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Unsettled cool weather ends April, what does May bring


Ginx snewx

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Tomorrow looks like a gorgeous day interior SNE with temps near 70..maybe a bit below while ENE is socked in with clouds

Yup. I'm looking foward to a little sun and low 60's. After today's rain, will be great for sprouting the seed I've put down.

Also, for the KFS' sake, it's a good thing the Pit's not one of the climo stations as I already have .25" and raining heavily. Mositure robbed to the south?? Time to swallow your pride on this one, Kevin.

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I may be incorrect on 70+, but if BDL dawns sunny that might be doable still.

You thought it would be cloudy/foggy all day though

Never said cloudy and foggy, although clouds may linger through noon. You just can't warm much when return flow is from se.

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Yup. I'm looking foward to a little sun and low 60's. After today's rain, will be great for sprouting the seed I've put down.

Also, for the KFS' sake, it's a good thing the Pit's not one of the climo stations as I already have .25" and raining heavily. Mositure robbed to the south?? Time to swallow your pride on this one, Kevin.

have you looked at radar? All the convection and hvy rains are south of SNE..we're left with showers

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I appreciate the accolade...but don't worry...I'm busting on Kevin..not upset at all.

But, it is tiresome and I don't want people to log on and see the same thing every day and it feeds into Kevin's web of spin. He's like a spider and you have to be careful he doesn't spin a cocoon around you.

. Thanks for that, it does get tiresome,
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wow, is it going to absolutely torch down here later today, and all the sudden high temps have been bounced by 5 degrees from OKX, no surprise at all.

The warmth continues to win out again and again and again.

Right, has nothing to do with low position.

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Right, has nothing to do with low position.

my guesses for May

bos +4.7

bdl +5.6

pvd +3.9

orh +4.2

Those are my pics, lets go, pick yours closest wins, save them somewhere, case of beer. I will attend the next gtg even though it will be ten hours away.

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The GFS wasn't great on shear, but had awesome lapse rates. Of course, that will all be a function of front position, but at least some MCS activity could role through.

If shear sucks the one thing I want to at least see in place is steep lapse rates. At least this way you can get some decent hailers. There will be a nice cold pool aloft (leading to those steep lapse rates) and cold pools can be fun. Plus even though the shear is weak the mean mid-level flow is like w/nw and in 2008 we had plenty of events with little shear but the flow was w/nw and those still always seemed to do something awesome. I remember several cells that became supercells and had good rotation for having not much shear in place.

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