Tropopause_Fold Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 lol...79F at CHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 I def. do not know what I am doing. What I sort of do, with some of the clown maps, is take what they show and divide by three, then keep my weenie crossed. That sort of hurts ya know. And I agree when the clown maps look putrid, time to move on. We did that a lot this season. I'm surprised no one has started a post mortem on Wonter 2011-2012 yet. Still holding out on the bookend I suppose...lol I would, but I embrace challenges... and a writeup on that pathetic season would be far too easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 I def. do not know what I am doing. What I sort of do, with some of the clown maps, is take what they show and divide by three, then keep my weenie crossed. That sort of hurts ya know. And I agree when the clown maps look putrid, time to move on. We did that a lot this season. I'm surprised no one has started a post mortem on Wonter 2011-2012 yet. Still holding out on the bookend I suppose...lol It's an easy post mortem. Strong +AO in the form of an AK vortex kept the jetstream progressive and well the the north in Canada. As a result, little in the way of jet amplification to get storms going along the East Coast. Also, no arctic intrusions mean the fuel for storms (temp gradients or baroclinicity) lacked. Hence a big reason why we could not get much in the way of strong coastals or even Lake Cutters. As far as the clown maps go, you could do just fine if you looked at things like soundings or QPF. Clown maps sometimes are too bullish in borderline airmasses. Even the best snow algorithms are sometimes weenie products that don't help much. I normally don't look at them too much..just use my best judgement with the data given to me. Although, if I have a bunch of cities to worry about in the northeast, they certainly make your life a bit easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 even if we were to get a nor'easter off the coast, we would need 850s well below 0C, probably -3C or lower, before we start talking about accumulating snow. the sun angle is too high and boundary layer temps are too toasty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 no power for a week again nice.. october bomb now an april bomb its going to happen ok now time to wake up from the dream 12z back to 50 and rain EC has some snow in the extended! cheers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 even if we were to get a nor'easter off the coast, we would need 850s well below 0C, probably -3C or lower, before we start talking about accumulating snow. the sun angle is too high and boundary layer temps are too toasty... Not for Powderfreakville... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Any snow that fell would be instantly absorbed into the parched ground, no matter the temps.... wow at the dust in my yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Not for Powderfreakville... Helps when you're almost at 850mb lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Blackflies out in force while doing yard work. I love using hedge trimmers! Pretty tough to kill blackflies with those... Only the "sweat lickers" out at my place - look like slightly smaller houseflies, and a bit irritating as they crawl on my sweaty arms mopping up liquid. Was pretty hot going thru the puckerbrush on the woodlot yesterday, especially on the wet soils, where each footstep included the odd combo of crunching the dry litter followed by the sucking sound of the boots being pulled out of the mud underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 I think what will happen over the weekend is that we might have to close the windows and turn the heat back on lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 I think what will happen over the weekend is that we might have to close the windows and turn the heat back on lol Very good chance of that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 even if we were to get a nor'easter off the coast, we would need 850s well below 0C, probably -3C or lower, before we start talking about accumulating snow. the sun angle is too high and boundary layer temps are too toasty... Up my way gfs has marginally okay BL temps and -3/-4C h8s, maybe enough for some after dark accum Sat and Sun nights. (If the model verifies - a real big if.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 wow...today FTW. 75F ack, 79 mvy. ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BOSTON MOSUNNY 78 37 22 NW14G24 30.01R BEVERLY SUNNY 78 39 24 NW10G21 30.00R LAWRENCE SUNNY 77 38 24 NW12G18 30.03R BEDFORD SUNNY 77 39 25 W17G25 30.00S BLUE HILL N/A 76 41 28 NW15G23 30.02R NORWOOD SUNNY 79 38 22 NW10 30.01R MARSHFIELD SUNNY 81 48 32 NW12 30.01S PLYMOUTH SUNNY 78 49 35 VRB7 30.01R TAUNTON SUNNY 80 39 23 NW12G20 30.01R NEW BEDFORD MOSUNNY 79 43 27 MISG 30.01R $$ MAZALL-171600- CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS FALMOUTH LGT RAIN 75 50 41 NW12 30.02S HYANNIS SUNNY 77 51 40 N10 29.99S CHATHAM SUNNY 79 52 38 VRB6 30.01S PROVINCETOWN SUNNY 73 55 53 NW10 30.02R NANTUCKET SUNNY 75 54 47 NW10G18 30.01S MARTHAS VNYRD SUNNY 79 48 33 N10 30.02R pretty sure it's not raining in falmouth. otherwise...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 72/41 Pretty darned perfect. Headed to KORE in a little bit for lunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BOSTON MOSUNNY 78 37 22 NW14G24 30.01R BEVERLY SUNNY 78 39 24 NW10G21 30.00R LAWRENCE SUNNY 77 38 24 NW12G18 30.03R BEDFORD SUNNY 77 39 25 W17G25 30.00S BLUE HILL N/A 76 41 28 NW15G23 30.02R NORWOOD SUNNY 79 38 22 NW10 30.01R MARSHFIELD SUNNY 81 48 32 NW12 30.01S PLYMOUTH SUNNY 78 49 35 VRB7 30.01R TAUNTON SUNNY 80 39 23 NW12G20 30.01R NEW BEDFORD MOSUNNY 79 43 27 MISG 30.01R $$ MAZALL-171600- CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS FALMOUTH LGT RAIN 75 50 41 NW12 30.02S HYANNIS SUNNY 77 51 40 N10 29.99S CHATHAM SUNNY 79 52 38 VRB6 30.01S PROVINCETOWN SUNNY 73 55 53 NW10 30.02R NANTUCKET SUNNY 75 54 47 NW10G18 30.01S MARTHAS VNYRD SUNNY 79 48 33 N10 30.02R pretty sure it's not raining in falmouth. otherwise...wow. Just did a ten mile bike ride with the Mrs along the canal and back. You'd be hard pressed to find a better day. No wind to speak of, everything flat calm. Scusset Beach has maybe 30-40 cars in the lot...more like early June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 I think what will happen over the weekend is that we might have to close the windows and turn the heat back on lol Not likely if this thing cuts`so far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Not for Powderfreakville... Haha...we'd want 850s of -5C or -6C or lower to actually get it to snow in the low elevations of my backyard...the big hill out back though could do it with 0C. That past upslope storm was like -3C and that got the snow level down to 1500ft in heavy precipitation along with upslope cooling...so I'd want -6C to even have a chance at 1000ft and below if we aren't getting .1-.2" in the bucket each hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Just did a ten mile bike ride with the Mrs along the canal and back. You'd be hard pressed to find a better day. No wind to speak of, everything flat calm. Scusset Beach has maybe 30-40 cars in the lot...more like early June. yeah up to 79 at FMH too. headed to the beach for the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 63/31 absolutely beautiful weather for just about anything up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 Lower 80s now in ern MA. Even 78 on ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 yeah up to 79 at FMH too. headed to the beach for the afternoon. 86 in my office, like a sauna. No breeze FTL and no air conditioner ready FTL. we will likely never see anything like this again. It's just not normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 GFS is a soaker for parts of the MA into western and NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 Can't tell what Steve's fetish du jour is. Szygy Sandbags or Gravity Waves Which will it be????????????? Prom dresses? Really Ryan, I mean really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 86 in my office, like a sauna. No breeze FTL and no air conditioner ready FTL. we will likely never see anything like this again. It's just not normal. GFS thru 138 extrapolates to a soaker... details will change from run to run but overall pattern screams widespread drought busting rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 PF has not seen his last upslope event. Just sayin Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 GFS focuses precip just NW of the warm front which is climo with these systems. It then tries to bring a WCB of rain after hr q50 into central and ern areas. Definitely 2-4" easily on the GFS for western and NNE through hr 150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 GFS is a soaker for parts of the MA into western and NNE. SNE too, but not as much with broad Sly flow keeping best forcing to the west... but extrapolating, it'll soak in SNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 17, 2012 Share Posted April 17, 2012 GFS thru 138 extrapolates to a soaker... details will change from run to run but overall pattern screams widespread drought busting rains. KFS shows nothing but 90's and no rain for the next 6 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 17, 2012 Author Share Posted April 17, 2012 Tons of energy diving into this negatively tilted trough so it is not going anywhere fast. Sory brian123456 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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