phlwx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Still flip flopping galore going on. NAM = further south and west into PA...while ECM practically goes up to NY state , ignoring the strong high pressure it's running into. The models have been consistent on their track (NAM west, GFS/EC east) for about 24 hours now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Relevant (or maybe not), but it seems as though the colder air and snow potential is moving east some. CTP has introduced the potential for all snow Monday night here in Schuylkill County. I'm sure it won't be much, but up until recently, it was progged to be nearly all rain for the duration of the event with only a chance of slight mixing at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Anyone else with the day off tomorrow thinking of doing a snow chase out to Western PA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 BY MONDAY NIGHT SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE NW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. A TOBYHANNA ACCUMULATION WOULD NOT BE A SHOCKER BY TUESDAY MORNING. wow, 2 mentions in a row . Maybe a Grill mention next ? (alright, maybe not) Relevant (or maybe not), but it seems as though the colder air and snow potential is moving east some. CTP has introduced the potential for all snow Monday night here in Schuylkill County. I'm sure it won't be much, but up until recently, it was progged to be nearly all rain for the duration of the event with only a chance of slight mixing at times. surprised to see it's 37 - 38 right now. Maybe some sleet at the start. Anyone else with the day off tomorrow thinking of doing a snow chase out to Western PA? If the laptop didn't fry yesterday , I thought about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Anyone else with the day off tomorrow thinking of doing a snow chase out to Western PA? Was thinking about DuBois after work, but I see it's 250 miles each way. Not so sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Are we anticipating flood advisories into Berks Lehigh? Also, will the winds play enough of a role for an advisory in eastern pa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 SkewT-'s showing dewpoints here around 20F at 850. Combined with 40 current surface temp = Sleet / Snow at start looks possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 We have an absurd slight chance of seeing a good bit of snow out here (10% >12 inches), so I'll happily post any snow pictures for my Philly brethren if the occasion calls for it. Although the NAM is definitely the outlier in precip amounts (as always). I imagine in late April it is going to take a metric ton of precip to see accumulations that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 We have an absurd slight chance of seeing a good bit of snow out here (10% >12 inches), so I'll happily post any snow pictures for my Philly brethren if the occasion calls for it. Although the NAM is definitely the outlier in precip amounts (as always). I imagine in late April it is going to take a metric ton of precip to see accumulations that high. Comparing 12 hour NAM and RUC forecast..(for 0z tonight) RUC is sooo much slower. While NAM a couple days ago was forecasting this slower solution. Now it seems too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Relevant (or maybe not), but it seems as though the colder air and snow potential is moving east some. CTP has introduced the potential for all snow Monday night here in Schuylkill County. I'm sure it won't be much, but up until recently, it was progged to be nearly all rain for the duration of the event with only a chance of slight mixing at times. Quite a contrast between CTP's Tamaqua area forecast and BGM's Hazleton area forecast -- we essentially are given all rain with maybe snow showers from Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Quite a contrast between CTP's Tamaqua area forecast and BGM's Hazleton area forecast -- we essentially are given all rain with maybe snow showers from Tuesday. Latest GFS is more offshore, our chances could be improving. If GFS is right, rain / snow line here will be dangerously close. 540 line not taken for granted, since SkewT-'s are more in line with current temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 This storm should really begin to pick up this afternoon, I would expect heavier rain by mid to late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Maybe it will keep moving east, wrap in the cold and bring snow into Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Quite a contrast between CTP's Tamaqua area forecast and BGM's Hazleton area forecast -- we essentially are given all rain with maybe snow showers from Tuesday. Yeah. It's kind of funny how the neighboring offices don't seem to try and coordinate with each other with regard to their border counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Well you know that Tamaqua and hazels on often have totally different weather...often even the difference between Tamaqua proper and the top of hometown hill is huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Yeah. It's kind of funny how the neighboring offices don't seem to try and coordinate with each other with regard to their border counties. On an O/T note, I still wish the AVPFO existed...BGM really just doesn't cut it for me. Too much distance imo...and I think there'd be better coordination if the AVPFO still existed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 On an O/T note, I still wish the AVPFO existed...BGM really just doesn't cut it for me. Too much distance imo...and I think there'd be better coordination if the AVPFO still existed. I don't think AVP was an FO. It was just an O. O's usually generated local warnings and such, but the FO back then was probably Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Currently Rain Temp 46.1 Rain today 0.21" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 snow western pa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 49.8 and light rain here in NW Chesco. .54" of rain so far today. Heavy rain has yet to materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 50.7 wiith .55 inches of rain so far today. Mounted my rain gauge I got for christmas on friday since is the first real storm we have had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 This is exactly the type of rainy day the doctor ordered .29 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 only .9" so far this storm aint living up to the hype, actually i never emptied guage from the front so its even wimpier lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 1.06 since last night. more to come. is grothar drought over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted April 22, 2012 Author Share Posted April 22, 2012 1.06 since last night. more to come. is grothar drought over? Not quite. Only if we get another one of these type of storms in the next few weeks. The creeks will temporarily rise from this event and everything will stay green for a couple of weeks longer. We need a week full of days like today. Once this storm clears out, lets hope the pattern changes- otherwise the PADEP drought watches will still go out by Memorial Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 12z euro has another .5-1.25 for later in the week and weekend for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 1.00 here from the Nor'easter so far, 1.43 from both combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 12z euro has another .5-1.25 for later in the week and weekend for the region another coastal or Frontal Passage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 1.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 another coastal or Frontal Passage? wave of low pressure, no front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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