Bostonseminole Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 KFS is for now cautious...5 -1.0 inch seems the way things look as of now. when in drought...go doubt nothing wrong with 1.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 holy...IJD is 79/23 for a 12% RH! impressive!!! Groton still CT's warm spot at 81 degrees. NW flow ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 WOOF WOOF - dry as a bone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 BOS: 84/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 BOS: 84/27 nice, also 12% RH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 If someone can convince me this is AGW....then co2 FTW lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 May not sound remarkably scientific ...but, phasing - lack thereof - has been an issue for months. For whatever reason, the northern and southern streams just can't seem to find the right frequencies for these waves to constructively interfere. The end result has been streams "out running" one another - hasn't that been a repeating theme? Of course it has, and now ...we have runs showing the same damn thing. Kinda of hard to go against when considering... rumor has it the northern and southern streams are going through marriage counseling. Everyone seems pretty optimistic they'll work it out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 LOL 86 for the high at MVY. Torch award of the day. That's hot during the summer months, nevermind mid-April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 That's hot during the summer months, nevermind mid-April. Taunton's up to 86 as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 MHT was down to 11%. IZG with an impressive 82F today considering their latitude...downslope right off the whites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 Euro ensembles look a lot different than the op. Looks like they at least try to phase nrn and srn streams. Looks more like GFS. Dumping for NY state and western/northern NE. Would think pretty wet in ern areas too, but not like further NW. This is for now anyways, so could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 Rh 10% at BOS..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 holy...IJD is 79/23 for a 12% RH! impressive!!! Groton still CT's warm spot at 81 degrees. Just mowed my lawn for the first time, cold beer never tasted so good, SOCAL weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Up my way gfs has marginally okay BL temps and -3/-4C h8s, maybe enough for some after dark accum Sat and Sun nights. (If the model verifies - a real big if.) Of course, I no sooner post the above but the next run turns everything upside down. H8s jump 10C (-4 to +6) for my area) and some incredible rains for the IZG-RUM corridor, including 4"+ in 18hr Monday night into Tues, after two days of steady rain. Reminds me of 1998, when a moderately dry stretch May into June turned - in two days - to the Sandy River's highest recorded no-snowmelt flood flow; amazing what 7" rain in about 36 hr will do. And snow is still in the picture, farther north but more of it, with h8s -6/-8 in N.Maine, and the gfs clown map showing 18"+ for some areas up there. 1-2" rain over a couple days here would be just right, but maybe these systems will chase each other thru here without doing more than wetting the dust a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Powered on dehumidifier to see if the air actually became more moist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Taunton's up to 86 as well! TAN hitting 86 isn't nearly the same as MVY, to me anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 holy...IJD is 79/23 for a 12% RH! impressive!!! Groton still CT's warm spot at 81 degrees. 81 here in Salem too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Please..please rain....please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 You wanted a drought Kevin. There's only one person in this world who has the power and authority to exercise this demon from the good people of SNE. One person who dares to slay the hot and dry beast. He is summoned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 You wanted a drought Kevin. There's only one person in this world who has the power and authority to exercise this demon from the good people of SNE. One person who dares to slay the hot and dry beast. He is summoned. I never said i wanted a drought..I just forecast it..Somehow..we'll get bent over the table with the system early next week. I have a bad feeling about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Devastating DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1117 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012 ...U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... SYNOPSIS... THIS IS THE FIRST DROUGHT STATEMENT TO BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON MA IN 2012. THESE STATEMENTS PERTAIN TO CONDITIONS IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...INCLUDING SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE...ALL OF MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT FOR BERKSHIRE COUNTY...ALL OF RHODE ISLAND...AND NORTHERN CONNECTICUT. THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES SEVERE DROUGHT ACROSS RHODE ISLAND...THE EASTERN HALF OF MASSACHUSETTS...AND MOST OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...WITH MODERATE DROUGHT OVER WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. THERE ARE MULTIPLE WAYS TO DEFINE DROUGHT. CURRENT CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN LARGELY DRIVEN BY METEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT...WITH PRECIPITATION THAT HAS BEEN APPROXIMATELY ONE HALF OF NORMAL SINCE JANUARY OF 2012. THE RESPONSE IN RIVERS AND STREAMS HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT...BUT RESERVOIRS WERE STILL AT NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS...AND VEGETATION WAS STILL ONLY BEGINNING TO COME OUT. AS OF APRIL 15...THERE HAD BEEN NO STATE DROUGHT DECLARATIONS IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... THE METEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT HAS RESULTED IN PERIODS OF VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IN RECENT WEEKS. IN SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SMALL POND LEVELS HAVE ALSO BEEN OBSERVED TO BE SHARPLY REDUCED. ALTHOUGH SOIL MOISTURE IS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...VEGETATION IS STILL ONLY BEGINNING TO COME OUT SO SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS AS A RESULT OF THE DRY CONDITIONS HAD NOT YET MATERIALIZED AS OF MID APRIL. THE LACK OF PRECIPITATION HAS RESULTED IN A STEADY DECLINE IN SOIL MOISTURE AND RIVER LEVELS. MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT ARE GAGED BY THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY HAVE BEEN INDICATING RECORD LOW FLOWS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. GROUND WATER LEVELS VARY ACROSS THE REGION...SOME ARE STILL WITHIN A NORMAL RANGE...OTHERS ARE WELL BELOW NORMAL LEVELS...BUT GAGED WELLS ARE GENERALLY INDICATING A GRADUAL AND STEADY DECLINE. AS OF THE FIRST HALF OF APRIL...THE VAST MAJORITY OF RESERVOIRS IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WERE AT NORMAL TO EVEN ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS WAS LARGELY DUE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING LAST AUGUST THROUGH NOVEMBER...WHICH SERVED TO FILL RESERVOIRS...AND ALSO SENT RIVERS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS GROUND WATER...TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. CLIMATE SUMMARY... FROM JANUARY 1 THROUGH APRIL 15...PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN 6 TO 8 INCHES BELOW NORMAL ACROSS NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...PRECIPITATION HAS GENERALLY BEEN 5 TO 7 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. THIS TRANSLATES TO AROUND OR LESS THAN 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... FROM APRIL 17 TO APRIL 22...NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE. THERE ARE CHANCES FOR RAIN FROM A POTENTIAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WHICH COULD BRING AN INCH OR SO OF RAIN. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FOR APRIL 23 TO 29...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL...WITH BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... AS OF APRIL 15...RIVERS AND STREAMS WERE RUNNING WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. GROUNDWATER VARIED FROM NORMAL TO WELL BELOW NORMAL. WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT RAIN...DETERIORATION COULD CONTINUE IN THE FORM OF LOWERING RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS...AND LOWERING GROUND WATER LEVELS. ALSO IF THE DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACCOMPANIED BY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AGRICULTURAL CONCERNS MAY INCREASE OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT 30 DAYS AS THE GROWING SEASON BEGINS. AS OF EARLY TO MID APRIL...THE VAST MAJORITY OF RESERVOIRS WERE AT NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. RESIDENTS SHOULD HEED THE ADVICE OF STATE AND LOCAL OFFICIALS AND STAY TUNED TO THIS EVOLVING SITUATION. NEXT ISSUANCE DATE... THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON WEDNESDAY MAY 16 OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 If someone can convince me this is AGW....then co2 FTW lol Imagine if it is and we just don't know it yet? Rest of the world is fine, eastern 2/3s of the US turn into Kenya? On the brightside we may win a marathon for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Euro ensembles look a lot different than the op. Looks like they at least try to phase nrn and srn streams. Looks more like GFS. Dumping for NY state and western/northern NE. Would think pretty wet in ern areas too, but not like further NW. This is for now anyways, so could change. But they are not as impressive as last night. Low is more strung out and less consolidated and the rainfall amounts depicted are half of what 0z was showing. Lots of members are definitely missing the phase at 12z when last night, the mean likely had the majority phasing, based on the more consolidated low and the much higher rainfall amounts shown. But this will all be waffling daily, like you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Unlike the rest of SNE, we wound up a few degrees below forecast with a high of 65° F at PSF. Currently 61°/29° with a nice brisk NW breeze. The temperature difference between here an the CT River Valley and CP today is about as large as I've ever seen it thanks to downsloping and compressional warming east of me. Even though ALB is about the same elevation as BDL, they're 10° cooler as they are not downsloping like areas to my east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Big big May on the way, we're going to get bookended I can feel it in me bones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 WOOF WOOF - dry as a bone Does look a little like Kevin ...ahhahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Beautiful evening here in NNE. Temps around 60F at the parking lot, upper 40s at the summit in the sun. In the shade it felt closer to freezing as the snow was already firming up. Man this beats going to the gym after work. Get out of work at 4pm, and be standing on top of the mountain at 5pm after a nice hour of exercise. The benefit is a nice long ski down to the car. Snow is melting out now... south and west facing slopes are gone. This is northeast facing at 2,500ft and its melting quickly out of the woods. And to think this is only 500ft higher than Pete's worksites in Peru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Nice shots Scott. I'll have some good ones for you in a couple weeks. Thankfully summers in this part of the world are fairly short and before you know it the days will be growing shorter as we spin towards another awesome Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 I never said i wanted a drought..I just forecast it..Somehow..we'll get bent over the table with the system early next week. I have a bad feeling about it. My guess is heaviest off to the west for now, but still plenty of time to work details out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 My guess is heaviest off to the west for now, but still plenty of time to work details out. Good Luck!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.