SACRUS Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Today's highs TEB: 92 NYC: 89.5 EWR: 91 LGA: 90 JFK: 85 TTN: 90 (may have hit 90 between hours) ACY: 90 PHL: 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 29, 2012 Author Share Posted May 29, 2012 Today's highs TEB: 92 NYC: 89.5 EWR: 91 LGA: 90 JFK: 85 TTN: 90 (may have hit 90 between hours) ACY: 90 PHL: 91 Trenton officially hit 90. http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KTTN.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 There was a well depicted warm layer at H7 today that really worked to suppress convection. Some forecast models had this warm layer eroding, but I don't think it ever fully did. Plus the mid level winds went to crap after 20z anyway. Anything that develops doesn't look to be organized. In other news, the NAM was too warm with the temperatures today but LGA and some other locations did get to 90 F or above. The Euro from the end of last week was awful in showing light QPF and temperatures of 75-80 today with the warm front hanging near the area. As far as tomorrow -- I would be more interested in the severe threat if I lived in Northern New England or NY State where the wind fields are more supportive. I think we could watch plenty of convection over Central/Eastern PA tomorrow that may never make it here. I guess we'll see. damn earthlight the crappy winter has really carried over and affected our severe weather now, this weather pattern were in truly blows for an advid weather fan lately besides the heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 damn earthlight the crappy winter has really carried over and affected our severe weather now, this weather pattern were in truly blows for an advid weather fan lately besides the heat I am starting to get used to the crappy "severe weather" that we see in the NYC metro area, and if there was to be a contest for who sees the crappiest "severe weather" then Long Island would take first place. It is just another reason to move out of the NYC area. But this stretch of weather from the October snowstorm through now has been the most boring stretch of weather that I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 29, 2012 Author Share Posted May 29, 2012 I am starting to get used to the crappy "severe weather" that we see in the NYC metro area, and if there was to be a contest for who sees the crappiest "severe weather" then Long Island would take first place. It is just another reason to move out of the NYC area. But this stretch of weather from the October snowstorm through now has been the most boring stretch of weather that I can remember. NYC, especially Queens and Brooklyn, have had some epic severe weather over the past couple years including tornadoes and the historic day with the multiple mile wide Macroburst and mini tornado outbreak in Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 NYC, especially Queens and Brooklyn, have had some epic severe weather over the past couple years including tornadoes and the historic day with the multiple mile wide Macroburst and mini tornado outbreak in Queens. I think in 2007 Brooklyn had a F2 in Bay Ridge a mile from my old house...In 2003 Staten island had a F0 about a half mile from where I live now...Since 1998 NYC has seen more than it's share of storms compared to average... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Today's highs TEB: 92 NYC: 89.5 EWR: 91 LGA: 90 JFK: 85 TTN: 90 (may have hit 90 between hours) ACY: 90 PHL: 91 Tony, would that NYC reading be counted as a 90F high? I'm assuming they don't utilize a round-up policy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Tony, would that NYC reading be counted as a 90F high? I'm assuming they don't utilize a round-up policy. I doubt it - they have the high listed as 89 putting the park at +2.1 for the month so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The ability for LGA to retain heat is astounding. 79 at 6 AM? Are you kidding? Did we have a high over 100 yesterday? They barely got to 90 for crying out loud. Is there even one place on the easy coast warmer than that right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The ability for LGA to retain heat is astounding. 79 at 6 AM? Are you kidding? Did we have a high over 100 yesterday? They barely got to 90 for crying out loud. Is there even one place on the easy coast warmer than that right now? Any possible reason for this? One time freak or normal for LGA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Any possible reason for this? One time freak or normal for LGA? LGA is known as the oven of the city, but it really didn't get hot enough yesterday to support such brutal temps this morning. It's not like it's much higher than reality, though. It's hot as hell in my neighborhood too which was kind of surprising. Massive positive departure day coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I am starting to get used to the crappy "severe weather" that we see in the NYC metro area, and if there was to be a contest for who sees the crappiest "severe weather" then Long Island would take first place. It is just another reason to move out of the NYC area. But this stretch of weather from the October snowstorm through now has been the most boring stretch of weather that I can remember. NYC, especially Queens and Brooklyn, have had some epic severe weather over the past couple years including tornadoes and the historic day with the multiple mile wide Macroburst and mini tornado outbreak in Queens. I think in 2007 Brooklyn had a F2 in Bay Ridge a mile from my old house...In 2003 Staten island had a F0 about a half mile from where I live now...Since 1998 NYC has seen more than it's share of storms compared to average... its really not the actual nyc area its when you get towards eastern nassau, western suffolk county especially towards the south shore when storms just quickly die. i remember last year when a line came down from conneticut and was really strong, it held its own when it got the north shore of the island, but when it got inland and to the south shore i got rain and like one rumble of thunder i think it lasted like 5 minutes when the line just fell apart completely. its really just disheartening hearing the severe weather reports in reletively close proximity to us but when the storms get to us its just nothing. ive seen us have 3k plus cape and so many parameters met even where i live and it just isnt enough lol. in other news, heres to another great summer day guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 fist pump for yesterdays heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 LGA is known as the oven of the city, but it really didn't get hot enough yesterday to support such brutal temps this morning. It's not like it's much higher than reality, though. It's hot as hell in my neighborhood too which was kind of surprising. Massive positive departure day coming up. I think that the low of 78 ties the record for the highest minimum ever in May set on 5/31/87. 5/31 78 in 1987 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I think that the low of 78 ties the record for the highest minimum ever in May set on 5/31/87. 5/31 78 in 1987 Central Park was close to a record high minimum for May this morning...the record is 76 set on 5/31/1987... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 29, 2012 Author Share Posted May 29, 2012 Yesterday had a +15 departure. Today will probably by a little higher, unless a strong T-storm knocks the temps down in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 ewr, teb, and lga have already reached or surpassed 80 as of 8 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 ewr, teb, and lga have already reached or surpassed 80 as of 8 am Wow. Think we get any action this afternoon froky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Wow. Think we get any action this afternoon froky? high cape, almost no shear. we could get something if enough of a line gets organized in eastern pa early this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Biggest threat in our area is heavy rain, which should be plentiful after about 5 PM or so. Severe weather should be confined to Orange County NY and the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 My building is boiling and I'm in the top floor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 83/74 this morning, insane dewpoint for late May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 SPC just expanded the slight risk at 13z, for today. 30% wind and hail probabilites NYC N&W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 SPC just expanded the slight risk at 13z. 30% wind and hail probabilites where? upstate or closer to the tri-state area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 severe hail could be had around these parts given the steep lapse rates around the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 latest HRRR is showing a bit of convection firing up through bergen and rockland county at about 3:00.. looks like potentially a little weakness rolling through at 700 mb. Whatever it is, it's very subtle and who knows how accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 ...NEW ENGLAND INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES... AN EXPANSIVE PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF TSTMS IS ONGOING AS OF 12Z FROM SWRN ONTARIO/LAKE ERIE SWWD INTO NRN KY...LIKELY FORCED BY THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS NY/PA SHOULD EXPERIENCE STRONG DAYTIME HEATING. WHEN COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AND MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 7 C/KM...ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME MODERATE-STRONGLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES INCREASING TO 2000-3000 J/KG. THIS DESTABILIZATION ALONG WITH THE EWD PROGRESSION OF UPPER TROUGH WILL SUPPORT A MARKED INCREASE IN STORM VIGOR AND COVERAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG COLD FRONT AND/OR LEADING EDGE OF COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE ONGOING STORMS. THE STRONGEST MID- AND HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO LAG THE WARM SECTOR TO THE W...LIMITING DEEP-LAYER SHEAR MAGNITUDES TO GENERALLY 30-40 KT. EXPECT THE STRONG INSTABILITY TO COMPENSATE WITH ENVIRONMENT BECOMING SUPPORTIVE OF MULTIPLE ORGANIZED STORM MODES...INCLUDING BOWING LINE SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE AND SWATHS OF LARGE HAIL. THE GREATEST RISK FOR A TORNADO OR TWO WILL EXIST ALONG WARM FRONT OVER NEW ENGLAND WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE ENHANCED. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL SPREAD EWD TOWARD THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND WRN NEW ENGLAND BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING LATER TONIGHT WITH THE STABILIZATION OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 83/74 this morning, insane dewpoint for late May Par for the course if you ask me. This is the new normal. It's pathetic that we've recorded such insane above normal departures so many months when these departures are being compared to the warmest 30 year baseline on record (1980-2000.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 BIG change! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 HRRR has most of the action rolling in pretty late.. around 7:00 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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