The_Global_Warmer Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 http://sealevel.colorado.edu/files/2012_rel2/sl_global.txt The Sea Level is up a lot from last winter. http://sealevel.colorado.edu/files/2012_rel2/sl_ns_global.txt Removing the Season Signals, we can see an even larger bump. Basically the Sea Level up to late Jan or Early February was back to peak levels during the "trough". ftp://ftp.aviso.oceanobs.com/pub/oceano/AVISO/indicators/msl/MSL_Serie_MERGED_Global_IB_RWT_GIA_Adjust.txt Basically we are going to see a very high trough this year/season. For many factors. But it's a big converging of many moving parts. http://www.cmar.csiro.au/sealevel/sl_hist_last_15.html We are going to see El Nino take over and the switch combined with the factors like Greenland giving the oceans over a trillion tons of Ice in two years catching up with us. There are a number of changes of slope over short periods in the GMSL record. This variability is at least partly related to El Niño and La Niña (sea level rises during El Niño and falls during La Niña) and associated changes in the hydrological cycle. The above graph shows detrended GMSL (from the top graph) versus the Southern Oscillation (SOI) index, which is one of the common indexes of the El Niño/La Niña cycle. Clearly (see, e.g. 1997/1998) sea level is higher during an El Niño event (SOI -ve) and lower (see, e.g. 1999/2000 and 2010/2011) during La Niña (SOI +ve). SOI data is from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and data and graphs can be downloaded and seen at the Bureau of Meterology's web site. I think the next 4-5 years will see the largest rise in the data set. And the next 10 years will rise quite a bit faster than any previous decade. more links: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 http://sealevel.colorado.edu/files/2012_rel2/sl_global.txt The Sea Level is up a lot from last winter. http://sealevel.colorado.edu/files/2012_rel2/sl_ns_global.txt Removing the Season Signals, we can see an even larger bump. Basically the Sea Level up to late Jan or Early February was back to peak levels during the "trough". ftp://ftp.aviso.oceanobs.com/pub/oceano/AVISO/indicators/msl/MSL_Serie_MERGED_Global_IB_RWT_GIA_Adjust.txt Basically we are going to see a very high trough this year/season. For many factors. But it's a big converging of many moving parts. http://www.cmar.csiro.au/sealevel/sl_hist_last_15.html We are going to see El Nino take over and the switch combined with the factors like Greenland giving the oceans over a trillion tons of Ice in two years catching up with us. I think the next 4-5 years will see the largest rise in the data set. And the next 10 years will rise quite a bit faster than any previous decade. more links: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.shtml El Nino bring in nice lake effect to the great lakes region... Bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 El Nino bring in nice lake effect to the great lakes region... Bring it on! A Warm summer followed by a cold mid to late fall would work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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