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Severe Weather Thread (April 26 - May 3)


David Reimer

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I gotta tell ya this little event has caught me a bit off guard. I looked over the SPC data this morning and didn't look at the models for myself and just thought "Meh 15% blah". But this storm just west of I35 looks pretty mean at the moment...and it's heading in the general direction of the Tulsa metro...

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That circulation is so intense it looks to be overwhelming the part of the MCS that it joined with...

KTS going away from the Radar are Maxed out for a 27-miles stretch west of Ponca City, from the ICT Radar...

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That circulation is so intense it looks to be overwhelming the part of the MCS that it joined with...

KTS going away from the Radar are Maxed out for a 27-miles stretch west of Ponca City, from the ICT Radar...

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MPX already has it's 6z AFD out for the TAF's

.AVIATION... /06Z TAF ISSUANCE/

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE STRETCHES FROM EASTERN MONTANA

INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST

OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE LATEST SATELLITE

IMAGERY SHOWED SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS ADVANCING AHEAD OF IT...INTO THE

UPPER MIDWEST. RADAR COMPOSITES SHOWED A COUPLE OF AREAS OF SHOWERS

AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN DAKOTAS...AND THESE

SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL

MN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR

THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE NIGHT. SFC WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND

TUESDAY WILL INCREASE OUT OF SOUTH AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. A WARM FRONT

WILL LIFT NORTH OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MN BY MID

AFTERNOON TUESDAY. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON

AND EVENING OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH

MORNING SHOWERS WILL SLOW THE DESTABLIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER

THE AREA EARIER IN THE AFTERNOON. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES LOWERING

TO MARGINAL VFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CONDITIONS IN THUNDERSTORMS...

ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 400 PM AND 9pm

I believe that MSP is a 30 hour TAF site, those that are more familiar with it can confirm it or otherwise

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there it is:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

1103 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

WESTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

PAWNEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1100 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN KAY COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 35

MPH.

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there it is:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

1103 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

WESTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

PAWNEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1100 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN KAY COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 35

MPH.

That's from Tulsa...ahead of the cell in the next CWA...OUN still keeping SVR for Ponca CIty

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