SpartyOn Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Im hopeful the models fail on the fantasy cut-off next weekend. Don't need any rain next weekend as Im backpacking a 23 mile trail for 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Ouside shot of triple digits at ORD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Some heat coming. I'll take it if it'll bring some storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Ouside shot of triple digits at ORD? Unlikely I would say. Local forecast is going with 90° only. That map is horrible! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 I'd say less than 10% chance of hitting 100 at ORD. Even if you take the warmer NAM thermal profiles, it's pretty marginal. I think the ceiling is probably like 98 if everything goes right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Unlikely I would say. Local forecast is going with 90° only. That map is horrible! lol ORD hits the mid 90s. Take it to the bank ORD had a great stretch last summer of hitting the upper 90s to near 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Models are indicating a tongue of low 850 mb dewpoints...some of that could try to mix down and lower dewpoints more than progged which is something that has been happening with regularity lately. In turn it could increase the temps a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 I'd say less than 10% chance of hitting 100 at ORD. Even if you take the warmer NAM thermal profiles, it's pretty marginal. I think the ceiling is probably like 98 if everything goes right. Unless they borrowed Indy's intrahour bump machine for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 ORD hits the mid 90s. Take it to the bank ORD had a great stretch last summer of hitting the upper 90s to near 100. I'm not doubting mid 90s. A lot of times these really hot days that are forecast bust low, especially to the north in my area. 94° is the hottest temperature I've ever seen in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 We haven't had a day like this in a while... cloudy, cool(low 60s), damp, a smattering of light showers. This weekend will be quite different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 I started a heat wave thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/34676-memorial-weekend-heat-wave/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Clouded over here, cooled off a bit too, 68°. Hoping some showers will pop up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Low 70Fs here...more clouds now. Light north wind. I'll take it. You guys can have that upper 90F crap. No thanks. 80F is about tops for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 12z NAM showing a thunderstorm complex moving across central WI during the early morning of Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 25, 2012 Author Share Posted May 25, 2012 12z NAM showing a thunderstorm complex moving across central WI during the early morning of Sunday. As mentioned before, this is the 4km nested run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 City and Metro Airport are both at 89*F. . That was the number earlier in the month. Hopefully we can eek out an intra-hour 90*F at least this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 As mentioned before, this is the 4km nested run. What difference does that make? Is this run not legit? Skilling had the same idea with showers and thunderstorms across far N IL, the bottom half of WI and MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 90 here Wana say almost an 8 degree bust on the low side. God bless the dry soils! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 ^^ a couple days in the mid 60s low 70s will feel amazing after this oven of the weekend. Hope Sat next weekend plays nice weather got some serious hiking coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 ^^ a couple days in the mid 60s low 70s will feel amazing after this oven of the weekend. Hope Sat next weekend plays nice weather got some serious hiking coming up. Definitely! Hope that cutoff cooperates for your hiking wknd! Not looking that good as of now though.. But it'll change many times i'm sure by next week the GFS/Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 decent action straddling the IA/MO border...p sure it will shiit the bed as it moves east but i'll be watching anyways. EDIT: most hi-res are too far north with on going action...things could get interesting if they hang in long enough to get a decent cold pool going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Definitely! Hope that cutoff cooperates for your hiking wknd! Not looking that good as of now though.. But it'll change many times i'm sure by next week the GFS/Euro... That's a deep trough! That would be low 60s and showers on that particular map, likely for here. Got some sprinkles falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Top shelf warm day here. The lower dews and dry soils really help temps explode into the 90s. Kinda been the trend all spring around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Had sun most of the day which allowed us to hit 83. Really clouded up in the last hour or so as some dying showers are moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Finally getting a noteworthy shower this evening! 60° currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Had sprinkles earlier but nothing measurable. Most of the action in Iowa **** the bed as Alek predicted earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Completely missed out on everything yet again. With Monday's frontal passage looking only so-so for storms, there's a decent chance this will be our driest May in 20 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 outflow trying to push some weak convection in....pretty nice gusts...almost cold out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Hopeful that the rain event follows the most recent trends around here. That it falls apart and doesn't shed a drop once it pushes past Lansing. To hell with this rain crap today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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