Avdave Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 I have been working in Wexford PA just outside of Pittsburgh for the last few weeks...I go back Monday AM...thinking I will take the scenic route through Garret county....68 to 79... You better have your camera sir. Gorgeous morning back home, sunshine and mid 50's now, all goes downhill later on here thru Tues morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 LWX forecast has rain/snow mix on Monday for west of the Blue Ridge in MRB and Winchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 If the 6z NAM is accurate, its gonna be one humdinger of a snowstorm out here! Even the GFS has us around a foot. It'll be snowing sideways on Monday with crazy winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Sub- 990 going up within 50 miles of the Chesapeake.. I'm happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 If the 6z NAM is accurate, its gonna be one humdinger of a snowstorm out here! Even the GFS has us around a foot. It'll be snowing sideways on Monday with crazy winds. AFD from Charleston HOWEVER...WARMER SFC TEMPERATURES OVER THE LOWLANDS WILL KEEP ANY PCPN AS LIQUID...AND MIXED WITH SNOW OVER THE WESTERN SLOPES...AND/OR ALL SNOW HIGHEST ELEVATIONS NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. IN ADDITION...GROUNDS ACROSS MOST PARTS OF WV WILL REMAIN SUBSTANTIALLY WARM...MAKING SNOWFALL TO MELT UPON CONTACT SUNDAY NIGHT. PERHAPS ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MORE EVIDENT ON TREES...OTHER SURFACES AND GREEN VEGETATION...CAPABLE TO PRODUCE TREE DAMAGES BY HEAVY WET SNOW. HAVE CODED AT LEAST 4.7 INCHES OF SNOW OVER SNOWSHOE AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF RANDOLPH AND POCAHONTAS COUNTIES ACCOUNTING FOR SOME MELTING AND DISPLACING OF PCPN FURTHER NORTH THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. NEVERTHELESS...WET SNOW COULD COVER ROADS AT TIMES OVER THE MOUNTAIN COUNTIES BY MONDAY MORNING...EXTENDING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...MAKING TRAVEL HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THESE AREAS. ACCUMULATION WILL GREATLY DEPEND ON THE SURFACE LOW TRACK...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IF THE LOW TRACKS FARTHER WEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 I want what the NAM is smoking, and if it's serious, holy heck grenade in a handbasket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 3z SREF plumes have a low of 1.29" and a max a 3.71", with a mean of 2.46" (for DCA). 9z SREF mean 2.58" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 One thing I've learned here is getting worked up about "drought" is a total waste of thought process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 There seems to be a a lot of board wide discussion of the NAM/SREF without mention that they have almost no credibiity, are for entertainment value only and aren't meant to be taken seriously.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 There seems to be a a lot of board wide discussion of the NAM/SREF without mention that they have almost no credibiity, are for entertainment value only and aren't meant to be taken seriously.... Euro is about 1.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 There seems to be a a lot of board wide discussion of the NAM/SREF without mention that they have almost no credibiity, are for entertainment value only and aren't meant to be taken seriously.... Agreed. Tho SREF isn't bad and the NAM might be able to pick up smaller scale banding. 2-3" not in the bank tho.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Agreed. Tho SREF isn't bad and the NAM might be able to pick up smaller scale banding. 2-3" not in the bank tho.. put me down as saying dca will get 2+... the gfs came west this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 put me down as saying dca will get 2+... the gfs came west this morning add the UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 put me down as saying dca will get 2+... the gfs came west this morning I don't necessarily think we won't but the NAM is too shifty to care that much what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 I don't necessarily think we won't but the NAM is too shifty to care that much what it shows. the nam is decent for heavy events in this timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 That first low on the 00z runs must of been a partial gridscale feedback error. The sytems is much more wraped up further south now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Still a nice pre-frontal 78/57 here at the ballpark. I think the threat of rain may have held down attendance a bit. Though maybe its just that DC sports fans suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Euro well over an inch for entire region through 48 hrs with low just off ACY and a dry slot punching from the south just east of DCA. Correction. Euro way west with low at 54 hrs over Scranton and 850 temps -4 over IAD and precipitating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Through 72 hours just over 2" for all of DC metro. And temps in the 30s Monday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 And temps in the 30s Monday evening LWX in their AFD did mention potential for a few flakes to reach east of Blue Ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 A winter storm watch has just been issued for Pittsburgh and surrounding areas, including Garett County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Friendly suggestion for y'all homeowners. Check your gutters. Been a while since our last good rain and mine had plenty of maple helicopters in them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 definitely not buying any snow around here but i guess i was wrong that the storm would miss a few days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Friendly suggestion for y'all homeowners. Check your gutters. Been a while since our last good rain and mine had plenty of maple helicopters in them Just cleaned mine, and you are so right. One day the whole world is going to be overgrown with bamboo and swamp maples. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 At school w/ the accuweather pro. 12z Euro has for 0z Monday @ IAD about .1" of QPF, Surface @ 3°C, 925 @ -4, 850 @-2. So, levels would run around around 800-1000 ft according to this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 WSW issued extreme NW portion of LWX CWA for Sun night into Monday.. 6 or more inches of wet snow possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Friendly suggestion for y'all homeowners. Check your gutters. Been a while since our last good rain and mine had plenty of maple helicopters in them Mine have a nice bed of oak droppings in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 18z NAM 3"+ QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Nice line of storms firing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 18z NAM 3"+ QPF. Almost approaching 4 inches it seems by hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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