A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 really intense rain smell...coming down just hard enough to give a needed soaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 watch the line pushing near the WI/IL border...really going to push the boundary south...hard to believe upper 90s are on deck for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aurora Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Neat stratocumulus undulatus asperatus clouds (at least that's my best guess on what these are) outside of my subdivision this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 getting some high quality gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 watch the line pushing near the WI/IL border...really going to push the boundary south...hard to believe upper 90s are on deck for tomorrow. That is an elevated boundary that has all formed on, the surface front is across Central IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Did a little research on temperatures and rainfall for the Indy 500 throughout its history. A couple of missing numbers (1912 and some mid 1930's races) because NCDC didn't have the data available. http://765weather.blogspot.com/2012/05/indianapolis-500-historical-weather.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 That is an elevated boundary that has all formed on, the surface front is across Central IL. i've watched a few outflow boundaries push south off that complex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 i've watched a few outflow boundaries push south off that complex Yeah but that complex is moving East with nothing behind it and it is only 8:20AM, I think the warm front will have no problem blasting through your area later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Yeah but that complex is moving East with nothing behind it and it is only 8:20AM, I think the warm front will have no problem blasting through your area later today. today, probably not, tonight, sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 lol, my point is for a high of 73, overnight low of 72 and high tomorrow of 97 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 interesting weather this weekend across North America. You have record warmth and heat advisories for the heartland, Winter storm warnings in Montana, Tropical Storm warning for the SE and to finish it off some frost advisories in Maine (not that unusual but weird to see with all the other stuff ongoing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 The NAM painting some moderate CAPE 3000jg + over parts of lower MI tomorrow. Don't light a match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Picked up 0.01" rain after midnight. Supercell was heading right at us and died right at the doorstep lol. Two day total of 0.04". Probably gonna lead to even warmer temps tomorrow. Point here has been adjusted up to 96 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 The NAM painting some moderate CAPE 3000jg + over parts of lower MI tomorrow. Don't light a match. Been showing that for a while. Doubt we break the cap though...should just be a straight up scorcher of a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 What a noisy and wet morning! Woke up to thunder around 6am, then downpours and lightning all the way to 10am. Just quit raining now. Breezy and cool in the upper 50s now. 1"+ of rain for sure. Off, I'm half way there! 0.52". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 It's amazing how poorly most of the models have fared with the last day's convection. The 0z NAM still was unable to pick up on this morning's MCS over N Iowa, S Wisconsin and N Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 It's amazing how poorly most of the models have fared with the last day's convection. The 0z NAM still was unable to pick up on this morning's MCS over N Iowa, S Wisconsin and N Illinois. The NAM really messed up the precipitation placement. The RPM and WRF-NMM got it! Predicted high of 75°, may not happen given 20 mph gusts off the lake today! Edit: DLL better watch to the west! T-storm complex headed east-southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 The NAM really messed up the precipitation placement. The RPM and WRF-NMM got it! Predicted high of 75°, may not happen given 20 mph gusts off the lake today! Edit: DLL better watch to the west! T-storm complex headed east-southeast. Yeah, I should have clarified, most of the long range models screwed up. The HRRR and RPM/local models, as you said, have indicated some MCS activity in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 Only ended up with a bit of drizzle here...and only a T and ORD too. Warm front is approaching PIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 This weather is puke. 71 overcast with showers. Saturday fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 78/52 here in Dunlap. 89 at Lafayette and 85 at Indpls. Guess where the surface warm front is. This could get interesting for storms up here in Michiana later this evening depending upon formation of a MCS and how it curves along the boundary. Sparty, hopefully next weekend will be great for hiking. One of my favorite things to do in state and county parks as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 big change to the new Day 1...slight risk extended well east into North/North Central Illinois...going to have to watch the MCS potential later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 LOT disco. on today's forecast. .DISCUSSION... 1115 AM CDT UPDATE FOR THIS AFTERNOON... SHORT WAVE TRACKING ACROSS SE WI AND NE IL AT LATE MORNING WILL BE E OF LOCAL AREA BY 12 NOON CDT. ALL REMAINING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO MOVE OFF TO THE E WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH. CHANCE OF MORE CONVECTION RETURNS LATER AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE ROTATES FROM THE MID MO VALLEY TO ALONG OR NEAR THE IA...WI...IL BORDER JUNCTION BY 00Z. THE WARM FRONT THAT HAS BEEN LIFTING NORTHWARD FROM CENTRAL IL INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD AND BE NEAR THE WI BORDER BY 00Z. WHILE MODELS SHOW SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASING ELEVATED CAPE AS MID LEVELS WARM THIS MID LEVEL WARMING WILL ALSO INCREASE MID LEVEL CAPPING. WITH NO LOW LEVEL FEATURES TO PROVIDE THE LIFT TO OVERCOME THE NEGATIVE CAPE AREA THE THREAT OF CONVECTION S OF THE WARM FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING WILL BE FROM MINIMAL N WHERE THE WARM FRONT WILL BE LOCATED...TO NIL S WHERE STRONG CAP WILL BE IN PLACE. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S ACROSS THE S PORTION OF THE FA AS THE WARN FRONT WILL BE PASSING NORTHWARD WHILE NORTHERN PORTIONS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S AS THE WARM FRONT IS NOT PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS THIS PART OF THE FA UNTIL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS NEAR THE IL LAKESHORE WILL BE HELD MOSTLY TO UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S AS A COMBINATION OF THE EASTERLY SYNOPTIC SCALE LOW LEVEL FLOW N OF THE WARM FRONT AND A CONTRIBUTION TO THE E FLOW DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ADVECTS BL AIR OVER THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S WATERS OF SOUTHERN LAKE MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Yea!! got a whole .13" this morning. lol But didn't expect even that so I'll take it. overcast and 70 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Just hit 90. Should be able to tack on a couple more degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Been hanging around 63-64° the last hour. Mostly cloudy, ENE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 already plenty of MUCAPE to work with around here and points west, would be really nice to have a late MCS plow through here tonight. 80/58 here with southeast winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 already plenty of MUCAPE to work with around here and points west, would be really nice to have a late MCS plow through here tonight. 80/58 here with southeast winds. damn...i'm 61-62 at best. Convection chances are interesting but pretty slim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 25 degree temp difference from yesterday at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 86/61 here with increasing sunshine. Warm front is pretty close. Despite being in the slight risk now I don't think we'll get anything this far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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