thewxmann Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 KSN just said SPC is issuing special discussions for every storm, which is unusual. Probably referring to this MCD: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Large tornado reported on the TW NE of DDC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 We are about a half hour northeast of Great Bend heading that way, will probably pick the southern sup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 14, 2012 Author Share Posted April 14, 2012 Well it is kind of old news now since it is already happening, but the ECMWF lights up the entire dryline this evening down through OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 * AT 238 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 3 MILES SOUTH OF GRAY. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... GRAY...BURDETT...ROZEL...SANFORD AND ASH VALLEY. A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. LOCATIONS FROM HANSTON TO BURDETT ARE IN PARTICULARLY HIGH IMMEDIATE DANGER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Storm NE of DDC is a beast on radar. Continues to look more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 fyi, Burdett, KS which appears to be in the path of the NE DDC storm pop=247 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 fyi, Burdett, KS which appears to be in the path of the NE DDC storm pop=247 At least so far very rural areas are in the paths....its not the more populated central/eastern parts of KS/OK.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 A more right turn of the DDC supercell could bring Great Bend into play during the next hour an a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 steve worthington has a feed looking straight in on the circulation on the NE Dodge City cell, pronounced wall cloud with a lowering...can't tell if anything is on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iowahawkeyedave Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Looks like Steve Worthington might have a large tornado with the cell NE of Dodge City. Hard to tell since he's pretty far away. http://www.severestudios.com/livechase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 New Day 1 is out: http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/latest.acus01.KWNS.html LATEST RUC MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT COOLING ALOFT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MAY BE MORE ADVANCED THAT PREVIOUSLY FORECAST WITH 500 MB TEMPS OF -12 TO -13 C TO THE DRYLINE BY 00Z. THIS WILL ONLY HELP TO INCREASE UPDRAFT ACCELERATION IN AN ALREADY VOLATILE SETUP. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE MOST LIKELY CORRIDOR FOR VIOLENT TORNADOES WILL BE FROM NW OK ACROSS NRN OK INTO CNTRL AND S-CNTRL KS. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO OCCUR. WITH ONGOING CELLS OVER CNTRL KS...THE LOCATION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY ALSO PLAY A KEY ROLE IN TORNADOGENESIS AS SUPERCELLS INTERACT WITH THEM LATER. SOME OF THE CITIES WITH THE HIGHEST RISK INCLUDE ENID...PRATT...GREAT BEND...SALINA...HUTCHINSON...WICHITA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 45% TOR probs now confined to KS 323 ACUS01 KWNS 141944 SWODY1 SPC AC 141942 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0242 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012 VALID 142000Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR CNTRL AND ERN KS AND NEB...AND MUCH OF NRN OK... ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CNTRL OK NWD ACROSS KS...NEB...SWRN IA AND NWRN MO... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM N TX INTO SERN SD AND SRN MN... ..OK/KS VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THICK STRATUS RELATED TO THE ADVECTION OF MID 60S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS FROM NRN TX INTO CNTRL OK AND CNTRL KS...WITH SSELY SURFACE WINDS GUSTING OVER 30 MPH. A SPECIAL 17Z OUN SOUNDING SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF A WARM LAYER NEAR 650 MB...WITH RELATIVELY COOL...BUT MOIST...PROFILES IN THE LOWEST 3 KM. LATEST RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATES CAPPING INCREASING AFTER 21Z OVER PORTIONS OF SRN AND ERN OK. THUS...THE THREAT APPEARS MORE CONDITIONAL THERE...BUT VERY CLOSE TO THE EDGE OF THE ONGOING HIGH RISK AREA. THUS...NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE. TO THE W...CLEARING WAS TAKING PLACE ALONG AND E OF THE DRYLINE FROM SW KS INTO THE OK AND TX PANHANDLES AND WRN OK. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S OVER WRN OK...AND AT OR ABOVE 80 F IN THE PANHANDLES. AS A RESULT...THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME UNCAPPED IN THESE AREAS. INDEED...SEVERE STORMS WERE ALREADY ONGOING OVER WRN KS INTO FAR NW OK ALONG THE DRYLINE...WITH TOWERING CU FARTHER S. WAVES OF STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FORM ON THE DRYLINE...WHERE CONVERGENCE IS INCREASING AS SURFACE WINDS VEER OVER THE PANHANDLES. THESE STORMS SHOULD BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MORE SEVERE...AS LOW LEVEL SHEAR CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEEDED TO INITIATE STORMS. MEANWHILE...LATEST RUC MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT COOLING ALOFT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MAY BE MORE ADVANCED THAT PREVIOUSLY FORECAST WITH 500 MB TEMPS OF -12 TO -13 C TO THE DRYLINE BY 00Z. THIS WILL ONLY HELP TO INCREASE UPDRAFT ACCELERATION IN AN ALREADY VOLATILE SETUP. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE MOST LIKELY CORRIDOR FOR VIOLENT TORNADOES WILL BE FROM NW OK ACROSS NRN OK INTO CNTRL AND S-CNTRL KS. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO OCCUR. WITH ONGOING CELLS OVER CNTRL KS...THE LOCATION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY ALSO PLAY A KEY ROLE IN TORNADOGENESIS AS SUPERCELLS INTERACT WITH THEM LATER. SOME OF THE CITIES WITH THE HIGHEST RISK INCLUDE ENID...PRATT...GREAT BEND...SALINA...HUTCHINSON...WICHITA. ..NRN KS/NEB LARGE SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NRN KS...WITH STRONG MESOCYCLONES NOTED ON RADAR AND PROBABLY TORNADOES. THESE CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO TREK NEWD INTO NEB WHERE SHEAR REMAINS STRONG AND INSTABILITY IS SUFFICIENT WITH RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES. IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT...SOME OF THESE HP CELLS MAY EVENTUALLY BOW WITH DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS WELL. ANOTHER LIKELY AREA OF SUPERCELL TORNADO DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FROM NWRN KS INTO WRN AND CNTRL NEB. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE CU FIELD...W OF THE ONGOING KS ACTIVITY...AND E OF THE DRYLINE. BACKED SURFACE FLOW OVER NEB...ALONG WITH CONTINUED HEATING AND COOLING ALOFT SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR A DEVELOPING TORNADO AND LARGE HAIL THREAT. STRONG TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AREA-WIDE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 looks like it's shooting out all kinds of funnel clouds, but nothing on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Looks like Joe is closing in on the Greensburg cell. Chasertv imap is crashing my browser its so busy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Blechhh, the storms in southern NE look like crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Burdett tornado has lifted. Close call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomspy77 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Hey guys! Not to try and derail the thread here, as there are obviously bigger things to discuss, but looking at Chaser TV after getting home there are a lot of chasers to choose from...is there a particular chaser/cam that anyone here could recommend? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Burdett tornado has lifted. Close call. No it hasn't, KSN just reported it's back on the ground moving into Burdett. Completely rainwrapped. SN report confirms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Large cone shaped tornado moving into Burdett. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=steve.worthington&uid=390 This cam NOW, Burdett storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 TOG NE of Dodge, on cody clair cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Back on the ground, large cone tornado reported entering Burdett. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Hey guys! Not to try and derail the thread here, as there are obviously bigger things to discuss, but looking at Chaser TV after getting home there are a lot of chasers to choose from...is there a particular chaser/cam that anyone here could recommend? Thanks! This one looks good right now. http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=steve.worthington&uid=390 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 looks like it lifted again edit: roping out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Tornado roping out near Burdett. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Burdett KS tornado since roped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 On the southern most KS tor warned cell. Nice rising motion and inflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Guys, can we try and keep the repeat posts to a minimum, monitor the posts before you to make sure stuff wasn't already posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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