weatherMA Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 How 'bout that 80 mph speed limit south of I-70 on I-15? Fun. Makes Zion closer. How was the water situation around Zion? I imagine it's nice and green for now. LOL yeah. But 80 doesn't even feel fast on those roads. Yeah its nice and green, there was still some left over snow too, especially up in the Kolob canyon's area. Not sure if the upper elevations got any snow last weekend at Zion, but Bryce definitely did as there was still plenty left. We had to turn around on one of the trails due to snow obstructing the trail...can't really risk slipping on those trails or that could be the end of you...lol. We didn't exactly have proper gear to be hiking through snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 good deformation snows for WNY and WPA on the Euro but it's a little precarious with the low pulling so far east on this latest run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 good deformation snows for WNY and WPA on the Euro but it's a little precarious with the low pulling so far east on this latest run. 2K feet in the southern tier FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 Do Oaks have leaves yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 Man that KFS end of April heat dome is a complete bust on the euro, snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 about time Sunday Night: Showers. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 46. East wind between 13 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Looks like tiny shift east on euro. the ensemble mean is west of the op... it's been showing the same track for the past three days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 AEBKFST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1 AND 1 AND A HALF INCHES ARE IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FOR 24 TO 36 HOURS BEGINNING 12Z SUNDAY. THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT WE HAVE MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A WIDESPREAD TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER CONFIDENCE IN AREAS OF THREE TO FIVE INCH AMOUNTS. EXPECT THIS TO BE GENERALLY A GOOD SOAKING RAIN...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVIER RAIN EMBEDDED ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE UPSLOPE IS MORE OF A FACTOR. WHILE WE EXPECT PERIODS OF SHOWERS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...OUR BEST SHOT AT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. NOT EXPECTING ANY WIDESPREAD FLOODING AT THIS TIME...JUST SOME URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IN ANY HEAVIER RAINFALL THAT OCCURS. So--is it foolhardy to put down any grass seed before this? I suppose some fertilizer wouldn't be a bad idea........ Bummed I'm going to be driving to Jersey City Sunday night. I prefer to be home during any storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Euro ensemble mean seems similar to the 00z run. I did shift the precip axis a tiny bit east it seems...or includes more of ern areas, but similar to 00z it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 Euro ensemble mean seems similar to the 00z run. I did shift the precip axis a tiny bit east it seems...or includes more of ern areas, but similar to 00z it seems. dramatic increase in 850 inflow, this is gonna rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Looks like we got a wet week to look forward too... lots of precipitation en route. Maybe some mix above 2,000ft at times? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 it's almost as though those Phase of the MJO lagged on the pattern.. We're moving into Phase 3 now and the pattern is better correlated to the 8. interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Any funky permutations in the models today, or steady as she goes? Beautiful in BOS attm (Mass General) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Man that KFS end of April heat dome is a complete bust on the euro, snow? Never , ever did i have that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Half of mulching done..After 20 mile training run tomorrow morning..2nd half will be done. Looks like a muggy day tomorrow.Maybe a late storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Half of mulching done..After 20 mile training run tomorrow morning..2nd half will be done. Looks like a muggy day tomorrow.Maybe a late storm Careful, mulch can spontaneously combust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Any funky permutations in the models today, or steady as she goes? Beautiful in BOS attm (Mass General) Oh oh everything ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Oh oh everything ok? Surgery for my mom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Surgery for my mom Hope all goes well Dave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 18z GFS shifted a bit with the QPF and dumps areas further east now. More of a general 2-3" rain with almost 6" on the srn Maine coast. 3-5" from the Berks east to the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 18z GFS shifted a bit with the QPF and dumps areas further east now. More of a general 2-3" rain with almost 6" on the srn Maine coast. 3-5" from the Berks east to the Cape. I don't believe this event will "bust the drought", but should certainly dent it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 it's almost as though those Phase of the MJO lagged on the pattern.. We're moving into Phase 3 now and the pattern is better correlated to the 8. interesting It is weaker amplitude in phase 3 right now, so could be the residual forcing around the dateline is more prevalent in the pattern characteristics. One thought that has crossed my mind is the tendency for more destructive interference between shortwaves this past winter. This would tend to support less phasing this weekend, and the trough maturing later / further northeast. Not sure how much this has translated into the spring though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Finally home. Looking forward to the rain. Contemplating putting down some alfalfa pellets for the lawn. Will break down nicely with the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Finally home. Looking forward to the rain. Contemplating putting down some alfalfa pellets for the lawn. Will break down nicely with the rain. Haiku? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 I'm seeing signs of very heavy rains in a short period of time on the pseudo triple point as it passes through SNE. You can see this in some of the QPF fields that really hammer cstl NH and Maine. Basically the low stalls and begins to occlude and send a weak triple point signature into SNE. It's enough to really generate convergence and wring out a ton of moisture. While the global models don't show it, there also may be little mini lows that try to rip north as well. The NAM has it and not completely buying that, but something to watch. It doesn't really mean much..just something of note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 i hope there's a ton of convection in the gulf tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 I'm seeing signs of very heavy rains in a short period of time on the pseudo triple point as it passes through SNE. You can see this in some of the QPF fields that really hammer cstl NH and Maine. Basically the low stalls and begins to occlude and send a weak triple point signature into SNE. It's enough to really generate convergence and wring out a ton of moisture. While the global models don't show it, there also may be little mini lows that try to rip north as well. The NAM has it and not completely buying that, but something to watch. It doesn't really mean much..just something of note. Phil and I talked about this yesterday. I was out digging for a planting today, rock hardpack soil, hope we get some softening sheet drizzle prior to the heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 Never , ever did i have that FB Kevin Wood Next four weeks looks torch and drought to me April 10 at 6:38am · Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 FB Kevin Wood Next four weeks looks torch and drought to me April 10 at 6:38am · oh no you di-int Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 I'm seeing signs of very heavy rains in a short period of time on the pseudo triple point as it passes through SNE. You can see this in some of the QPF fields that really hammer cstl NH and Maine. Basically the low stalls and begins to occlude and send a weak triple point signature into SNE. It's enough to really generate convergence and wring out a ton of moisture. While the global models don't show it, there also may be little mini lows that try to rip north as well. The NAM has it and not completely buying that, but something to watch. It doesn't really mean much..just something of note. channeling your inner tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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