NEXtreme Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 we're going to approach 80 both days this weekend Just like last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 So much for a nice day. I walked outside to a cloud covered sky and sprinkles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 we're going to approach 80 both days this weekend A bust Watch is now in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 Sunday right now looks like a mostly cloudy day with misty type weather. Steadier rain moves in later in the day. After 18z. I fear the same, but not as bad as last saturday. Then more rain chances next week.. Still think we get more prolonged above normal on/around the 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 Sunday has a bust potential for temps depending on the approaching clouds/showers, which the CMC keeps north and the NAM keeps further south. Saturday probably has the best chance for 80 degrees IMO with sunny skies and west winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 Beautiful chilly day up here today... partly cloudy skies all day but stuck in the 50's.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 It might be premature but I think Saturday could potentially be our last <50 degree reading until the fall. That would be on par with the past 2 years while 2009 saw a 49 degree reading on June 1st in EWR (50 at Central Park). On the other hand in 2008 we saw daytime temps in the upper 40s around the 3rd week of May so we probably have a couple weeks to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 why do we pick arbitrary numbers and have big battles about who "busts?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 Should be easier to hit 80 from now on though right, especially with the average high now around 70-71F So at least Saturday we could hit 80. As far as a 90F this May, I don't see it as of now, probably not enough of a ridge to pump up those heights to see 90F, maybe around Memorial weekend, we could get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 10, 2012 Share Posted May 10, 2012 Beautiful day . Nice and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 51 degrees..... really chilly with the breeze out there... I've been so busy.. have not been able to post much but that cell that sat over Rockland county yesterday was just a few miles away. I could see pitch black to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 51 degrees..... really chilly with the breeze out there... I've been so busy.. have not been able to post much but that cell that sat over Rockland county yesterday was just a few miles away. I could see pitch black to my north. Only 51?? Never fails in Rockland.. lol 40/33 making a run at freezing just to your north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 I do not think mostly cloudy with a wind and temps in the low 60s is beautiful at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 I do not think mostly cloudy with a wind and temps in the low 60s is beautiful at all If it was during the winter I'd enjoy this type of weather more, but it's already the middle of spring, by now I would prefer an 80 degree sunny day over a 60 degree cloudy/windy day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 Latest models are keeping the cold front further north on Sunday. Which means more sunshine and light S-SW flow. The 6z NAM has low 80s, away from the coast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 11, 2012 Author Share Posted May 11, 2012 Next week has potential to be a pretty wet week. Several waves coming up a stalled front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 potential but really besides the Euro the other models have it much drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 potential but really besides the Euro the other models have it much drier the 6z gfs is a deluge and the euro ensemble mean is just as wet as the op... the gfes is wet now, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 Where the heck are the thunderstorms? The pattern over the next 10 days shows classic North Pacific retrogression as the Alaskan low moves toward the Aleutians. Models are developing a nice trough in the NW and a growing ridge over the central states. Perhaps things can get interesting in a "ring of fire" sense, Northwestly disturbances, MCS etc. as we move deeper into late May. So far this is a lamest spring I've seen in a while. Usually there is something by this point. /complaining/imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 Where the heck are the thunderstorms? The pattern over the next 10 days shows classic North Pacific retrogression as the Alaskan low moves toward the Aleutians. Models are developing a nice trough in the NW and a growing ridge over the central states. Perhaps things can get interesting in a "ring of fire" sense, Northwestly disturbances, MCS etc. as we move deeper into late May. So far this is a lamest spring I've seen in a while. Usually there is something by this point. /complaining/imby. Monday - wed looks convective, but I know what you mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 Monday - wed looks convective, but I know what you mean I suppose this pattern could become "worthy of waiting" if the central US ridge expands during JJA and puts us in a nice spot for the kind of pattern I described above. Of course, as the summer progresses, this could leave a nasty upper low over the Northeast somewhere mid-summer. But that would of course be a new agent for thunderstorms for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 I think severe weather and thunderstorms in general are pretty uncommon this early. I mean we've had a few rounds of nighttime/morning storms that weren't severe but we haven't had the heat yet to really get an outbreak going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 Dropped to 36 last night... Where is the damn heat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 I think severe weather and thunderstorms in general are pretty uncommon this early. I mean we've had a few rounds of nighttime/morning storms that weren't severe but we haven't had the heat yet to really get an outbreak going. You are definitely correct that our season, especially near NYC/coast, is the summer. I dont have a mean state or anything like that based on reports but here was April 2012: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/1204_summary.html Don't even bother checking May yet since there hasn't be any severe weather for the entire Northeast. April was quite drab outside of a couple of a wind reports in SE PA from a late evening "squall line." The lack of anything in VA/MD is pretty astounding. Usually there is a couple of events, especially for the VA-NY (interior) sections and perhaps a few isolated reports even into New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 Beautiful weekend coming up =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 11, 2012 Author Share Posted May 11, 2012 12z NAM now has 80's close to NYC for tomorrow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 11, 2012 Author Share Posted May 11, 2012 For Sunday also: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 Amazing day out there. 40s this morning, near 70 this afternoon with low RH and breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted May 11, 2012 Share Posted May 11, 2012 18z NAM is even more widespread with the 80s on Sunday than the 12z NAM was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 12, 2012 Share Posted May 12, 2012 18z NAM is even more widespread with the 80s on Sunday than the 12z NAM was. As long as there's not a lot of clouds on Sunday afternoon perhaps 85 degrees may be within reach west/SW of the city. There's SW winds and H85 temps near 11-12C, supportive of 80s, although cloud cover will limit how warm it will get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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