A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 The broken line of decaying storms dropped 0.06" here early this morning. Still a huge area of clouds associated with festering elevated convection out over Iowa. Think we'll have another round of decaying western Iowa sloppy seconds after midnight tonight here. Compared to yesterdays MCV, this is a lot less organized and robust...it shouldn't have the same staying power but yeah...mid/upper 80s looks unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Clouds already breaking up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 0.87" at LAF yesterday. The most rainfall in a single calendar day we've seen since January 17th (1.46"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 FWIW on the non-severe front...the 0z NMM which handled the ongoing action nicely...fires convection along the front later this evening across northern Illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Picked up 1/2 inch of rain... I slept right through it...must not have been anything too exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 About 0.55" here. Got a little pea size hail with the initial weakening line of storms. There was very little lightning. The area of rain really petered out as it moved toward the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW Storm Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Temps going up fast here in Northern Indiana! Looks like we should reach the 80s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 my point is down to 74 for today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Convective debris should be moving in by the time this crap mixes out (if it mixes out at all). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 There is some blue sky in the western half of the skyline, telling me there should be at least enough breaks in any clouds to reach 70. Wonder how that complex in NW Illinois will affect sky cover up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 There is some blue sky in the western half of the skyline, telling me there should be at least enough breaks in any clouds to reach 70. Wonder how that complex in NW Illinois will affect sky cover up this way. negatively http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~tomw/wisgifloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 negatively http://www.ssec.wisc...wisgifloop.html I should have phrased it based on whether it would just slide SW enough to keep Milwaukee from clouding up too much. It looked like it was sliding SE, so it would stay away for the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 I should have phrased it based on whether it would just slide SW enough to keep Milwaukee from clouding up too much. It looked like it was sliding SE, so it would stay away for the moment. cloud canopy clearly pushing NE into your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 cloud canopy clearly pushing NE into your area Yes, that satellite image bears it out. Oh well, the blue sky will be nice while it lasts for the next 30 minutes lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Yes, that satellite image bears it out. Oh well, the blue sky will be nice while it lasts for the next 30 minutes lol. far sw edge of that complex continues to flare a little but should start dying here before too long as it loses llcoolj support. Either way, the whole complex did some damage to the position of the effective warmfront and we'll be slow to warm compared to earlier thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 far sw edge of that complex continues to flare a little but should start dying here before too long as it loses llcoolj support. Either way, the whole complex did some damage to the position of the effective warmfront and we'll be slow to warm compared to earlier thoughts. I don't know, on Wunderground's obs maps, there are a couple sites already reporting 71F. Considering the projected high is around 78, it wouldn't take a ton of sun to approach that. TWC currently places the warm front from the WI/IA/IL border ESE to the south suburbs of Chicago. I would think it drifts NE from there the rest of the day. MKX thinks the warm front will be squarely in the CWA by evening, while LOT thinks it will be along the WI/IL border. Who knows at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 I don't know, on Wunderground's obs maps, there are a couple sites already reporting 71F. Considering the projected high is around 78, it wouldn't take a ton of sun to approach that. 78 is doable, i was talking about the mid 80s we were talking about 24-36 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 FWIW on the non-severe front...the 0z NMM which handled the ongoing action nicely...fires convection along the front later this evening across northern Illinois Yeah that run would def be nice for here after 9pm or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Yeah that run would def be nice for here after 9pm or so. that action had been advertised well north for days but given outflow from last nights stuff, I can understand the shift south...but still probably a 88 north event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Notice how Alek always shifts things south into his area. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Notice how Alek always shifts things south into his area. LOL. How is that near 90 you were calling for today working out...my point is down to 74...the game has changed. I'm sure the 12z hi-res will show this as well. 82-90 here on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Full on sun currently, and sitting at 70 humid degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 How is that near 90 you were calling for today working out...my point is down to 74...the game has changed. I'm sure the 12z hi-res will show this as well. Things look to be working out better in the destabilization department than they often do. Usually the cloud debris hangs on longer. Mostly sunny for the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Things look to be working out better in the destabilization department than they often do. Usually the cloud debris hangs on longer. Mostly sunny for the moment. you'll make a run late but as the map i posted above shows...you have a long ways to go with a large pool of stablized air to your west/southwest and outflow pushing well south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Had some 40mph wind gusts about an hour or two ago on the back side of the decaying rain mass. Must have been a meso high on the back side of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Had some 40mph wind gusts about an hour or two ago on the back side of the decaying rain mass. Must have been a meso high on the back side of it. nice, love when that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Heavy rain potential starting to look very real. 6z and 12z GFS bear that out, and the St. Louis (LSX) WRF has been showing the threat for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Heavy rain potential starting to look very real. 6z and 12z GFS bear that out, and the St. Louis (LSX) WRF has been showing the threat for days. hpc has had your area in 2-3 inches for days now...gfs is clearly struggling with convective issues though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Had a brief storm last night, but slept through most of it! Lots of debris clouds this morning. A dim sun is starting to come out now. 71°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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