Chicago Storm Posted May 20, 2012 Author Share Posted May 20, 2012 It's still 80 at MDW as of midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Jesus ... until you graphically create these maps you can't fully grasp the differences. GFS @ 1 pm next Saturday. EURO @ 1 pm next Saturday. So... 50s for me on GFS and 90s on EURO. WOW. I don't think I've ever seen a spread like this?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Wow 00Z GFS has 2m temps in the mid 50s for highs next Saturday. As much as I hate to say it, the cooler solution will usually verify this time of the year. It's easier for a cold front to scream south of me than it is to hold it up north of me. The MJO has managed to sneak out of the circle of death into phase 8 ( torchy phase ) heading for 1 ( cooler ) and thus what i suspect has to do with this. The models however have not done well with this either and thus why i would wait before jumping. Lets first wait and see if it can manage to get to phase 1. As of 12z the euro was not on-board with the trip into Phase 1 and thus crapped it right back into the circle of death in phase 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 How was summer 1911? Sent from my iPad Hoosier answered the question but i will also add it was a neutral winter ( 1910-11 ) followed by a neutral/near weak Nina Spring/summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Jesus ... until you graphically create these maps you can't fully grasp the differences. GFS @ 1 pm next Saturday. EURO @ 1 pm next Saturday. So... 50s for me on GFS and 90s on EURO. WOW. I don't think I've ever seen a spread like this?? It's 168/174 hrs out, of course there are going to be discrepancies (and possibly large ones) between forecasted temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 The Euro and GFS are worlds apart. The 6z GFS is chilly for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 00Z EURO has trended toward the GFS. Warmth is over next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 00Z EURO has trended toward the GFS. Warmth is over next weekend. Meh. Too early to say its DOA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Kind of liking my thunder chances later. Glad to see the death heat signal is fading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 lmao @ DVN being exluded from yet another severe weather event. Already 82/61 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 send rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Kind of liking my thunder chances later. Glad to see the death heat signal is fading. SPC thinks that you could have a strong storm later today. Euro's still pretty warm for next weekend. Don't count it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 The MJO has managed to sneak out of the circle of death into phase 8 ( torchy phase ) heading for 1 ( cooler ) and thus what i suspect has to do with this. The models however have not done well with this either and thus why i would wait before jumping. Lets first wait and see if it can manage to get to phase 1. As of 12z the euro was not on-board with the trip into Phase 1 and thus crapped it right back into the circle of death in phase 8. Then there's this. It will still torch, it's just that the warmest air could set up further south (2010-esque). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 00z Euro is still pretty warm for most of us...it just squashes the heat farther south than previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 It was hot yesterday at Devil's Lake in Wisconsin! And kinda busy too. Hit 87° at the airport, luckily there was a strong breeze mixing the air up along the bluffs, otherwise it would have been more uncomfortable hiking around the lake! Only 80° back home yesterday, but beating that by far today - at 85° right now. Few pictures: Above: South end of the lake. On top of a bluff that is about 1400 ft asl. Lake is about 963ft asl. Above: Pewit's Nest State Natural Area. ~2 miles SW of Baraboo, WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 That is a neat area of Wisconsin. If you get a chance, go up to Lake Wazee. It reminds me a lot of Devils Lake, but the water is clearer and there is less people...and a better beach. Only $3.00 to get in. Front blew through here with strong west winds... Temp dropped about 10F...NO RAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 I'm actually liking the 12z GFS for storms later next week. It's got some strong wind fields going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 EURO heat blast: Get the AC ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 There's a nice lake breeze convergence zone forming just to my west. It would be nice if something would fire up on that. The cumulus field looks to be capped though for now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 That is a neat area of Wisconsin. If you get a chance, go up to Lake Wazee. It reminds me a lot of Devils Lake, but the water is clearer and there is less people...and a better beach. Only $3.00 to get in. Front blew through here with strong west winds... Temp dropped about 10F...NO RAIN. Thanks for the tip. I'll look into that lake too. Flirting with 90° with an 89° now. Strong storm cell east of Sterling, IL right now. Glad the dewpoint is low, otherwise I'd have the AC on. Edit: Have hit 90° now. A couple weeks early for sure. Ok now it can cool off! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Down to 62F after 83F earlier...it actually feels cold out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Upper 80's predicted for Northern IN for both Saturday and Sunday. Low dews, dry soil, deep mixing, normal hotspot = LAF 91° 90° at LAF at 5 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Hit 86. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 KYIP hit 90 again (shocker) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 20, 2012 Author Share Posted May 20, 2012 ORD topped out at 93 today...2F off the record high (95 - 1977). Made it up to 90 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Temperature is dropping quick with thunderstorm outflow whipping in at 40mph +! Down in the low 70s with rain and thunder now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Really got jipped on the rainfall here. Thunderstorms really firing up over Lake Michigan right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 57F last I checked.... House is still very warm from earlier... Wind feels like AC> Euro shows 90F next Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Feels like the AC has been turned on here with east winds taking over atm. Temp falling below 70° now, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Traverse City had a high of 93 with a low of 70 today. That's incredible for May, let alone any other time of the year. The caveat is that the 70 might not hold through 1 am to make it official. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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