usedtobe Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Rain makes the fishing better. Lightning makes it exciting. Good luck. Never fished there. I'm guessing you're below the fall line? I caught 29 bass once I got there, the temp forecast was a big bust. Today, I need to cut grass but it needs to dry out which doesn't look that likely based on the radar. I also want to get my tomato plants in the garden today or tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Maybe the southern part of Ballenger Creek. I'm a mile SW of the 70, 270, and 340 and Mrs. J about a mile or two west of me...storms and rain avoid us like the plague. The MoCo and Frederick County lines are always the sweet spot. Nice Frederick split shaping up right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Nice Frederick split shaping up right now Anti-weather bubble FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 meh... some light rain/wind/thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Nice Frederick split shaping up right now shocking, isn't it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 lame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I can already see some clearing behind this crap.. so lets see what happens over next few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Most severe breezy rainshower. Ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Wonder what the 1630z OTLK will do... if it wil cut us out of the SLGT risk or keep us in there after this weak complex came in at totally the wrong time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 The best we can we hope for is for these storms to die out and leave a couple of boundaries around for the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 meh... some light rain/wind/thunder It was worse than that if using how people drove. Blinkers on plenty who have never seen rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 update: fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 update: fringed corn fuel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 complicated day out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 would think they'd slice the eastern section of the slight at least.. maybe as close as 95 and east. instability not forecast to come back too well. may be ok further west.. next 500 energy comes in a bit late tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 n/m.. no major change to new update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 would think they'd slice the eastern section of the slight at least.. maybe as close as 95 and east. instability not forecast to come back too well. may be ok further west.. next 500 energy comes in a bit late tho. Baking here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Baking here.. yeah but we're about to get cloud debris for peak heating and the front is not really moving much--may even back slightly during the afternoon. i guess it could help as a zone for activity. ruc forecasts for sfc cape are meager in the east later. could be elevated activity tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 latest HRRR still showing storms starting from 2PM on so I believe. #saveoursevere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 yeah but we're about to get cloud debris for peak heating and the front is not really moving much--may even back slightly during the afternoon. i guess it could help as a zone for activity. ruc forecasts for sfc cape are meager in the east later. could be elevated activity tho. I am only expecting large hail (quarter to maybe half dollar size) for severe today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 yeah but we're about to get cloud debris for peak heating and the front is not really moving much--may even back slightly during the afternoon. i guess it could help as a zone for activity. ruc forecasts for sfc cape are meager in the east later. could be elevated activity tho. I think a day slightly better than yesterday would be a good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1236 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EASTERN PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND... SOUTHERN ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND... * UNTIL 100 PM EDT * AT 1232 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR UPPER MARLBORO...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RHODE RIVER... SHADY SIDE... LONDONTOWNE... GALESVILLE... MAYO... SOUTH RIVER... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 LWX trigger happy with warning. New one has almost no chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Hmm maybe a radarscope error. Showed one easy of the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 A very interesting sky here. High clouds from the debris and spotty TCU in the distance. Looks like we might clear out after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 The warned cell in aa and pg counties was legit. Got caught in it in davidsonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Doesn't seem we took that bad of a hit based on teh 1700z SPC mesoanalysis... -3 to -5 LI's... LL's 7.0-7.5 C/KM... ML are around 6.5 C/KM... 1000-1500 MLCAPE and 1500-2500 SBCAPE... mid 60s DPs amd temps approaching 80 Shear is weak as ****ake mushrooms... so I guess we hope for boundaries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Back to clouds here in Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0694.html MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0694 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 04 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NE OHIO...MUCH OF PA...SRN NJ INTO DELMARVA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 041726Z - 041930Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MAINLY UNORGANIZED CLUSTERS OR PULSE-TYPE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG-TO-SEVERE WIND GUSTS. AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW. DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE NRN CHESAPEAKE INTO CNTRL PA AND NERN OH IN A WARM...MOIST AIR MASS AHEAD OF A SFC COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WAS POSITIONED FROM S-CNTRL NY WWD ACROSS NRN OH. FURTHER S ACROSS CNTRL PA INTO ERN VA...A SFC TROUGH AND WARM FRONT WAS PROVIDING ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. AS TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED THROUGH THE UPPER 70S INTO THE LOW 80S...MLCAPE VALUES ARE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 1500-2000 J/KG BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL HELP OVERCOME MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 20-30 KT TO SUSTAIN UPDRAFTS. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7 C/KM AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL SUPPORT MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG/GUSTY WINDS IN MAINLY DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS. ..LEITMAN/MEAD.. 05/04/2012 ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...AKQ...BUF...CTP...LWX...PBZ...CLE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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