once the UL lifts out. In a way this is reminiscent of the 2003 pattern. Not sure if you can pull up that pattern that broke in a big turn around on the 22ns or so.

Yeah, the heights eventually rebuilt in 2003. It's interesting that blocking has dominated the June pattern since 2007.

Despite all the blocking, we usually finished up the month above normal as more ridging developed to the SW.

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a -nao translated into midsummer can mean big heat. i could say this until i'm blue in the face but nobody here seems to get it.

Depends on the position of the block. A block like the one being advertised by all models is not a heat -nao block.

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Yep June 03 was 3 degrees below normal, saw 10" of rain and had a high of 57 on June the 4th. That had to be a record low maximum

June 2003 was about - 8 prior to the end of the month heat wave.

June 2009 was -4 for the month

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