Chicago Storm Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Looks to start off warm and stormy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Looks to start off warm and stormy. Definitely looks this way especially on the 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Be nice to get a nice stretch of 70Fs and 80Fs back in here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 I get back into the 60s on Wednesday, so that will be nice. Gotta keep those Hudson Bay highs away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 I get back into the 60s on Wednesday, so that will be nice. Gotta keep those Hudson Bay highs away! While keeping those Hudson Bay highs away will help, the really big fish to fry will be that darn Greenland High. Until that goes away, we might as well get used to Omega Blocks and troughy weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Out chasing from may 11-20th, hoping for an active pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 12z GFS is kind of turdish if you are looking for heat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 12z GFS is kind of turdish if you are looking for heat... Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 -NAO ftw. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 -NAO ftw. Again. -AO ...of course that's right now. Current trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Sorry, -NAO/-AO ftw. heat dome builds out west again. Crazy. We go all winter with neither... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Starting to remember why i never liked med/long range forcasting...i suck at it. Why does it have to be so boring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Interesting read from the 26th afternoon AFD from ARX, they mentioned the MJO several times during the last few months. LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY 345 PM CDT THU APR 26 2012 THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THEIR 500 MB FLOW. THIS MAINLY A RESULT OF A MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION MOVING EAST THROUGH THE EASTERN INDIAN OCEAN. THIS HAS RESULTED IN POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND VERY LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE. AS A RESULT...MADE NO CHANGES AT ALL TO THE ALL BLEND GRIDS. WHILE THE DAY TO DAY MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT...THE COUPLED FORECAST SYSTEM VERSION 2 MODEL AS BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWING TEMPERATURES AVERAGING ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE FIRST TEN DAYS OF MAY...AND IT DOES SHOW SKILL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD...SO A BIT MORE CONFIDENT THAT WE LIKELY SEE AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. The CPC is showing this: CPC Temps: Precip: How often do you see that much confidence with above normal temps, and above normal precip??....Looks like a very active pattern setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 More like a positive trend and maybe then a negative trend. The negative trend has been overblown for months. Understatement and well said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 -NAO ftw. Again. Just like Summer 2010. Hot and stormy with a -NAO. It is funny because conventional wisdom says -NAO means a chill. But not always. Geos I'm not sure a -AO would have helped this past winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Just like Summer 2010. Hot and stormy with a -NAO. It is funny because conventional wisdom says -NAO means a chill. But not always. Geos I'm not sure a -AO would have helped this past winter. Probably not. MJO and NAO messed this winter up, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Just like Summer 2010. Hot and stormy with a -NAO. It is funny because conventional wisdom says -NAO means a chill. But not always. Geos I'm not sure a -AO would have helped this past winter. A -NAO can mean different things at different times of year as the wavelengths change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 It's interesting watching this evolve over the last few days. It has been trending warmer daily and moving all cold anomalies to the PNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Looks like our warmest temps in about a month coming up next week. Low to mid 80s seem possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Even if May averages near normal for temperatures, the spring average will still be near the top warmest. Very hard to wipe out the obscene March anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 iPhone weather now showing a very spring like forecast. Can't wait to see it littered with 90s and T-Storm graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 Euro has a low temp near 70 next Thursday morning, so it looks to be humid as well as warm. It continues to look like there will be several chances to have MCSs moving across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 May is going to be an epic torch after we relaxed for the month of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 Euro showing a strip of 82-90 here on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 There looks to be some severe potential by the end of next week in the mid Mississippi valley area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 Extended GFS is a turd... Doesn't look warm at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 May is going to be an epic torch after we relaxed for the month of April. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 Interesting that no one's mentioning the Day 5 risk area that the SPC just put out. Not often that happens around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 Interesting that no one's mentioning the Day 5 risk area that the SPC just put out. Not often that happens around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 28, 2012 Share Posted April 28, 2012 lol PWNED :lol: And Cromartie where are you seeing 82-90 for Wed on the Euro dude? Looks like 70's at best.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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