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April 14th, 2012 Plains High Risk


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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS

801 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

EAST CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

WEST CENTRAL RILEY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT

* AT 757 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF

WAKEFIELD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

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856

ACUS01 KWNS 150102

SWODY1

SPC AC 150100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0800 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEB AND

PORTIONS OF KS/NORTHERN OK...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF

OK/KS/NEB/IA/MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN

PLAINS TO MIDDLE/UPPER MS VALLEY...

..OK/KS/NEB TO ADJACENT MO VALLEY

SCATTERED INTENSE SUPERCELLS /WITH HISTORY OF TORNADOES/ CONTINUE TO

SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL

KS/NORTHERN OK...AS WELL AS WESTERN/CENTRAL NEB. ADDITIONAL DEEP

CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED FARTHER WEST ACROSS KS

IN VICINITY OF THE RETREATING DRYLINE...AND THIS SAME TREND SHOULD

CONTINUE THROUGH MID/LATE EVENING. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS

VERY SUPPORTIVE OF POTENTIALLY STRONG TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS

NORTHERN OK INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN KS INTO SOUTHERN NEB. A

NUMBER OF REGIONAL WIND PROFILERS/WSR-88D VWPS ARE INDICATIVE OF 0-1

KM SRH IN EXCESS OF 400+ M2/S2 0-1 KM SRH.

LATER TONIGHT...A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL ULTIMATELY OVERTAKE THE

DRYLINE/CURRENT WARM SECTOR. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN UPSWING IN DEEP

CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY ACROSS KS AND

MUCH OF OK/NORTH TX...INCLUDING AN INITIAL CONVECTIVE MODE OF

SUPERCELLS/EMBEDDED BOWS. DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL AND SOME

TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

..IA/NORTHERN MO TO ADJACENT UPPER MS VALLEY

AN ONGOING FAST-MOVING BOW ECHO WILL CONTINUE TO THRIVE ALONG/NORTH

OF A WARM FRONT THIS EVENING. THE 00Z DAVENPORT OBSERVED SOUNDING

WAS INDICATIVE OF RELATIVELY MODEST INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS

MCS...BUT A STEADY MOIST/INSTABILITY WITH AID OF A NOCTURNALLY

INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN A WIND

DAMAGE/EMBEDDED TORNADO THREAT AT LEAST THE NEW FEW HOURS TOWARD THE

UPPER MS VALLEY. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...REFERENCE MESOSCALE

DISCUSSION 536. OTHER PERIPHERAL STORMS/SUBSEQUENT DEVELOPMENT WILL

BE CAPABLE OF MAINLY SEVERE HAIL INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

856

ACUS01 KWNS 150102

SWODY1

SPC AC 150100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0800 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEB AND

PORTIONS OF KS/NORTHERN OK...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF

OK/KS/NEB/IA/MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN

PLAINS TO MIDDLE/UPPER MS VALLEY...

..OK/KS/NEB TO ADJACENT MO VALLEY

SCATTERED INTENSE SUPERCELLS /WITH HISTORY OF TORNADOES/ CONTINUE TO

SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL

KS/NORTHERN OK...AS WELL AS WESTERN/CENTRAL NEB. ADDITIONAL DEEP

CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED FARTHER WEST ACROSS KS

IN VICINITY OF THE RETREATING DRYLINE...AND THIS SAME TREND SHOULD

CONTINUE THROUGH MID/LATE EVENING. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS

VERY SUPPORTIVE OF POTENTIALLY STRONG TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS

NORTHERN OK INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN KS INTO SOUTHERN NEB. A

NUMBER OF REGIONAL WIND PROFILERS/WSR-88D VWPS ARE INDICATIVE OF 0-1

KM SRH IN EXCESS OF 400+ M2/S2 0-1 KM SRH.

LATER TONIGHT...A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL ULTIMATELY OVERTAKE THE

DRYLINE/CURRENT WARM SECTOR. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN UPSWING IN DEEP

CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY ACROSS KS AND

MUCH OF OK/NORTH TX...INCLUDING AN INITIAL CONVECTIVE MODE OF

SUPERCELLS/EMBEDDED BOWS. DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL AND SOME

TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

..IA/NORTHERN MO TO ADJACENT UPPER MS VALLEY

AN ONGOING FAST-MOVING BOW ECHO WILL CONTINUE TO THRIVE ALONG/NORTH

OF A WARM FRONT THIS EVENING. THE 00Z DAVENPORT OBSERVED SOUNDING

WAS INDICATIVE OF RELATIVELY MODEST INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS

MCS...BUT A STEADY MOIST/INSTABILITY WITH AID OF A NOCTURNALLY

INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN A WIND

DAMAGE/EMBEDDED TORNADO THREAT AT LEAST THE NEW FEW HOURS TOWARD THE

UPPER MS VALLEY. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...REFERENCE MESOSCALE

DISCUSSION 536. OTHER PERIPHERAL STORMS/SUBSEQUENT DEVELOPMENT WILL

BE CAPABLE OF MAINLY SEVERE HAIL INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN HARVEY...

SOUTHEASTERN MCPHERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM

CDT...

AT 802 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MOUNDRIDGE...AND

MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...SIGNIFICANT HOUSE AND BUILDING DAMAGE POSSIBLE. MOBILE HOMES

COMPLETELY DESTROYED IF HIT. SOME TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.

VEHICLES WILL LIKELY BE THROWN BY TORNADIC WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

GOESSEL.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 135 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 36 AND 52.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. TAKE COVER IN A

BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3817 9718 3799 9757 3807 9771 3814 9770

3838 9743

TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 223DEG 34KT 3822 9748

TORNADO...OBSERVED

HAIL...1.75IN

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS

810 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN MCPHERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

NORTHERN MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 807 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MOUNDRIDGE...

AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

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