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May observations and discussions...


ag3

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Nice strip of heavy rain entering NJ. Looks like the majority of the city is going to be on the edge. Let's see if it can lift northward a bit and clip all 5 boroughs.

Looks like the majority will fall from Staten Island west.

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Pretty much all models mishandled the rain this morning.

NAM, GFS and Euro all had less then .25" of rain total. Euro had the heavy band over Jersey but not into the city and its boroughs.

pesky convection

we'll see more of these blobs through tomorrow morning since the pattern won't change much

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