CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 They're in Marshfield, Mike.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 They're in Marshfield, Mike.. Nice area. My wife's brother used to live in Duxbury. Now he's down by Litchfield Libations in Westport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 words really cant describe what a fantabulous day it was. Now, its its time for a block party, time to lightly libate and enjoy a spring evening, dry begets dry, weather looks incredible next week as we all thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Thursday is questionable with se winds and possible clouds. There are more to models than thicknesses you know. Friday I'm hoping is nice since I have off. What happened to 75+ every day? Still on with the bet? Thursday-Saturday certainly has potential to be upper 70's to mid 80's, however, we could really get screwed over with cloud cover and perhaps showers. Given that setup we could get tons of cloud debris from the upper mid-west/Ohio Valley region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Thursday is questionable with se winds and possible clouds. There are more to models than thicknesses you know. Friday I'm hoping is nice since I have off. What happened to 75+ every day? Still on with the bet? BDL is 70+Wed-Fri and maybe Sat./.but will go 3 days for now Fri looks 80 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 BDL is 70+Wed-Fri and maybe Sat./.but will go 3 days for now Fri looks 80 ish Thats a solid forecast right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Man this is some impressive cold... again for the second day in a row its failing to get out of the mid 40s even below 1,000ft. Mid afternoon temperatures...under full sunshine. 4,000ft...27F (43G56, wind chill of 7F) 2,200ft...37F 800ft...45F (dew point of 10F for 20% RH) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Beautiful day for some golf.. if you can avoid the snow drifts around the course. Grade A New England day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Thursday-Saturday certainly has potential to be upper 70's to mid 80's, however, we could really get screwed over with cloud cover and perhaps showers. Given that setup we could get tons of cloud debris from the upper mid-west/Ohio Valley region. Euro verbatim has 1 warm day and that's Friday. By warm I mean above normal and into the 70s. 60s are no longer warmer than avg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 BDL is 70+Wed-Fri and maybe Sat./.but will go 3 days for now Fri looks 80 ish Original bet was through Friday. I think 2 days if you are lucky at BDL which is like BWI. I see you are slowly moving away from the days of 75+. Good for you to take my advice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 I'm interested in the derived NAO teleconnectors from the Euro cluster. The GFS ensemble mean is tightly clustered at both the CDC and CPC around a -2 to -2.5SD NAO, and one that is heavily westerly biased in the operational GFS. But not so much so in the Euro operational at all in the former sense, which is why I am interested in the mean of that Euro ensembles. The freebies out of the corporate web page make it appear that the mean of the ECM cluster is at odds somewhat with the GFS mean, but I am less than certain of that... The GFS' operational idea of retrograding heights lower (from the NE) across next weekend, is thus significantly anchored by the premise of it's own ensemble mean. And, should said prevail, count on a rather nasty week tucked into the first 2 or so of May. Who knows if this would mean a series of raw CAA events that merely retard gardening interests for and additional 10 days, or perhaps a cold sort of west Atlantic rattling cut-off low that brings general turd conditions (May 2005). Either would be acceptable given to these observed teleconnectors. The PNA is dropping correlative coherence during may; it is rising during the same time of the GFS' derived tightly clustered negative period - that would last some 10 days in total, bottoming out about a week from now. I see the mild to warm recovery of this week (notwithstanding nuanced interruptions by sagging BD's and/or rains interfering) as not 'quite' yet being the final step that brings us into the 'truer' seasonal recovery. I use the last of the -850s in the means as my guide for that sort of thing. If it were not for this recent emerged -NAO signal, which is quite strong in the GFS, I might be inclined to see things otherwise. In fact, I was thinking that might be the cast earlier last week, but eh... heh. Caveat: It's been a bad year 8 months for the teleconnectors. I was really pretty impressed with that period from late January through early February with -AO/+PNA/Phase 8 MJO, and the U.S. was even climatology warmer than January if anything. That was more than a bit unusual. I sure goes to show of the importance in qualifying each one. The -AO dumped in Eurasia; the neutral NAO did no favors; the PNA, being such a large domain, was positive but the eastern 1/3 of it (the N/A sector) was more neutral; and the MJO was out of phase with the ENSO, so the wave's convection was damped - no convection = no forcing = no pattern presentation. All these muted the longer term correlation off that convergence of factors. What all this boils down to is that a -NAO now would need to buck a mind-boggling persistence to "not mean what it should" - that's what this last 8 months of climate era should be called: "The opposite happens" era. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 AWT for interior CT Wednesday: A mix of clouds and sunshine with a chance for showers in the evening. Low: 52. High: 75 inland, 70 shore. Thursday: Partly sunny and warmer, a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Low: 55. High: 78 inland, 72 shore. Friday: Partly sunny and warm. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Low: 55. High: 82 inland, 79 shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Euro verbatim has 1 warm day and that's Friday. By warm I mean above normal and into the 70s. 60s are no longer warmer than avg. I definitely think Friday will be the warmest of the 3 days...Thursday looks like we will deal with clouds and Saturday possibly the same...there looks to be lots of increasing llvl moisture ahead of that s/w so we will probably see lots of clouds and perhaps showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 AWT for interior CT Wednesday: A mix of clouds and sunshine with a chance for showers in the evening. Low: 52. High: 75 inland, 70 shore. Thursday: Partly sunny and warmer, a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Low: 55. High: 78 inland, 72 shore. Friday: Partly sunny and warm. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Low: 55. High: 82 inland, 79 shore. Who wrote that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 We hit 60 briefly again today. Another really nice day. MVY hit 60 as well. It's not the heat wave of a month ago but it's still a bit above the norm down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 We hit 60 briefly again today. Another really nice day. MVY hit 60 as well. It's not the heat wave of a month ago but it's still a bit above the norm down here. That's pretty normal but you realize a nw wind there will be above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Who wrote that? KFS text output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 While you all discuss the coming "torch" of 70 degrees, another cold night is coming up across the region. * IMPACTS...UNPROTECTED CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION WILL LIKELY BE KILLED OR DAMAGED BY FREEZING TEMPERATURES. * OTHER...THE FROST/FREEZE PROGRAM HAS NOT OFFICIALLY BEGUN FOR THE REST OF VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...BUT TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AND TEENS OVERNIGHT WILL STILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT TENDER VEGETATION IF LEFT UNPROTECTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 wow what a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Beautiful day for some golf.. if you can avoid the snow drifts around the course. Grade A New England day... Hey PF you posted a pic earlier down by your good and trees were leafing out. Looks so much different even in the lower spots there as compared to town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Kevin can take a thermo reading from BDL asphalt, but most of SNE as usual will not be representative. I will mame it a point to put Kevin and BDL the same in snowfall. Why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Hey PF you posted a pic earlier down by your good and trees were leafing out. Looks so much different even in the lower spots there as compared to town? Not sure I follow... low spots of the mountain vs. down in town? At 1,500ft at the base of the mountain but the real only "leaf out" is on the brushy stuff... I think its hobblebush or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 Not sure I follow... low spots of the mountain vs. down in town? You mean the picture of greens with snow? This is at 1,500ft base of the mountain but the real only "leaf out" is on the brushy stuff... I think its hobblebush or something like that. It was in the NNE or ski thread from the other day. You had a shot of one of the hillsides that was whitened at the top from snow. The trees had that green tinge to them and I don't see that in the pic above. On my phone so it's tough to search for that pic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2012 Share Posted April 29, 2012 It was in the NNE or ski thread from the other day. You had a shot of one of the hillsides that was whitened at the top from snow. The trees had that green tinge to them and I don't see that in the pic above. On my phone so it's tough to search for that pic. Ahh yeah maybe this one? Either way, down in the 700-1,500ft range (inhabited elevations in Stowe) things are moving pretty quickly... we are at about 50% leaf out. Pretty much still bare though from 1,500ft on up. I think a lot of it has to do with the lighting and if you can pick up the green tint. This is looking at the same hillside and area. Gives a good indication of the state of the trees. From left to right, the elevations of those hills (they are what I use a lot to judge snow levels) are 2,300ft, 2,800ft, and 3,500ft. I should edit to say that these condos are halfway between the base of the ski resort and the village center. They aren't as high up as you might think at 900-1,000ft elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 BOS at the second warmest April so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 BOS at the second warmest April so far Yeah compare it to other stations. Torched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 48, chilly out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 Ahh yeah maybe this one? Either way, down in the 700-1,500ft range (inhabited elevations in Stowe) things are moving pretty quickly... we are at about 50% leaf out. Pretty much still bare though from 1,500ft on up. I think a lot of it has to do with the lighting and if you can pick up the green tint. This is looking at the same hillside and area. Gives a good indication of the state of the trees. From left to right, the elevations of those hills (they are what I use a lot to judge snow levels) are 2,300ft, 2,800ft, and 3,500ft. I should edit to say that these condos are halfway between the base of the ski resort and the village center. They aren't as high up as you might think at 900-1,000ft elevation. those are condos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 AWT for interior CT Wednesday: A mix of clouds and sunshine with a chance for showers in the evening. Low: 52. High: 75 inland, 70 shore. Thursday: Partly sunny and warmer, a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Low: 55. High: 78 inland, 72 shore. Friday: Partly sunny and warm. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Low: 55. High: 82 inland, 79 shore. where is that DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 30, 2012 Share Posted April 30, 2012 41F/15 Low for the month is 21.7F... doubt I get there, but it will be chilly tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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