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Substantial drought relief rains en-route?


Ginx snewx

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OKX on board... this was presumably written prior to the 12Z suite. .

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL FLOODING FROM LATE

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON SATURDAY AND BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY

ALONG THE COAST. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE 00Z

OPERATIONAL GFS AND THE 00Z ECMWF IN TERMS OF THE PLACEMENT OF THE

FRONT...AND WHERE THIS FRONT SETS UP WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE

HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN WILL FALL.

DEEP UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE OH VALLEY AS WELL THROUGH THE

WEEKEND...AND INTERACTION WITH THIS UPPER LOW WILL HELP AID THE

DEVELOPMENT OF THE RAINFALL. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY LIKELY POPS

FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN

ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...AND DEPENDING ON WHERE THE FRONTAL

BOUNDARY SETS UP...ANYWHERE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED

DURING THAT TIME.

THIS WILL MARK A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN AS

COMPARED TO THE LAST 3 MONTHS OR SO...WITH SIGNIFICANT INFLUENCES

FROM THE ATLANTIC AND THE GULF OF MEXICO.

*************************************************************************************************************

Bolded part is an understatement!

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This thing has the making for very heavy rain in a short period of time along and just NW of the track. Theta-e bomb that will wring out all the moisture along a strong low level convergence zone. Has the making of classic banding and heavy rain in a narrow area. Classic.

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