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Unsettled cool weather ends April, what does May bring


Ginx snewx

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What are you talking about? Absolute blowtorch through 4/21? It was a blow torch for ONE week from April 14- April 21. Aside from that it was a 'normal month' and the last week of the month has been solidly below normal.

Its been the same up here. I don't know why you guys have this idea that April has been a wall-to-wall torch. You take out that one 7-day period and it may even be below average the rest of the time.

The bottom line is also that the past 9 days have been steadily below normal. I know you like to say since I'm in Northern VT it couldn't possibly reflect the pattern down there in SNE, but snow this time of year as low as it was, is not normal. It takes a below normal airmass... you were not torching while it snowed up here. That is reflected by BDL being solidly below normal these past 9 days.

BDL

ORH

Don't want to cloud the discussion with facts, but this never-ending torch or all torches that some of you keep talking about, just hasn't been there this month aside from 1 seven day period. Keep riding that one week though and ignore the last 9 days. I can see how METS get frustrated trying to show that a pattern change has taken place when some just keep saying its an all-out torch. If you can't see the change between April 14-21 and April 22-30 then, well...

I agree with you 100% focusing just on April, it really has not been a "torch" but rather nice, except for that one week. I am actually enjoying this spring so far, except for today..

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? BOS had 4 -departures all month -3 -3 -4 -5 the rest were normal or above.

dude we went over this on the board

an air strip in the atlantic isn't the best representation of wx over SNE.

i'm not out to get the warm wx fans...I ENJOYED the wx lol

but really

argue the BDL/ORH numbers

u cant

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? BOS had 4 -departures all month -3 -3 -4 -5 the rest were normal or above.

You must have missed the discussion by Tip and others that the lack of on-shore winds skewed that... if the winds aren't coming from off the ocean, it doesn't matter the pattern, BOS will be above normal.

But yes, lets use the one station on an airstrip that juts out into the Ocean to look at SNE temperatures instead of the stations inland like BDL and ORH. Most folks have more in common with BOS than BDL/ORH anyway.

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I think 0.5" give or take 0.1" will do it. Pretty much as planned except south coast just missed out on heaviest rains. Actually rt 2 corridor may have the most..as models as a mini max there with the rains moving in due to the mid level warm front around dawn.

0.60-0.65" on all 3 stations including mine down in westbrook. Definitely more than what radar estimates are showing.

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I agree with you 100% focusing just on April, it really has not been a "torch" but rather nice, except for that one week. I am actually enjoying this spring so far, except for today..

Yeah I enjoyed the weather a lot, not trying to say I prefer cold this time of year (I only do if it snows)... but the posts from some about never-ending torches and stuff is just wrong after we go from a week of +15F departures to 9 days of -5F departures. Its not much below normal but its still 20F lower than where it was... that's a big change and not a "never ending torch."

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Yeah I enjoyed the weather a lot, not trying to say I prefer cold this time of year (I only do if it snows)... but the posts from some about never-ending torches and stuff is just wrong after we go from a week of +15F departures to 9 days of -5F departures. Its not much below normal but its still 20F lower than where it was... that's a big change and not a "never ending torch."

Idk PF weren't you supposed to stop skiing April 1 after that never ending freak warmth ;) lol

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Yeah tomorrow's a nice, sunny day in much of interior SNE 65-70 type of day..not as warm as we thought earlier..but a nice day after any morning fog.

Thurs..looks showery later in the day with hopefully a big MCS at night setting us up for a hot,humid Friday

friday could screw you

f78.gif

thursday is wall to wall overcast

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Yeah tomorrow's a nice, sunny day in much of interior SNE 65-70 type of day..not as warm as we thought earlier..but a nice day after any morning fog.

Thurs..looks showery later in the day with hopefully a big MCS at night setting us up for a hot,humid Friday

I do think the valley gets into the 60s tomorrow and near 70 thursday. Friday I actually do think will be 75-80 and muggy as hell down in ct.

But guidance really is crappy and has a showery look Wednesday afternoon through Thursday and ha bust potential Friday. time will tell.

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THE KFS really struggles when there is any easterly component to the winds in the lower few thousand feet of the atmosphere....it translates 850 temps into surface temps almost verbatim

wonder wether may could be below normal finally....with a -NAO

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Idk PF weren't you supposed to stop skiing April 1 after that never ending freak warmth ;) lol

Haha yeah... but to be fair, this is the first May in 38 years that there will not be lift-serviced "open" skiing in Vermont. Of course we can always hike for it and they will, but this is the first year with no open ski area on May 1st in VT.

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I do think the valley gets into the 60s tomorrow and near 70 thursday. Friday I actually do think will be 75-80 and muggy as hell down in ct.

But guidance really is crappy and has a showery look Wednesday afternoon through Thursday and ha bust potential Friday. time will tell.

Tomorrow is totally dry dude. It's a nice mid week in most of interior SNE.

Thursday looks dry until afternoon anyway. Friday we'll just need to make sure the w/f blasts north

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Tomorrow is totally dry dude. It's a nice mid week in most of interior SNE.

Thursday looks dry until afternoon anyway. Friday we'll just need to make sure the w/f blasts north

I think we will be nice around noon wih increasing clouds with maybe a stray shower toward evening.

Thursday I think may bust low with thick overcast though...maybe 63-65?

And yeah as long as the front blasts north ct will be in the warm sector. I'd feel better at DXR than your area though, but I do think most of ct sees mid 70s.

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