TalcottWx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 A very interesting sky here. High clouds from the debris and spotty TCU in the distance. Looks like we might clear out after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 The warned cell in aa and pg counties was legit. Got caught in it in davidsonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Doesn't seem we took that bad of a hit based on teh 1700z SPC mesoanalysis... -3 to -5 LI's... LL's 7.0-7.5 C/KM... ML are around 6.5 C/KM... 1000-1500 MLCAPE and 1500-2500 SBCAPE... mid 60s DPs amd temps approaching 80 Shear is weak as ****ake mushrooms... so I guess we hope for boundaries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Back to clouds here in Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0694.html MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0694 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 04 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NE OHIO...MUCH OF PA...SRN NJ INTO DELMARVA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 041726Z - 041930Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MAINLY UNORGANIZED CLUSTERS OR PULSE-TYPE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG-TO-SEVERE WIND GUSTS. AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW. DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE NRN CHESAPEAKE INTO CNTRL PA AND NERN OH IN A WARM...MOIST AIR MASS AHEAD OF A SFC COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WAS POSITIONED FROM S-CNTRL NY WWD ACROSS NRN OH. FURTHER S ACROSS CNTRL PA INTO ERN VA...A SFC TROUGH AND WARM FRONT WAS PROVIDING ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. AS TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED THROUGH THE UPPER 70S INTO THE LOW 80S...MLCAPE VALUES ARE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 1500-2000 J/KG BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL HELP OVERCOME MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 20-30 KT TO SUSTAIN UPDRAFTS. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7 C/KM AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL SUPPORT MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG/GUSTY WINDS IN MAINLY DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS. ..LEITMAN/MEAD.. 05/04/2012 ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...AKQ...BUF...CTP...LWX...PBZ...CLE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 4, 2012 Author Share Posted May 4, 2012 Back around 80 out in Leesburg. Hit some nice rain and a little T&L in Chantilly earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Back to clouds here in Baltimore Had sprinkles here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 The warned cell in aa and pg counties was legit. Got caught in it in davidsonville. How was it legit? Any hail, wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 From tonight in Montgomery Village/Gaithersburg: Beautiful shot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Maybe the southern part of Ballenger Creek. I'm a mile SW of the 70, 270, and 340 and Mrs. J about a mile or two west of me...storms and rain avoid us like the plague. The MoCo and Frederick County lines are always the sweet spot. I have to agree. We actually got split last night but at the last minute the storm riding 270 merged with the warned storm to the W and we did get a decent amount of rain for a few minutes. The video I did was of the backside of the storm moving into MoCo. I was out around 11:30 and stopped to get gas on 85 right off of 270. It got extremely windy and the sky was getting dark to the NE of me. Did not amount to much up here as we are partly cloudy and breezy now. Still holding at 80 and muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Had sun, anvil/cirrus leftovers from elevated convection has us back in the shade now at 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 no hail where i was, but strong winds, torrential downpour and some nice lightning. How was it legit? Any hail, wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 no hail where i was, but strong winds, torrential downpour and some nice lightning. Okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 the public doesnt care about verification. lightning is sever and we must have updates every 4 seconds about where it's moving! anyway... the sky cover is still problematic. and spc is not that great at forecasting this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Clouds have cleared off and we have full sun now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 no hail where i was, but strong winds, torrential downpour and some nice lightning. Was it SEVERE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Was it SEVERE? I would say it was borderline severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Fringed with the last blob of showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I would say it was borderline severe. Hail 1 inch in diameter or greater OR wind gust 58mph or higher OR tornado? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Meh.. This was over at like 10 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Meh.. This was over at like 10 am 730 book it? Remember? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Hail 1 inch in diameter or greater OR wind gust 58mph or higher OR tornado? maybe you can ask lwx since they're the ones that issued the warning. I'm merely just posting what I observed. Last check, that is not only allowed on this board, but encouraged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 maybe you can ask lwx since they're the ones that issued the warning. I'm merely just posting what I observed. Last check, that is not only allowed on this board, but encouraged. ...I was just asking...no need to be a jerk. Lord. LWX wasn't in the storm. YOU were. So I was asking you if THEIR warning verified. If you want to be a jerk I can be one right back at you. Calm down... You posted an observation that I was trying to clarify. The things I outlined are the requirements for something to be a severe storm. I didn't just make them up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 ...I was just asking...no need to be a jerk. Lord. LWX wasn't in the storm. YOU were. So I was asking you if THEIR warning verified. If you want to be a jerk I can be one right back at you. Calm down... You posted an observation that I was trying to clarify. The things I outlined are the requirements for something to be a severe storm. I didn't just make them up. I already posted in this thread that there was no hail where I was and that I thought it was borderline severe. It's quite obvious there was no tornado and the average joe Isn't carrying a kestrel with them at all times. You asked a question you already knew the answer to. Carry on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Wasn't it supposed to be 90F with thunderstorms today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Some T&L with elevated convection here. Under .25" of rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 latest HRRR still showing storms starting from 2PM on so I believe. #saveoursevere Stick to surveying No rain in the gauge tonight when I got home and nothing reported on wx bug at the closest location. Typical. Had some rain although light at IAD when you were in chantilly, it fringed Dulles, then we got fringed again this afternoon with another shower. Saw some lightning flashes on the way home tonight to the NW towards Waterford and area. just another typical day for us, no rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Definitely not as hot today as it was yesterday and the day before. Had some clouds for a portion of the day so it looks like that's what held the temps down, but it still was quite humid. Watching that MCS dropping in from WV, I may be woken up by some thunder in the early morning hours if it holds together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 A thunderstorm passed through in the past hour putting down 0.56". I received an additional 0.68" from a storm Friday morning, plus the rain on the 1st puts May off to a good start precipitation wise IMBY. Warm too with CRW at +13.2 on temp departure MTD. Night time storms are becoming a regular occurance lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Beautiful morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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