doncat Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 NAM looks like another inch or so of rain between 10pm and 1am, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 23, 2012 Author Share Posted April 23, 2012 NAM looks like another inch or so of rain between 10pm and 1am, correct? Nope. According to the NAM, after 11pm, only .25" more falls as we get dryslotted. Here is total after 11pm, according to the NAM: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=04%2F23%2F2012+00UTC&rname=PRECIP+PARMS&pname=precip_p12&pdesc=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=015&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Also has us in the dryslot by 1am. moving through south jersey now http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 23, 2012 Author Share Posted April 23, 2012 LGA with .27" in the last hour and now up to 1.76". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Thats not the true dry slot. Water vapor is still showing deep moisture down there. moving through south jersey now http://www.wundergro...99&avg_off=9999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 0z NAM made a push east it seems. Has the low going into NYC instead of through Philly. The NAM didn't have a good handle on the track in the short range, just yesterday it had the low going through central Pennsylvania in its 12z run. It also trended weaker for tomorrow compared to what yesterday's runs showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 what an awesome looking storm! Thats not the true dry slot. Water vapor is still showing deep moisture down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Thats not the true dry slot. Water vapor is still showing deep moisture down there. So that area could possibly fill in with some precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 There is some band within there off the coast but im not sure if that will fill in or not. It could be captured by the dry punch aloft eventually. So that area could possibly fill in with some precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 There is some band within there off the coast but im not sure if that will fill in or not. It could be captured by the dry punch aloft eventually. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Looks like she is taking nearly the same exact path as Irene did. If you take a look at the radar from the NWS site out of KDIX you can see how we still have lots more coming our way offshore. Eventually the dry slot gets us but not before we take a beating during the next 3-5 hours, and then we still have a chance at more scattered activity once the main band works through. some of the brightest echos of the event now working into the area. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=DIX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Dry slot by Atlantic City now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Dry slot by Atlantic City now? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Latest shows low center is still down around Ocean City, MD and new convection is firing to the east of the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Yup Based on the latest radar loop there's another heavy rain band coming in from the SE over the next hour, with the steady rain possibly starting to weaken for NYC as soon as 12-1 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 23, 2012 Author Share Posted April 23, 2012 Sustained winds of 31mph with gusts to 41mph at LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 02Z Observations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 You will probably see the strongest winds in the morning on the backside of the low due to the rapid pressure rises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 this low is not moving northeast. We will not be on the backside of this low, probably at all as it moves NNW into west NY and southern Canada. You will probably see the strongest winds in the morning on the backside of the low due to the rapid pressure rises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 02Z Observations I'm down to 995mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 1/2 inch per hour rate at my location. Up to 2 inches for the day (2.30) if you count last night's frontal passage rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 You will probably see the strongest winds in the morning on the backside of the low due to the rapid pressure rises. According to the NAM the strongest winds after tonight are actually on Tuesday with a 15-20 knot SW wind. There doesn't seem to be any rapid pressure rise modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Wind's really picking up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Per wunderground stations, portions of Monmouth and Ocean Counties are approaching 3" of rainfall. Nice temp surge as well along the NJ shore w/ the sfc low propagation nwd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Things really ramp up last few hours...have to be over 2 inches of rain...wind is strong...but nothing breath taking...as i have been spoiled with hurricane and late spring noreasters....def most exciting storm and surface reflection since oct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Love falling asleep to the wind and rain....cant believe Saturday was so nice...had fans on in my house...now 40's outside...have to love weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Nice curvature coming up New York Harbor at this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Things really ramp up last few hours...have to be over 2 inches of rain...wind is strong...but nothing breath taking...as i have been spoiled with hurricane and late spring noreasters....def most exciting storm and surface reflection since oct Agree. If we had a storm like this last March, we would be crying bust. But because we have had nothing all winter/spring long, this seems like it is a big high-impact Nor'Easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 This storm would seem like your run of the mill coastal with the retrograding twist, about 2-2.5" of rain totaled from both last night and today, some wind gusts up to 40 or slightly higher, nothing too crazy. Agreed that the quiet spell makes this seem a lot more impressive than we would normally view it and it should put a significant dent in the drought right now, yet even with 2-2.5" inches, were still only to get 50-55% of normal for the month of April, which is almost how much percentage of rain we've been averaging since Jan relative to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted April 23, 2012 Share Posted April 23, 2012 Dry slot and low center now approaching back yard (Ocean, southern Monmouth). Belmar at 54F and 990.9mb (29.26"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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