andyhb Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 55 thousand feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 KFT? It obviously has something to do with Storm Height... kft = Thousand (k) Feet (ft) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 The storm SE of Medicine Lodge KS is north of the line, and will be moving into OK soon. It should be monitored closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 The northern part of the storm is swirling and wrapping up like crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 The line part of the line should be watched closely, those 110kt. winds at 5000 feet are pretty scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 I did a cross section of the bookend vortex.. that meso is a freakin' high speed express elevator for air from the surface to 33kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reber500 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 The line part of the line should be watched closely, those 110kt. winds at 5000 feet are pretty scary. 110kts at 5000ft? Not even associated with a Circulation... Amazing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 That circulation is so intense it looks to be overwhelming the part of the MCS that it joined with... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 I gotta tell ya this little event has caught me a bit off guard. I looked over the SPC data this morning and didn't look at the models for myself and just thought "Meh 15% blah". But this storm just west of I35 looks pretty mean at the moment...and it's heading in the general direction of the Tulsa metro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Circulation tightening south of Blackwell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Take a Occluding mature synoptic cyclone and scale it down to 50 miles. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reber500 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 That circulation is so intense it looks to be overwhelming the part of the MCS that it joined with... KTS going away from the Radar are Maxed out for a 27-miles stretch west of Ponca City, from the ICT Radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reber500 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 That circulation is so intense it looks to be overwhelming the part of the MCS that it joined with... KTS going away from the Radar are Maxed out for a 27-miles stretch west of Ponca City, from the ICT Radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Can a bookend like this actually put something down or is it just a wind threat? Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Not sure I have ever seen a supercell fight off linear influences like this, couplet really getting going again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Can a bookend like this actually put something down or is it just a wind threat? Just curious. One word: Vilonia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Definite TDS on that circulation...OUN needs to get a TOR out ASAP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 And yes...the circulation is moving W... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Low-ish CC at the couplet, given from the distance from the radar and the fact that it's rain-wrapped. We got a TDS/TOG folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 And yes...the circulation is moving W... Very tight and moving in on Ponca City right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Just a massive meso on this thing...needs a tor, c'mon OUN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 This thing will continue to move east and cycle in response to try to keep up with its upper level mesocyclone getting pushed by upper level winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 MPX already has it's 6z AFD out for the TAF's .AVIATION... /06Z TAF ISSUANCE/ AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE STRETCHES FROM EASTERN MONTANA INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS ADVANCING AHEAD OF IT...INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. RADAR COMPOSITES SHOWED A COUPLE OF AREAS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN DAKOTAS...AND THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL MN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE NIGHT. SFC WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL INCREASE OUT OF SOUTH AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MN BY MID AFTERNOON TUESDAY. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH MORNING SHOWERS WILL SLOW THE DESTABLIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE AREA EARIER IN THE AFTERNOON. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES LOWERING TO MARGINAL VFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CONDITIONS IN THUNDERSTORMS... ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 400 PM AND 9pm I believe that MSP is a 30 hour TAF site, those that are more familiar with it can confirm it or otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 What does OUN see that I don't? This should be tor warned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 What does OUN see that I don't? This should be tor warned! It almost certainly produced a brief tornado earlier given the apparent debris signature. That's gone now though...still would think another possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 If I lived in Ponca City, I'd personally be in my basement as a pre-caution... I'm anxious to see what kind of reports come out of the Ponca City ASOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 there it is: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1103 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA PAWNEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA * UNTIL 1145 PM CDT * AT 1100 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN KAY COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 If that MCS wasn't there, I'm sure we would be seeing something huge out of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 there it is: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1103 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA PAWNEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA * UNTIL 1145 PM CDT * AT 1100 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN KAY COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. That's from Tulsa...ahead of the cell in the next CWA...OUN still keeping SVR for Ponca CIty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Jesus look at that thing from the Tulsa radar, holy crap at that circulation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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