wxman1952 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Love to see some severe action. We're getting pretty dry here in Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 0z GFS looks like it runs a MCS E-W from IA to IL/WI along the instability gradient/warm front saturday afternoon/evening. Right on the north side of the mid-level ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 This ridge is going to be a killer for me on Saturday. I'm moving from Murray to my first post college graduate job in Paducah on Saturday and it looks like we could be flirting with 100 the degree mark. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 0z GFS looks like it runs a MCS E-W from IA to IL/WI along the instability gradient/warm front saturday afternoon/evening. Right on the north side of the mid-level ridge. Temperatures are definitely responding to that complex too. Looks like a cooler day this run, compared to previous runs today. Easterly component to the flow north of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 This ridge is going to be a killer for me on Saturday. I'm moving from Murray to my first post college graduate job in Paducah on Saturday and it looks like we could be flirting with 100 the degree mark. Yuck. That stinks! Maybe try to do the strenuous work early in the morning or late in the day. If anything - take lots of water breaks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 IWX has an article posted that discusses developing drought conditions. http://www.crh.noaa....=83346&source=0 Although it is spotty and not nearly as bad as some regions of the country, the forecast looks to exacerbate the problem. In our subforum there seems to be a ribbon of drought conditions that follows the Wabash river valley through Northern/Central IN, down the IN/IL line to Southern IL and Western KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 IWX has an article posted that discusses developing drought conditions. http://www.crh.noaa....=83346&source=0 Although it is spotty and not nearly as bad as some regions of the country, the forecast looks to exacerbate the problem. In our subforum there seems to be a ribbon of drought conditions that follows the Wabash river valley through Northern/Central IN, down the IN/IL line to Southern IL and Western KY. What's interesting is that the drought monitor maps don't really align well with the percent of normal precip maps over the past 60 days ... http://water.weather.gov/precip/index.php?yday=1337688000&yday_analysis=0&layer%5B%5D=0&layer%5B%5D=1&layer%5B%5D=4&timetype=RECENT&loctype=NWS&units=engl&timeframe=last60days&product=per_normal&loc=regionCR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Digging this potential heat and T-Storm action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Digging this potential heat and T-Storm action. T-storm chances are pretty meh...especially east of the river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 T-storm chances are pretty meh...especially east of the river I was thinking more about Saturday and this upcoming holiday weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 I was thinking more about Saturday and this upcoming holiday weekend. i was talking about the same period...bunch of meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 NWS Indy AFD: RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AT INDIANAPOLIS ARE 94 DEGREES AND COULD BE THREATENED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 going to be very windy tomorrow across parts of the area. for southwest WI off the 12z NAM, 50kts just off the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Hopefully before the heat arrives this weekend, the areas that need rain will get it along the warm front. There's no point in cutting the grass this week as it looks now! Yet another chilly morning at 42°. Couple lows at 39° around the area even! I think the dry soils are helping the lows dip lower then they normally would this time of year. 66° currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 I would hate to be in the landscape business this year. Those guys got royally ****ed by the lack of winter and snow. Now they are getting screwed by the developing drought. You can't cut it if ain't growing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 I would hate to be in the landscape business this year. Those guys got royally ****ed by the lack of winter and snow. Now they are getting screwed by the developing drought. You can't cut it if ain't growing. It depends on your business model. A lot of the plow people here had windfall profits as they contract a flat monthly rate. So because there was little to plow, money was still coming in without having to spend money on actually plowing. Same can be said for those who contract flat monthly lawn cutting. But for those who get paid by the job, ouch, what a bad year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 The middle to end of next week looks like it might get chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 NWS Indy AFD: RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AT INDIANAPOLIS ARE 94 DEGREES AND COULD BE THREATENED. Sounds like you are going to have a great time at IMS on Sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 The middle to end of next week looks like it might get chilly. Overnight lows might dip into the 40s but the a typicall recovery into top shelf 70s and pure sun look possible. Soak up those easy pleasant day while we can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Overnight lows might dip into the 40s but the a typicall recovery into top shelf 70s and pure sun look possible. Soak up those easy pleasant day while we can. Not to say the models are correct but if 850 temps below 0C were to verify as both the GFS and Euro show for later next week, it surely wouldn't be in the 70s for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 dtx CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE STATE THROUGH SATURDAY...AS BUILDING SURFACE HIGH OVER ONTARIO (1028 MB) LEADS TO COOLER EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...THE CHANCES ARE GOOD THE WARM FRONT PUSHING NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND WILL LEAD TO ONE OR MORE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...BUT UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING...DAYTIME HOURS OF SATURDAY OR MORE FAVORABLE NOCTURNAL (INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET) SATURDAY NIGHT...PRECLUDES GOING MORE THAN CHANCE POPS. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL TRY TO PUSH IN ON SUNDAY...BUT SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN STILL REMAINS ON THE FRINGE (AS 588 DAM HEIGHT...500 MB) CAN NOT MAKE IT MUCH PAST EIGHT MILE)PER MODEL CONSENSUS. THE 00Z AND THE 12Z EUROPEAN CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE THE SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINING HUNG UP ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF OF THE CWA...BUT WITH 700 MB TEMPS IN THE LOWER TEENS...ACTIVITY SHOULD BE CAPPED...ALLOWING FOR TEMPS STILL MAKING INTO THE UPPER 80S TOWARD 90 DEGREES...AND WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS GENERAL THEME. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE A CONCERN IF THE CAP IS BROKEN...AS INSTABILITY WILL BE HIGH...MLCAPES AROUND 2500 J/KG. WOULD FAVOR ANOTHER HOT DAY ON MONDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH IS PROJECTED TO SWING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MUCH COOLER AIR TO FOLLOW FOR THE MID WEEK PERIOD AS LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA ADVANCES TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION. I'll travel down several miles to feel that heat....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 That ULL is gonna piss the models off as we progress forward here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Classic 588 ridge setting up for Ohio/Michigan/Kentucky/Indiana this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Really nice day today again. High 73°. Sunny today, but with some high clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 84 here after a low of 50. Nice breeze all afternoon so it still felt nice. Humidity is pretty low too. Hoping we can finally get a decent thunderstorm for the first time this year tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 i was talking about the same period...bunch of meh Monday afternoon/night looks to be the best shot at rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 96 hour projected rainfall, 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 Minnesota, Iowa, and western Wisconsin always hog all the rain and t-storms this time of year. They just have better climatology. The lakes and ohio valley get the leftover scraps of dying MCS debris and trailing cold fronts with no good forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 Minnesota, Iowa, and western Wisconsin always hog all the rain and t-storms this time of year. They just have better climatology. The lakes and ohio valley get the leftover scraps of dying MCS debris and trailing cold fronts with no good forcing. 6/2/90, 5/13/95, 6/5-6/10, 5/31/85, 5/30/04, 5/29/82, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeauDodson Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 I don't recall an April or May being this quiet - in this region. Very very quiet. Drought rules - very dry down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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