jonjon Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 38.6 degrees. Drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I think it is obvious at this point that the outlier models showing a bullseye near DC are going to be wrong. Still should be a nice soaker. 49.2° storm total 0.32" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Interesting, I would have thought the route through Garrett county with the higher elevations would have been the more opportunistic for snow....you think staying on the turnpike gets me more snow? Should be fun either way I suppose.... Yes. Have any of you guys suggesting the turnpike actually driven these routes before? Despite the turnpike route being further north, I-68 through Garrett *always* gets more snow. I drive that way several times a year. When there is snow forecast and we don't want to get stuck, we use the turnpike to avoid it, after years of experience of driving on I-68 when it has a foot of unplowed snow on it. The only way you are more likely to see snow is taking 55/48 west from Strasburg all the way across to Davis then heading north on 219 through Garrett. But in a heavy wet snow storm, I would not recommend that route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I think it is obvious at this point that the outlier models showing a bullseye near DC are going to be wrong. Still should be a nice soaker. 49.2° storm total 0.32" I think most expected the bullseye to fall to the north and east of the DC/Baltimore area. Like you wrote though, still looks like a good soaker and also snow producer in the higher terrain to the north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Interesting, I would have thought the route through Garrett county with the higher elevations would have been the more opportunistic for snow....you think staying on the turnpike gets me more snow? Should be fun either way I suppose.... I would most defintely opt for the I 70 to Hancock to I 68 to I 79 route. True the TPK will have somewhat better toad conditions being a private road but I prefer the 68 corridor. I would say 68 is the more snow route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Really raw and cold out west in Pittsburgh. Temps are actually falling a bit into the upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Also, I can't believe LWX has RA/SN mix for Carroll County. That part of the county is below the fall line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Have any of you guys suggesting the turnpike actually driven these routes before? Despite the turnpike route being further north, I-68 through Garrett *always* gets more snow. Yes, many times. Yes, you cross high some ridge tops on I-68, but I think with this storm it will better farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 If the LWX forecast of 1-2 inches along the blue ridge on rt 7 is true tomorrow, gonna go chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 The 12Z GFS looks much drier. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Param&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=04%2F22%2F2012+12UTC&rname=PRECIP+PARMS&pname=precip_p12&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=021&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 bust I called that like 5 days ago. Did you quit FB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I called that like 5 days ago. Did you quit FB? yes...FB is played out...been off for 3 weeks or so now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 looks like a few hours of decent rain this afternoon and then dry slotted this evening...I hope nobody cancelled their plans this evening....you probably won't even need an umbrella after 8-9pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 looks like a few hours of decent rain this afternoon and then dry slotted this evening...I hope nobody cancelled their plans this evening....you probably won't even need an umbrella after 8-9pm you heading west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 you heading west? eh....not sure....the timing is bad I think...They probably don't change over until really late this evening or overnight...then MOnday looks iffy in terms of impact....I still think Jon JOn does ok, but these herculean totals are not going to materialize....I am more prone to go to Frostburg or BLue Ridge since it is closer and d-ick around there if my goal is just to see snow...Davis is a good 4 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 looks like a few hours of decent rain this afternoon and then dry slotted this evening...I hope nobody cancelled their plans this evening....you probably won't even need an umbrella after 8-9pm HRRR vs RUC battle of the mediocre short-term models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 eh....not sure....the timing is bad I think...They probably don't change over until really late this evening or overnight...then MOnday looks iffy in terms of impact....I still think Jon JOn does ok, but these herculean totals are not going to materialize....I am more prone to go to Frostburg or BLue Ridge since it is closer and d-ick around there if my goal is just to see snow...Davis is a good 4 hrs I made it here in less than 3 hours from Vienna last Sunday. The new sections of highway that are open really have cut down on the trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Was pouring in Salisbury all morning... definitely lightened up as I made my way back home. Steady light rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Been raining all day yet the grass barely looks wet. Happy for every drop, tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I made it here in less than 3 hours from Vienna last Sunday. The new sections of highway that are open really have cut down on the trip. i have to talk to Randy...we might leave early tomorrow if we go and hit just west of Cumberland even though I know they wont do as well as you....you still have a room we can split at 50% tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Been raining all day yet the grass barely looks wet. Happy for every drop, tho. Ground is soakin' it all in... the more the merrier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 47.4 - low on the day 0.58" storm total, holding steady around 0.1"/hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 47.4 - low on the day 0.58" storm total, holding steady around 0.1"/hr RUC keeps us pretty wet for another 6-8 hours...we should get to 1.25" - 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 RUC keeps us pretty wet for another 6-8 hours...we should get to 1.25" - 1.5" Yeah, that sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Also, I can't believe LWX has RA/SN mix for Carroll County. That part of the county is below the fall line. No part of Carrol County is below the fall line... The fall line runs 1 mile NW of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 i have to talk to Randy...we might leave early tomorrow if we go and hit just west of Cumberland even though I know they wont do as well as you....you still have a room we can split at 50% tonight? Yes we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Yes we do. Thanks Jon Jon....that new highway looks nice...only 167 mi from here....we are doubtful for tonight and tomorrow, but thanks for the offer...if that changes we will let you know....Maybe we'll come out for the May event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Thanks Jon Jon....that new highway looks nice...only 167 mi from here....we are doubtful for tonight and tomorrow, but thanks for the offer...if that changes we will let you know....Maybe we'll come out for the May event I'm underwhelmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 nice banding DC-Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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