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May 2012 General Discussion


Chicago Storm

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Euro is an inferno. I'm not sure about mixing depth but there are 850 mb temps of 28C in eastern Iowa.

Very July 2011 like. GFS paints a slightly different picture with respect to a stationary boundary a tad further south. Kinda Muting da heat (barely) and bringing a possible onslaught of severe storms and mcs

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classic. That stuff would never grow up by Geos house in Waukegan :shiver:

Port Washington was in the 60s all day today and I was in the upper 70s. What a difference 3 miles makes. I notice they leaf out about 2 weeks later down there than I do.

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00z GFS just getting even more aggressive with the late week short wave moving across the northern US, keeping the heat south. 12z Euro and 00z GFS are 20 degrees apart friday & saturday.

Climo would lean toward the GFS verifying? Wonder who wins. I have a sneaking suspicion the EURO is out to lunch on this one, but with the dry soils and warmer than normal lakes, who knows? This is a hard call to make.

I guess let's see what tonight's 00Z EURO does.

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Wow 00Z GFS has 2m temps in the mid 50s for highs next Saturday. As much as I hate to say it, the cooler solution will usually verify this time of the year. It's easier for a cold front to scream south of me than it is to hold it up north of me.

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