CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 I'm starting to think this is a "mean" vs "mode" argument with these climo versus daily deals. It's like the mean is always above normal, but the mode of extremes drills the actual averages below that mean over the long view. It just seems funny to me that we have seemingly never had a below normal month...ever, and that any of those in history must have been lies.. HAHAHAA Ha, yeah I know what you mean. Seems that way. My guess is the first half of May is much more seasonable, and perhaps not prone to crazy extremes...at least the pattern isn't terribly anomalous looking. From a distance, would seem like SNE is about to pay the piper for a nice April...but details TBD. Hopefully it won't be too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Another classic spring day, low 60s and sun actually got cooked today forgot to put on sunscreen. later this week is going to be warm for at least western new england, is 60 now considered chilly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Another classic spring day, low 60s and sun actually got cooked today forgot to put on sunscreen. later this week is going to be warm for at least western new england, is 60 now considered chilly? Low 60s for BDL you mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Another classic spring day, low 60s and sun actually got cooked today forgot to put on sunscreen. later this week is going to be warm for at least western new england, is 60 now considered chilly? low 60's and milky sun not chilly for me....but when sun is in...it isn't t shirt wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Another classic spring day, low 60s and sun actually got cooked today forgot to put on sunscreen. later this week is going to be warm for at least western new england, is 60 now considered chilly? 60 is below normal. Not sure about chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 low 60's and milky sun not chilly for me....but when sun is in...it isn't t shirt wx Cobalt blue skies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 and along the coast it IS chilly low 50's w breeze no thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 60 is below normal. Not sure about chilly. Ok was just a question has nothing to do with normal, I just dont find 60 chilly, but I guess we all have different opinions. At day 7 most sne stations should be well above normal to start May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Cobalt blue skies! yep with a couple whisps, incredible, man it looks like misery in beantown right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Ok was just a question has nothing to do with normal, I just dont find 60 chilly, but I guess we all have different opinions. At day 7 most sne stations should be well above normal to start May. 60-65 with no wind isn't chilly, but south and east coasts are int he 50s with a stout east to se wind. That is chilly. You think the 1st 7 days of May are well above? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 60-65 with no wind isn't chilly, but south and east coasts are int he 50s with a stout east to se wind. That is chilly. You think the 1st 7 days of May are well above? yep I think bdr dxr bdl hfd pvd and possible orh will be yep sure do, +5 or so at day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 yep I think bdr dxr bdl hfd pvd and possible orh will be yep sure do, +5 or so at day 7 I would definitely take the under on that by the end of day 7. I don't disagree we could be a bit on the + side, but +5? I don't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Ok was just a question has nothing to do with normal, I just dont find 60 chilly, but I guess we all have different opinions. At day 7 most sne stations should be well above normal to start May. I have to say, when I was home for a few days this weekend, southern CT usually does the best temperature wise in the Spring. While CNE and NNE were in the 40s to near 50, I was near 60 both days...and 62F is normal on the CT shore at BDR..so probably 59F or so at GON so 60F is average, Scoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 I would definitely take the under on that by the end of day 7. I don't disagree we could be a bit on the + side, but +5? I don't see it. under where? at those sites or BOS, west is obviously warmer than east, shall we have a bet, I schooled you this month at BOS you said +3 I said +5 and still was not high enough:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Cobalt blue skies! Really? Its pretty much been overcast here all afternoon--at least since about 1:00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 under where? at those sites or BOS, west is obviously warmer than east, shall we have a bet, I schooled you this month at BOS you said +3 I said +5 and still was not high enough:) LOL, but you forgot to mention everywhere else, but Logan proper. So, not bad for 99.9% of the area. Did I say +3? I don't recall..but I'll take it..lol. And I meant under at all those sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 LOL, but you forgot to mention everywhere else, but Logan proper. So, not bad for 99.9% of the area. Did I say +3? I don't recall..but I'll take it..lol. And I meant under at all those sites. yep we were bos was +3 after the first week, I said +5 weather ma corrected my math and hubbdave made a funny. cpickles came in with a -2.5 for BOS for April. BOS is the wildcard, and I expect it to be miserable in a setup like this. DXR is the place to be later this week, thats for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 LOL, but you forgot to mention everywhere else, but Logan proper. So, not bad for 99.9% of the area. Did I say +3? I don't recall..but I'll take it..lol. And I meant under at all those sites. Yes we specifically talked about BOS. 6pk of your favorite beer lets guess may departures for the big 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 These 'dry begets dry' torches are killing me. Except for the unbearable heat on Friday........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Yes we specifically talked about BOS. 6pk of your favorite beer lets guess may departures for the big 4 Well other than the tarmac of Logan, looks like my general thoughts were pretty good when looking at PVD, ORH and HFD. I'll take that. I'm a little busy at the moment, but I'll think about May. My guess is probably on the + side, but not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 These 'dry begets dry' torches are killing me. Except for the unbearable heat on Friday........ Mike, you do realize that your last below normal month was like last June right? I never could understand what was so bad talking about reality and what has and what is happening. Coming off one of the warmest falls, winters, marches ever and some keep talking about how cool it is. When its cold its cold, when its warm its warm. I fully expect may to be the 15th month in a row of above normal temps here, jawdropping stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 SREFs are juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Another classic spring day, low 60s and sun actually got cooked today forgot to put on sunscreen. later this week is going to be warm for at least western new england, is 60 now considered chilly? Aren't you tan from SC? You looked almost of African descent in that pic you posted of yourself last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Wow For HFD Wednesday: Areas of fog and drizzle in the morning, partial clearing during the afternoon. Low: 50. High: 68 inland, 67 shore. Thursday: Areas of fog in the morning then partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Low: 53. High: 78 inland, 72 shore. Friday: Partly sunny and warm, scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Low: 56. High: 82 inland, 79 shore. Saturday: Clouds and sun with a chance for a shower or thunderstorm. Low: 59. High: 81 inland, 78 shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Mike, you do realize that your last below normal month was like last June right? I never could understand what was so bad talking about reality and what has and what is happening. Coming off one of the warmest falls, winters, marches ever and some keep talking about how cool it is. When its cold its cold, when its warm its warm. I fully expect may to be the 15th month in a row of above normal temps here, jawdropping stuff I'm not talking about above normal, Joe. I'm referencing the KFS call for mid-70's for 3+ days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Aren't you tan from SC? You looked almost of African descent in that pic you posted of yourself last week LOL tan faded pretty quick Kevin, combination of working outside and then 7 out of 8 days on the beach will do that, just good italian skin thats all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Wow For HFD Wednesday: Areas of fog and drizzle in the morning, partial clearing during the afternoon. Low: 50. High: 68 inland, 67 shore. Thursday: Areas of fog in the morning then partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Low: 53. High: 78 inland, 72 shore. Friday: Partly sunny and warm, scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Low: 56. High: 82 inland, 79 shore. Saturday: Clouds and sun with a chance for a shower or thunderstorm. Low: 59. High: 81 inland, 78 shore. Where are you plucking these "state-wide" forecasts from, Kevin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Cancel the lawn sprinklers. FXUS61 KBOX 302043 AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 445 PM EDT MON APR 30 2012 && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- TUESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MIDDAY AS THE LOW PUSHES S OF NEW ENGLAND. BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MOVES THROUGH BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z...SO EXPECT RAIN TO FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE STEADILY E...SO EXPECT PRECIP TO START TO TAPER OFF WESTERN AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. FORECASTED QPF TOTALS FROM 06Z TUE TO 00Z WED WILL BE FROM 0.5 INCHES ACROSS S NH/NE-N CENTRAL MA UP TO 0.75 TO 1 INCH FROM THE E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES TO N CT/RI AND THE S COAST OF MA. WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW...EXPECT HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOWER-MID 50S...THOUGH MAY BE A BIT HIGHER ACROSS LOWER CT VALLEY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Cancel the lawn sprinklers. FXUS61 KBOX 302043 AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 445 PM EDT MON APR 30 2012 && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- TUESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MIDDAY AS THE LOW PUSHES S OF NEW ENGLAND. BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MOVES THROUGH BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z...SO EXPECT RAIN TO FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE STEADILY E...SO EXPECT PRECIP TO START TO TAPER OFF WESTERN AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. FORECASTED QPF TOTALS FROM 06Z TUE TO 00Z WED WILL BE FROM 0.5 INCHES ACROSS S NH/NE-N CENTRAL MA UP TO 0.75 TO 1 INCH FROM THE E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES TO N CT/RI AND THE S COAST OF MA. WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW...EXPECT HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOWER-MID 50S...THOUGH MAY BE A BIT HIGHER ACROSS LOWER CT VALLEY. Unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Unlikely Better be sure to check the collection bucket just to be sure. No leaf crud allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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