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Unsettled cool weather ends April, what does May bring


Ginx snewx

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We are all clowns deep down, but we are friends as well. The SNE crew is the best around.

Yeah for sure...and it's a shame I'm in school all the time and can't get down there...you all seem pretty chill.

Maybe this summer if there's a GTG or 2. Been on here for almost a year and am a regular contributor so I think it's about time lol

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:axe:

Think NYC south gets most..maybe Fairfield cty gets in on that..Rest of us less than .25

4 main climo sites in SNE with .25 or less tomorrow.

The KFS is so deadly accurate it only needs to run once per day. It's forecast from 12z yesterday for 12z tomorrow is going to be dead nuts on. Wow, what a model

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I assume these echo's are merely moistening the astmosphere? At least here, nothing's reached the ground. Any reports elsewhere of preciptation?

Awaiting the upcoming SCFFTW significant rains.

I wouldn't expect 2", but I think a half inch anyways..maybe a little more of you are lucky.

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Uh oh...don't tell Weathafella, just yesterday I think he said BOS was the biggest, most important climate spot in New England.

I agree though, judging climate based on an airstrip out over the ocean may not be the best option.

I think his point was if anything, Logan breaks too cold for us typically. Eg his 25F departures in 6 miles. Trust me, it's always on the plus side. And I've torched imby. Iow...l'm right.

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Radar wise, looks like a SNE hole as most precip to the north and south.

It's developed in the last two hours and should continue. Models are pretty good in showing this. Maybe someone gets 0.4", but most probably get around half inch or better. Most places have 0.1-0.25" already.

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Thursday Night -Friday night could be interesting. Models have some good mid level lapse rates moving in.

I think Friday could be a little interesting just off to our west. Shear is lacking but forecast soundings hint at a weak EML moving into parts of PA/NY with good lapse rates and instability. b/c of the lack of shear storms would probably be more pulse type but given the right conditions even those can produce quite well.

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Most of the hvy rains are going to be south of SNE as we were thinking yesterday. Sure some spots will come in over .25..but the 4 major SNE climo sites may very well end up with .25 or less. convection robbing moisture to our south

That's not true at all.

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