HailMan06 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Gust front just arrived here in Bernardsille Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The outflow boundary is doing wonders now over Morris/Somerset county line from a portion of the line of storms that was previously weakened. Yep. You can practically envision it scooping up the unstable air to its LFC and forming downdrafts by the time it is ~15 mi behind it. Cool stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 that storm over Warwick looks pretty decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Watch for a temp spike at the coast as the outflow boundary pushes the seabreeze out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 These storms look like they are below severe limits..or maybe briefly at severe limits when the new updrafts form behind the ofb. The lack of effective shear really made things difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 "Squall" crapped out just in time to screw the area over. Only real cell appears to be in Warwick, Ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The latest radar doesn't look too impressive for N NJ IMO. Most of the storms south of NY state have weakened with less reds showing up on the radar, and even the new storms that formed near western Morris appear to have slightly weakened in the last 10 mins or so. Other than the strong storm in Orange county, there doesn't seem to be much more than the typical thunderstorm action going on. There's still going to be thunderstorms but I doubt there's going to be any real severe wx action around NYC tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 in central morris county, and there's really nothing at all. any possibility later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Just checked radar wow looks awful for even thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Honestly, I'm hard-pressed to even find any 50dbz+ bins right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 As suspected, the lack shear hurt this line once it started out build a cold pool. There was not the right balance to keep it going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Honestly, I'm hard-pressed to even find any 50dbz+ bins right now... I'm trying to think of the last time that a large severe weather event was actually able to fully impact NE NJ as forecasted, if not exceeding expectations. So far I can't come up with anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 As suspected, the lack shear hurt this line once it started out build a cold pool. There was not the right balance to keep it going. not only lack of shear, the thermodynamics completly sht the bed. We were from a SB lift index of -8 to -4 and SB Cape from 4,000 to 1,000 in 2 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 not only lack of shear, the thermodynamics completly sht the bed. We were from a SB lift index of -8 to -4 and SB Cape from 4,000 to 1,000 in 2 hrs. Yep, instability dropped off the big time over NJ: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I'm trying to think of the last time that a large severe weather event was actually able to fully impact NE NJ as forecasted, if not exceeding expectations. So far I can't come up with anything. Last time that I had a real severe thunderstorm up here was on 7/8/09. Monster QLCS transitioned into a supercell. Sent from my VS910 4G 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 coastalwx called it. Guy knows his winter wx and severe wx. well done. I hope you know that he was referring to the line that was heading into NW CT, and that line did perk up very rapidly as it had entered the state. As suspected, the lack shear hurt this line once it started out build a cold pool. There was not the right balance to keep it going. Meh, almost every "severe weather" event will find a way to screw the NYC area over. Look at the bright side, at least we were not stuck in the middle 60's all day with fog like they were over in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I'm trying to think of the last time that a large severe weather event was actually able to fully impact NE NJ as forecasted, if not exceeding expectations. So far I can't come up with anything. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/060718_rpts.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 really dark and windy here, but definitely weakening storms. Had a 26 mph gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 If you really want to get technical... These cells barely have any lightning with them, so I guess the majority aren't even 'thunderstorms' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 If you really want to get technical... These cells barely have any lightning with them, so I guess the majority aren't even 'thunderstorms' truth, some people may not even see heavy rain as the line is breaking up in some places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 ok, some lightning and big thunder now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 If you run a loop from DIX, it really is something to see these collapse over the past few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 Last time that I had a real severe thunderstorm up here was on 7/8/09. Monster QLCS transitioned into a supercell. Sent from my VS910 4G 2 Looking through my records the last one I can see is on August 2008, but I wasn't here for that one. Before that I don't even have a clue. That 7/8/09 cell missed me just to the north. Back to the latest event there's dark clouds moving in and it's getting a bit windy. Only storm nearby I see is in Morris county but that appears to be headed to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 these storms might be weakening, but we just had a couple of bombs over here.. wow.. close strikes and absurdly loud thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 these storms might be weakening, but we just had a couple of bombs over here.. wow.. close strikes and absurdly loud thunder. yeah the thunder is pretty impressive right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 If you want to see boundaries interacting all over the place, look at the storms over Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 Hoping there's lighting, love lightning in the dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 Didn't see this one coming - I didn't think I'd get anything decent, before I know it a 50 dbz cell pops up almost directly overhead... absolutely pouring here but with little thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 Hoping there's lighting, love lightning in the dark I have a question for you who dosnt? Oh and guys I have a question like 2-4 years ago there was a line of severe storms that came through with nearly constant lightning for about 2 hours straight does anyone remember that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 30, 2012 Share Posted May 30, 2012 Wind, clouds, more wind, clouds, waiting, epic fail, although look's on radar storm's starting to re-fire a bit, a storm just developed east of westchester heading NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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