michsnowfreak Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 UPDATE: http://www.google.co...a6da2435057.231 http://www.google.co...057.231&index=0 Crazy! I wonder what their climate is like...similar to ours perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 UPDATE: http://www.google.co...a6da2435057.231 http://www.google.co...057.231&index=0 That's something for Mid May! Pretty impressive at the elevation that Sarajevo is between 1600-2000 ft asl. Today was perfect, not too warm or too cool. Low dewpoints in the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Crazy! I wonder what their climate is like...similar to ours perhaps? Yup. I was born in Bosnia. I grew up in Germany tho. THe climate is very similar, however they have no humidity/dews are always low! Basically temperatures can heat up to 100f during the day and fall to the 40s overnight. It's amazing. Lots of nature, and it's very hilly. Here are a few pictures. Views from my house are amazing, I can see the whole city! It's somewhat like Denver, Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Pretty dry air here too. There's a 40+ degree spread between temps and dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 14, 2012 Share Posted May 14, 2012 Hit 81 today. Way over the forecast high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aurora Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Absolutely perfect spring day today. I'm fine with a lack of thunderstorms if the weather consistently stays this beautiful. Went for a nice bike ride at dusk, it was gorgeous outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Today was the definition of a perfect day. Mid 70's, no humidity and full on sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Crazy dewpoint spread right now between lakeside and inland. Lake breezes do much more than cool an airmass! CLE-HOPKINS MOCLDY 65 31 28 N3 30.04R CLE-LAKEFRONT PTCLDY 59 50 72 W3 30.01R Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Crazy dewpoint spread right now between lakeside and inland. Lake breezes do much more than cool an airmass! CLE-HOPKINS MOCLDY 65 31 28 N3 30.04R CLE-LAKEFRONT PTCLDY 59 50 72 W3 30.01R That's interesting... at UGN airport it is 65° 33°, which is 4 miles from the lake. and at a Weatherbug site about 1/2 miles from the lake in Waukegan it is 67° 32°. Lake Erie must be "acting" different then Michigan. Down to 60° at 9:15pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Looks like a blowtorch today. 86 forecasted. Sent from my iPad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Forecasted general high of 79-81.. Let see if we can bust that on the high side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Looks like a blowtorch today. 86 forecasted. Sent from my iPad http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=43.38109758727857&lon=-87.93251037597656&site=mkx&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 70F here already. Heading toward a high in the low to mid 80s probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Looks windy today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Me thinks the SPC slight risk this afternoon is going to struggle mightily. I simply do not see the oepratioal GFS/NAM dews of mid/upper 60s panning out across southern WI into N IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Me thinks the SPC slight risk this afternoon is going to struggle mightily. I simply do not see the oepratioal GFS/NAM dews of mid/upper 60s panning out across southern WI into N IL. Low level parcel trajectories based on the 00z run of the NAM last night were from eastern Kansas and northern Missouri, where dews mixed out to the mid and upper 40s yesterday afternoon, which suggests even low 50s dewpoints might be a stretch. Latest HRR has greatly backed off on shower coverage in northern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Me thinks the SPC slight risk this afternoon is going to struggle mightily. I simply do not see the oepratioal GFS/NAM dews of mid/upper 60s panning out across southern WI into N IL. Per local discos, the projected dews were more in the 55-60 range, and most of those discos expected them to bust, so this isn't a big surprise really, and it looked like a long shot from the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Up to 75° with a gusty SW wind. Dewpoints still low ~ 45°. RAP suggests dewpoints getting to 50° maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Today should pretty easily be our warmest day of the year. We maxed at 82 in March and then 83 earlier in May. Right now it is already 78 and the forecast high is mid to upper 80s. It still feels decent outside because of the low dewpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 The severe setup is pretty borderline...probably the vast majority of stuff will be sub-severe but still can't rule out some low end severe reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Sitting at 76F, but I noticed the last ob the winds had turned NW... front must be through here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 It has clouded up considerably the past hour, but not before it reached 80F at the airport at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aurora Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Not sure why I'm in a Slight Risk today. There are large T/Td spreads here, and I'm not seeing anything that looks like an inverted V sounding. With the steep lapse rates, I suppose some marginally severe wind gusts could occur with a line of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Today reminds me a bit of 5/17/08 in that regard, but with today's activity expected to arrive after dark, I don't expect any strong winds to mix down to the surface here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Per local discos, the projected dews were more in the 55-60 range, and most of those discos expected them to bust, so this isn't a big surprise really, and it looked like a long shot from the start. Steep mid-level lapse rates are there but the moisture source is vertically diluted and in a narrow ribbon. Anything that forms will be high based. I'm having a hard time seeing how anything will go severe in western Michigan given SW flow off the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I liked the 06Z GFS for the 21st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 High and mid level clouds filtering in. 80° might be the limit today if clouds continue to slide into the area. Winds seem to be picking up though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Low level parcel trajectories based on the 00z run of the NAM last night were from eastern Kansas and northern Missouri, where dews mixed out to the mid and upper 40s yesterday afternoon, which suggests even low 50s dewpoints might be a stretch. Latest HRR has greatly backed off on shower coverage in northern IL. Agreed. RAP had that nailed....only dews in the 40s to near 50-52 across a small area. We will see. I was doing my forecast disco for AWOC today...and was shocked at the stark differences...decided to forecast severe down in the SE. Glad I did...not seeing much of a threat this afternoon up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 12z GFS is a torch through the entire run... We would easily be looking at 70s-90s through the entire run after Wednesday/Thursday locally. It's certainly possible if we can finally and fully shake off the Greenland Block. Beyond that, it's just a matter of if things will be warm/wet or warm/dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Touched 80F, but a few more clouds now and some gusty NW winds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 gotta love it, low level lapse rates around 9.5 and we can only manage LIs around -2 at best....this airmass sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.