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May 2012 General Discussion


Chicago Storm

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Someone better order up some tstorms soon... Neighbors are already watering their lawns. I see my grass is turning brown in areas and I haven't mowed in a week.

It's remarkable how fast the sun has been drying things out. We had an inch of rain on 5/6 but already alot of the ground is so parched it's cracked. The low humidity is probably the main culprit.

Low of 56 °F at 4 am, already up to 61 °F with a light southerly wind kicking up. It's gonna be a hot one and windy. Maybe good dust devil weather?

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As Tony mentioned in the C/W thread, this large, broad trough showing up next week on the models bears close watching for svr wx interests here.

Impressive hodographs in western IL from the 18 and 00z runs of the gfs. And instability won't be lacking.

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I can definitely feel the increased mugginess outside... 55 dewpoint is still pretty reasonable for this time of year, but yesterday it was 45 and the day before it was 35. I was getting a bit sweaty while watering plants this morning whereas the last couple mornings were very pleasant.

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Many places are already in the mid and upper 70s on this side of the state, should have no problem hitting the high. I wouldn't be shocked if we end up somewhere around 85.

Looks like Traverse City may hit 90 today. It was already 81 at 10:53 AM, and yesterday it certainly overachieved with its 86 high.

Traverse City certainly seems to be the hot spot of the state in these situations.

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Looks like Traverse City may hit 90 today. It was already 81 at 10:53 AM, and yesterday it certainly overachieved with its 86 high.

Traverse City certainly seems to be the hot spot of the state in these situations.

Wow, they're surpassing the temperature rise compared to here! I would think they'd be cooler being on the bay and having the lake just to the west.

Up to 78° here, coming off a 52° low. Glad the dewpoints are low - going hiking at Devil's Lake today!

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Many offices this morning are talking about potential 90s by late in the week next week. Chicago though even mentioned an outside shot at triple digits.

Looking at records for DTW, the all time record high for DTW in May is 95 set all the way back in 1895 on the 31st. Not that I think it will happen but to put into reference how rare 100 would be for here, June 8th hit 100 in 1933 after that the next 100+ record is June 25th set back in 1988 at 104.

As for Chicago, like Detroit it has never hit 100 for the month of May, the all time record is 98 set back in 1934, their first 100 record fell on June 1st also in 1934 at 102. Their next +100 record isn't until the 19th of June, where it hit 102 in 1953.  Needless to say anything around 100 would be all time record territory for Detroit/Chicago.

Not to be nitpicky but they are talking heat index.  Apparent temp = heat index.

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Wow, they're surpassing the temperature rise compared to here! I would think they'd be cooler being on the bay and having the lake just to the west.

Up to 78° here, coming off a 52° low. Glad the dewpoints are low - going hiking at Devil's Lake today!

TVC does well with regards to heat because of downsloping from every direction except north. Lake Michigan sits nearly 25-30 miles west with terrain in between, so there is no lake influence from a wind out of that direction.

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These are the perfect set-ups to have a lake breeze. Stagnant mid 80s inland and low 70s at the coast with a fresh breeze! :sun: Everyday the vegetation is getting noticeably dried out, since April 1st, I've had just 2.06" rain IMBY, which is about a 1/3rd of normal.

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Wow, they're surpassing the temperature rise compared to here! I would think they'd be cooler being on the bay and having the lake just to the west.

Up to 78° here, coming off a 52° low. Glad the dewpoints are low - going hiking at Devil's Lake today!

TC gets downsloping.

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GFS is still pushing a front through the upper midwest late next week and keeps it less warm, but wow is the 12z Euro hot. It has a low temp in the mid to upper 70s over a wide area next Saturday with highs in the 90s everywhere and 100 in Nebraska... and it is probably underdoing the surface temps given recent history. And it stays this hot through Tuesday. Yikes!

Euro_850.jpg

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Strong surface heating + dry ground + light winds = dust devils.

I saw 3 in a 20 mile stretch this afternoon.

FWA reporting 86 at 3 PM, 88 on my Davis. High temp bust (85). Anyone in our subforum who complains about today's weather should be weenie tagged.

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Upper 80's predicted for Northern IN for both Saturday and Sunday.

Low dews, dry soil, deep mixing, normal hotspot = LAF 91°

I was thinking Sunday when I posted this. They may not make it today, but it will be close. I hope cu doesn't bite me tomorrow.

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I would ultimately wait to see the outcome of the upper level trough Sunday-Wednesday before seeing how much of an impact the dry grounds locally will have on this heatwave.

The models have been waffling back and forth between a more passive/sheared out shortwave with little height falls, and a somewhat strong, closed off low.

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91 here actual feel like temp is 94 pretty dry heat, feels spectacular! Sitting on the lake, drinking beer and catching crappie on this beautiful day. THis spring has been ridiculously warm, these positive anomalies can't last forever. I'm foreseeing a very hot and dry summer ahead.

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