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Coastal Storm Discussion...April 22-23, 2012...


ag3

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As we approach, models continue to advertise a fairly substantial cutoff low affecting the area this weekend.

Interraction of the 2 jet branches is key to how much rain we receive. Last night's euro went back to the phased solution and as a result 2"-3"+ of widespread rain was shown.

The rest of the globals are also sticking with the phased idea. The 0z Ukie phases the 2 branches and then has a significant noreaster off our coast.

Timing and placement still to be determined. Right now the chance of 1"+ of rain over the weekend is definitely moderate. Hopefully, the models hold on to this idea as we approach.

Yep, periods of heavy rain & look at the unusual track prog of the storm which is expected to move to the west of NYC and track northward. Interesting meteorology at play with this event.

post-1009-0-66598100-1335068683.gif

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Love when it's like this, you can tell a storms coming cloudy and breezy and the smell if sea water.

awww man, never go to Atlantic City during an on-shore flow. I don't know what it is, but it always smells like the sewage system's backed up for miles around. 3 seperate occasions...and each time it was like that.

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awww man, never go to Atlantic City during an on-shore flow. I don't know what it is, but it always smells like the sewage system's backed up for miles around. 3 seperate occasions...and each time it was like that.

Tasty lol, looks like rain should be starting soon

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Latest SREF's widespread 2-3 amounts with locally higher in the best training.

The heaviest rains look to occur between 1-6Z.The strongest winds will occur

between 3-6z and be the strongest along the coast. The gusts generally look

like they should be around 40-50 mph at stations near the coast. It's possible

to see a bit stronger the further east you go should more of the LLJ be able

to mix down.

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