SACRUS Posted May 12, 2012 Share Posted May 12, 2012 Just a fantastic day shaping up. Deep blue skies and temps pushing into the mid 70s already. 12:PM Roundup NYC: 73 EWR: 73 LGA: 73 JFK: 72 TTN: 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2012 Share Posted May 12, 2012 Another opportunity for some much needed rainfall this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12, 2012 Share Posted May 12, 2012 Another opportunity for some much needed rainfall this week. The recent rains from the April noreaster and the last two weeks have reversed the dry conditions and more to come next week.. There seems to be more focus on recent deficits than the recent surplus. most of the last 10 years We had 30 inches of rain between Aug and Oct last year alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 12, 2012 Share Posted May 12, 2012 The recent rains from the April noreaster and the last two weeks have reversed the dry conditions and more to come next week.. There seems to be more focus on recent deficits than the recent surplus. most of the last 10 years We had 30 inches of rain between Aug and Oct last year alone As long as the recent rainy pattern continues the drought shouldn't last much longer... Despite the rain over the last 2 weeks we're still considered to be in a moderate drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 The recent rains from the April noreaster and the last two weeks have reversed the dry conditions and more to come next week.. There seems to be more focus on recent deficits than the recent surplus. most of the last 10 years We had 30 inches of rain between Aug and Oct last year alone Yeah, the last year that we were able to finish with much of a deficit was all the way back in 2002. The short term drought conditions since January stand out compared to the wet pattern since 2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 The 18z NAM has a maximum high of 84 degrees tomorrow for parts of NE NJ and near NYC. With Central Park's high of 78 degrees today, tomorrow should be the first 80+ degree day of the month. Although the pattern probably turns warmer by the late week/next weekend, given recent trends a persistently warm pattern is questionable, especially with models hinting at another possible cutoff to the south around next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Freakin beautiful day today, first big bbq of the year was great and i fired up the new Weber for the first time. Wish everyday was like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 13, 2012 Author Share Posted May 13, 2012 Through yesterday: NYC: -.4 LGA: +.5 JFK: +.5 EWR: +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 12Z Nam is keeping the heavier rain over central/Eastern PA through mid week only light rain here - looks like bad stretch of weather coming up this week http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/12znamp24_NE072.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 12Z Nam is keeping the heavier rain over central/Eastern PA through mid week only light rain here - looks like bad stretch of weather coming up this week http://raleighwx.ame...amp24_NE072.gif Yes but next weekend looks great...as long as weekends are nice its not really terrible weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 12Z Nam is keeping the heavier rain over central/Eastern PA through mid week only light rain here - looks like bad stretch of weather coming up this week http://raleighwx.ame...amp24_NE072.gif The GFS is the only model I've seen still showing the heavy rain axis over/west of NYC. The NAM's probably overdoing the eastern cutoff of the rain, as the heavier rain should likely shift east through NYC and into Long Island/CT on Tuesday and Tuesday night, although it's pretty clear the heaviest rains should stay to the west. Fortunately the rain doesn't go on all week, highs could reach the upper 70s degrees again on Wed-Fri according to the ECM/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 the euro has been consistently showing a band of heavy rain moving through tuesday night and dropping around 1" over the metro area with the exception of eastern LI notice how much slower the nam is with the system compared to the other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 the euro has been consistently showing a band of heavy rain moving through tuesday night and dropping around 1" over the metro area with the exception of eastern LI notice how much slower the nam is with the system compared to the other models the euro ends WAA precip by 6z wed morning and shows a severe threat wed afternoon as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Nam keeps us in the rainy weather into thursday http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/12znamp24084.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Nam keeps us in the rainy weather into thursday http://raleighwx.ame...2znamp24084.gif That's Wednesday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 The further north and west you go the better you are going to do with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Amazing day so far. Temperature is at 77 Degrees with bright sun in C NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 12Z Nam is keeping the heavier rain over central/Eastern PA through mid week only light rain here - looks like bad stretch of weather coming up this week http://raleighwx.ame...amp24_NE072.gif Highs around 70F for mid May, cloudy/rainy or not, hardly constitutes a "bad stretch of weather." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 That's Wednesday evening. I know that - but there is precip still well to the west that has to get through according to that model so it lasts into thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Highs around 70F for mid May, cloudy/rainy or not, hardly constitutes a "bad stretch of weather." Thats what I love about this forum - mostly everything you write here someone comes around and says you are wrong - even when you say rainy weather for a few days straight is a bad stretch of weather - glad you enjoy a good stretch of rainy weather........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Here in central NJ, it really hasn't been that wet. 1.80" for the month of May so far, and April was below normal precip. I'm hoping for at least 1" this week, but this synoptic set-up looks like it could favor interior sections for training convection. 80F and hot out right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Thats what I love about this forum - mostly everything you write here someone comes around and says you are wrong - even when you say rainy weather for a few days straight is a bad stretch of weather - glad you enjoy a good stretch of rainy weather........ Bad May weather to me is 3-4 consecutive days with high temps in the 55-65 degree range and showers around. The next several days will be in the 70s, with Tuesday being the worst day wet weather wise, but even then, we're not talking cold stratiform rains. I've seen 50-55F and rain for highs as late as the end of May. Much of this week won't be very pretty, but it'll still be comfortable outside in shorts and a t-shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 18Z Observations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Bad May weather to me is 3-4 consecutive days with high temps in the 55-65 degree range and showers around. The next several days will be in the 70s, with Tuesday being the worst day wet weather wise, but even then, we're not talking cold stratiform rains. I've seen 50-55F and rain for highs as late as the end of May. Much of this week won't be very pretty, but it'll still be comfortable outside in shorts and a t-shirt. There was a 48/44 day in May of 2010. Now THAT is a nasty May day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 Wednesday looks like a cloudier/possibly wetter repeat of today for parts of the area (link to 18z NAM), with highs again probably getting near 80 degrees near/SW of the city as well as a possibility of some thunderstorm activity north/west of NYC. Tomorrow and Tuesday have the worst conditions of the week, and that's not too bad as well with highs still in the 60s/low 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 More sun than expected today... made it to 84 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 More sun than expected today... made it to 84 here. Yeah very nice and warm day. 82F high here in Monmouth. Still 78 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Bad May weather to me is 3-4 consecutive days with high temps in the 55-65 degree range and showers around. The next several days will be in the 70s, with Tuesday being the worst day wet weather wise, but even then, we're not talking cold stratiform rains. I've seen 50-55F and rain for highs as late as the end of May. Much of this week won't be very pretty, but it'll still be comfortable outside in shorts and a t-shirt. Or in June, in 2009, 1992 and 1972. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 nam has generally 1 - 1.5 (+) inches through Wed with the brunt falling tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 14, 2012 Author Share Posted May 14, 2012 GFS is similar to the NAM for rain in the next 2-3 days. A little more then NAM. About 1.50"-1.75" with some higher amounts north and west: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.