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May observations and discussions...


ag3

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65 dbz hailer showing up on radar with this cell.

Statement as of 2:02 PM EDT on May 26, 2012

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

northeastern Northampton County in eastern Pennsylvania...

east central Monroe County in northeast Pennsylvania...

northern Warren County in northwest New Jersey...

* until 300 PM EDT

* at 200 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a

severe thunderstorm capable of producing quarter size hail... and

damaging winds to 60 mph. This storm was located near

Delaware Water Gap... or 15 miles southeast of Mount Pocono... and

moving south at 10 mph.

* The severe thunderstorm will be near...

7 miles west of Blairstown around 220 PM EDT...

Columbia around 230 PM EDT...

East Bangor and 6 miles east of Bangor around 240 PM EDT...

7 miles west of hope around 250 PM EDT...

Belvidere around 300 PM EDT...

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Seriously doubt strong thunderstorms develop east of route 17. Clouds have rolled into Northeast New Jersey and radar indicates that debris has pushed through the NYC metropolitan area, thus limiting potential energy needed for strong thunderstorms lacking significant trigger. Do think some showery thunderstorms are possible, but nothing like the Boomers in Northwest New Jersey.

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No freaking way...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0909

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0108 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PA...NY...NJ...CT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 261808Z - 261845Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MOVING INTO THE NYC

METROPOLITAN AREA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON ON A HOLIDAY WEEKEND

SUGGEST THAT A WATCH IS WARRANTED.

DISCUSSION...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE FOR

SEVERE STORMS AND A WATCH ISSUANCE WILL BE COORDINATED BETWEEN THE

SPC AND THE AFFECTED LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES SHORTLY.

..CARBIN.. 05/26/2012

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First watch of the season. Awesome.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 300

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

230 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 300 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT

FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NYC005-047-059-061-071-079-081-085-087-119-270000-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0300.120526T1830Z-120527T0000Z/

NY

. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRONX KINGS NASSAU

NEW YORK ORANGE PUTNAM

QUEENS RICHMOND ROCKLAND

WESTCHESTER

$$

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DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS SEWD INTO A WARM AND

STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS SITUATED FROM CNTRL AND ERN PA EAST ACROSS

THE NYC METROPOLITAN AREA. WHILE DEEP SHEAR IS WEAK AND SUGGESTS

POOR STORM ORGANIZATION...RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT

STORMS ARE QUITE ROBUST WITH ANVILS STREAMING WELL SOUTHEAST THE

HIGHER STORMS/STRONGER CELLS. MOST STORMS APPEAR TO COLLAPSE WITHIN

30-40 MINUTES OF INITIATION AND EXPECT THAT THIS PULSE AND

MULTICELLULAR ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF HAIL AND

HIGH WINDS...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AS IT DEVELOPS SEWD

ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NJC003-NYC087-119-261930-

/O.NEW.KOKX.SV.W.0002.120526T1849Z-120526T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

EASTERN BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...

ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

* AT 245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

NYACK...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO UPPER

NYACK...OSSINING...ORANGEBURG...TAPPAN...NORWOOD...NORTH

TARRYTOWN...TARRYTOWN...DOBBS FERRY...YONKERS...WHITE PLAINS...

SCARSDALE...NEW ROCHELLE...HAWTHORNE...HARRISON AND BRONXVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM SATURDAY

EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND

SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 7400 4111 7370 4109 7372 4102 7366

4088 7377 4105 7411

TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 299DEG 8KT 4108 7395

$$

DSW

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NJC003-NYC087-119-261930-

/O.NEW.KOKX.SV.W.0002.120526T1849Z-120526T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

EASTERN BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...

ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

* AT 245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

NYACK...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO UPPER

NYACK...OSSINING...ORANGEBURG...TAPPAN...NORWOOD...NORTH

TARRYTOWN...TARRYTOWN...DOBBS FERRY...YONKERS...WHITE PLAINS...

SCARSDALE...NEW ROCHELLE...HAWTHORNE...HARRISON AND BRONXVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM SATURDAY

EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND

SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 7400 4111 7370 4109 7372 4102 7366

4088 7377 4105 7411

TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 299DEG 8KT 4108 7395

$$

DSW

I think this storm will probably collapse in the next 15 minutes. Its moving very slowly and stabilizing the air out in front of it.

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Really humid day in NYC metro...HPN sitting at 85/70 even with NW winds. Worse yet, the local Wunderground station at Scarsdale shows 84.8/75. Must be brutal down there although it's still pretty uncomfortable up here in New Hampshire.

HPN is down to 82 now.

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Of course I had to travel to Chestnut Ridge as it came but it is pitch black to my north with thunder

All hell broke loose down here....Nyack has a house fire, and a bunch of other fire depts have other lightning related calls out as well.

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Looks like rockland, westchester are gonna be the winners with the storms today. I doubt the storms are going to deliver on long island but still a gorgeous day for all you gotta admit :)

I think that most of Nassau should get in on the action, places like Suffolk will not see that much.

NW Nassau county will do the best for the island.

Hopefully they can get the Mets game in before any storms delay it.

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