WinterWxLuvr Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 18z Nam is initialized way to far southwest with the gulf low. Look at the georgia radar, GFS matches it pretty well, NAM isn't even close. According to Unisys pressure maps, the area of lowest pressure is almost exactly where the NAM said it would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 If the 18z GFS was right, i'd take Monday off and head on a chase for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 According to Unisys pressure maps, the area of lowest pressure is almost exactly where the NAM said it would be. Here's what I was refering to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Too cold screw this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Too cold screw this It will remind us of the past winter. Cool and rainy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 This just rolled right over me with a good amount of GC and 0.3" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Nice balt split underway with this first line. Some wind and showery, but that's about it. It did hold off long enough for us to host a pre-prom party for our daughter and get pictures in before they headed to the dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 man thats some crazy stuff congrats jonjon WVZ041-220815- TUCKER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PARSONS...DAVIS...THOMAS 544 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY THIS EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN...SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. .MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. BLUSTERY. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. .MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. BRISK. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 I'm chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I've been in dicussion with other possible chasers. Half price, no breakfast, no warranties as to amount/quality of snow. I'll help dig you out of your parking spot, but its up to you from there . . . www.meyerhousebandb.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I'm chasing. well woth it i could see canaan getting a foot also let me know when you are ready for another whipping of words with friends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 I've been in dicussion with other possible chasers. Half price, no breakfast, no warranties as to amount/quality of snow. I'll help dig you out of your parking spot, but its up to you from there . . . www.meyerhousebandb.com get some pics for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Look out for heavy wet snow accumulations on foliage. I hope there are no trees near any powerlines or next to any houses. Ridgetops are expected to see 35 mph wind gusts. I'm just jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Just hit a quarter of an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Can you imagine what might have been had this setup come along in early Feb............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Look out for heavy wet snow accumulations on foliage. I hope there are no trees near any powerlines or next to any houses. Ridgetops are expected to see 35 mph wind gusts. I'm just jealous Luckily, we don't have much foliage out yet -- and I see our temps getting into the 20s for a lot of this storm so it won't be that wet. However, things quickly change with a small decrease in elevation. Areas in the 1000' -- 2000' elevation will have more marginal temps and much more leaf-out and will sustain huge damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Luckily, we don't have much foliage out yet -- and I see our temps getting into the 20s for a lot of this storm so it won't be that wet. However, things quickly change with a small decrease in elevation. Areas in the 1000' -- 2000' elevation will have more marginal temps and much more leaf-out and will sustain huge damage. Hopefully the temps out there will fall well into the mid/upper 20s and you get drier snow. Hopefully NO outages and NO damage. Enjoy the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Sigh, here it is April 20 and yet we still talk about snow... Bring on the 100 degree heat of August already, and don't try to get my hopes up for seeing flakes once more this "winter" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Rain just tons of rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 might mix for a while in the city but that's some good 2-3"/hr rates at the height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 0Z NAM looks like a D.C. special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 NAM clown map is loltastic. 19 inches of snow out along the MD/WVA border http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamsnow_NE054.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Around 3 inches of rain I95 and east on 00z NAM... where the WSWs are look out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 NAM clown map is loltastic. 19 inches of snow out along the MD/WVA border http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamsnow_NE054.gif They'd prob close in on two feet out there at highest elevations if QPF were beleived Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Jonjon gets destroyed. he'll be without power for over a week. Doesn't matter if it's upper 20s at his elevation, power lines run through the lower elevations. 3.9" liquid is twice as bad as the October storm in CT. NAM clown map is loltastic. 19 inches of snow out along the MD/WVA border http://raleighwx.ame...msnow_NE054.gif 19" is because the map doesn't go any higher. JONJON could almost double that if the NAM is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 NAM clown map is loltastic. 19 inches of snow out along the MD/WVA border http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamsnow_NE054.gif Maybe I can leave the dog a bag of food and a litter box and he'd be ok if I left for a day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 They'd prob close in on two feet out there at highest elevations if QPF were beleived Where was this set up in the middle of winter!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 First line of precip pretty meh around here. If this were winter, full blown panic would probably be setting in. Curious to see the big show tomorrow. Hoping for a stray flake by Monday morning in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Maybe I can leave the dog a bag of food and a litter box and he'd be ok if I left for a day... Bring your dog -- dont miss out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 22, 2012 Share Posted April 22, 2012 Where was this set up in the middle of winter!? Maybe we are in a pattern where it will show up every six months...October then April...then October again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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