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Severe Weather Thread (April 26 - May 3)


David Reimer

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS

630 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 625 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 4 MILES

SOUTHEAST OF MULLINVILLE. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST

AT 25 MPH. GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

GREENSBURG.

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 625 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 4 MILES

SOUTHEAST OF MULLINVILLE. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST

AT 25 MPH. GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

GREENSBURG.

Gburg.png

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS

632 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...

COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 630 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 10 MILES

SOUTHEAST OF SITKA. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30

MPH. PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

PROTECTION...BUTTERMILK...LAKE COLDWATER AND COLDWATER.

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Given the magnitude of the low level and bulk shear, CAPE like that will be more than sufficient (300-500 J/kg probably isn't going make a whole lot of difference), any breaks in the clouds will obviously exacerbate the situation.

Andy, I agree that's why I said that storms could get nasty along the northern edge of the best instability.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS

639 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN BARBER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

NORTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

SOUTHEASTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

SOUTHWESTERN PRATT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 634 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 9 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF SUN CITY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT

35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

SUN CITY...CROFT...COATS...CULLISON AND SAWYER.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS

648 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0641 PM TORNADO 4 SW GREENSBURG 37.56N 99.34W

04/30/2012 KIOWA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE TORNADO WAS RAIN WRAPPED AND ON THE GROUND. IT SOON

LIFTED, ONLY TO PRODUCE ANOTHER FUNNEL A SHORT DISTANCE

AWAY.

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mcd0637.gif

SPC MCD 302355

MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-010200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0637

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0655 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NRN OK...SRN KS...SWRN MO.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 212...

VALID 302355Z - 010200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 212 CONTINUES.

RAPID DEVELOPMENT/GROWTH OF SUPERCELLS HAS OCCURRED INVOF WARM

FRONTAL ZONE OVER SWRN KS AND EXTREME NWRN OK...WITH FIVE

WELL-DEFINED SRM COUPLETS EVIDENT OVER PORTIONS OF

COMANCHE/BARBER/KIOWA/EDWARDS COUNTIES KS AS OF 2345Z. TORNADO

POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS ACTIVITY EWD ACROSS CORRIDOR FROM

PAWNEE/STAFFORD COUNTIES KS TO WOODS/ALFALFA COUNTIES OK...IN

HELICITY/VORTICITY-RICH ENVIRONMENT OF WARM-FRONTAL ZONE.

SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWED WARM FRONT FROM EXTREME NERN OK

WNWWD...PASSING OBLIQUELY ACROSS KS/OK BORDER INVOF I-35 TO NW

P28...WHERE IT BECOMES LOST IN GROWING AREA OF SVR TSTMS. WARM

FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE DRIFTING NWD OVER MORE OF EXTREME SRN KS.

SUPERCELL THREAT MAY EXTEND JUST E OF WW ACROSS PORTIONS S-CENTRAL

KS AND N-CENTRAL OK...WITH LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES

POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. MAIN THREAT MAY TRANSITION TO

DAMAGING WIND. DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED MCS WITH SUBSTANTIAL BOWING

CHARACTERISTICS AND SVR WIND SWATH APPEARS INCREASINGLY PROBABLE AS

SUPERCELLS AGGREGATE TOGETHER OVER SRN KS. ANY SUCH COMPLEX WOULD

MOVE EWD TO ESEWD...FOLLOWING INSTABILITY GRADIENT ACCOMPANYING

WARM-FRONTAL ZONE...AND ENHANCED BY NEARLY ORTHOGONAL COMPONENT OF

MIDLEVEL WINDS AND DEEP-SHEAR VECTORS ALOFT WITH RESPECT TO LIKELY

CONVECTIVE ALIGNMENT. MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY INDICATES MINOR BUT

POTENTIALLY INFLUENTIAL UPPER-LEVEL PERTURBATION MOVING EWD ACROSS

CAO/SPD AREA...WHICH SHOULD TRACK ENEWD ACROSS SWRN KS IN IMMEDIATE

WAKE OF SWRN KS/NWRN OK CONVECTION. IN LOW LEVELS...FAVORABLE WAA

AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL ACCOMPANY INCREASING LLJ AFTER

00Z...ENLARGING HODOGRAPHS AND ALSO BOOSTING STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW

ATOP BOUNDARY LAYER.

..EDWARDS.. 04/30/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON 36349813 36609879 37339978 38029981 38419845 38179485

37709415 36479467 36259668 36349813

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