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Heart of April banter and discussion.


CoastalWx

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Looks like I missed the leaf out by 1 day..Not bad..and we'll consider it a win

I'm speechless.......

Leaf out just for your house? And even then, I doubt more than 50% of the trees have full leaves.

No leaves here except on shrubs, small bushes, even those are small...

Lots of flowering though.

Your lawn looks amazing

I passed a fully-bloomed forsythia bush on my run. That was spring-looking.

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88F today...but feels really nice with the lower dewpoints.

Leaf out here though is still probably about 7-10 days away. The maples are starting to get those light green clusters on them...sme of the other trees have nothing yet though.

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88F today...but feels really nice with the lower dewpoints.

Leaf out here though is still probably about 7-10 days away. The maples are starting to get those light green clusters on them...sme of the other trees have nothing yet though.

Now that is impressive. 90 here for the high.

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What a wheel of misfortune on the euro. I suppose that is much needed, but that could dump on someone big time in the northeast.

Not sure which phrase makes me chuckle more: "wheel of misfortune" or "dry begets dry".

Was in old saybrook today for lunch then spent two hours in old Lyme at beach. Was crazy packed. Water full of people swimming. Wild.

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Hi 76 F here today on the water. Full leafout in Providence but no such thing down here on the bay. In fact, didn't hit 60F in Little Compton, RI today. Looks like at least 1 week here for full leaves. Can't believe some of the far inland highs today. I suspect tomorrow will be much warmer down here on South coast than today was.

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Hi 76 F here today on the water. Full leafout in Providence but no such thing down here on the bay. In fact, didn't hit 60F in Little Compton, RI today. Looks like at least 1 week here for full leaves. Can't believe some of the far inland highs today. I suspect tomorrow will be much warmer down here on South coast than today was.

Nice to hear all the full leaf outs today. Windsor and HFD also full leaf out today

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85.3 here for the high..That is damn impressive at 1,000 feet in mid April

Ensembles start another torch late month into early May..this time with some staying power

That means the same pattern that we've been in for months will continue which also means expect the "big rainstorm" this weekend to fizzle out if were talking about being in the exact same pattern.

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88F today...but feels really nice with the lower dewpoints.

Leaf out here though is still probably about 7-10 days away. The maples are starting to get those light green clusters on them...sme of the other trees have nothing yet though.

NCEP's "official" middle range forecast discussion:

A ROSSBY WAVE PACKET CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN RUSSIA IS EXPECTED TO

STRENGTHEN WHILE CROSSING THE PACIFIC THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE

BLOCKING PATTERN OVER CANADA DEFLECTING THE PACKET`S INFLUENCE TO

THE CONUS...WHERE SHORTWAVE TROUGH/RIDGE AMPLIFICATION IS EXPECTED

FROM FRIDAY ONWARD. ALL MODELS WITH THE ACCEPTION OF THE KEVIN AGREE

ON THE LARGER-SCALE DETAILS THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD BY FORMING

LARGE TROUGHS NEAR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI

RIVER BY NEXT SUN/MON WITH A LARGE RIDGE BETWEEN...BUT SHOW INCREASING

SOLUTION SPREAD AND UNCERTAINTY FROM DAY 5 ONWARD. THIS IS PARTICULARLY

TRUE IN THE EAST WITH THE PERSISTENT UPPER CYCLONE NORTH OF HUDSON

BAY ADDING ANOTHER ELEMENT OF UNCERTAINTY TO THE PATTERN`S

EVOLUTION...AND LESSER SO IN THE WEST DUE TO WEAKER NORTHERN

STREAM INTERACTION. REGARDING SPECIFIC MODEL PREFERENCES...A

NEARLY EQUAL BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/PARALLEL GFS/ECMWF WHILE COMPLETELY

DISREGARDING THE KEVIN APPEARS MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO CAPTURE THE

ANTICIPATED SOLUTION ENVELOPE ACROSS THE WEST FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD.

IN THE CENTRAL AND EAST HOWEVER...THE ECMWF LIES NEAR THE NORTHERN

EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE WITH LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE PLAINS/MIDWEST

DAYS 3/4...AND THUS WAS ABANDONED IN FAVOR OF A 00Z GFS SOLUTION...BEFORE

BECOMING EQUALLY PLAUSIBLE TO THE GFS/PARALLEL GFS SOLUTION FROM DAY 5

ONWARD. THE 12Z GFS HAS BECOME NOTICEABLY DEEPER ACROSS THE

SOUTHEAST BY DAYS 5-6 BUT HAS GOOD CONTINUITY ELSEWHERE. GIVEN

THAT EARLIER PREFERENCES ALREADY INCORPORATED ABOUT ONE HALF OF

ITS STRENGTH AND THAT NO OTHER 12Z SOLUTION IS AS DEEP...THIS

INTERMEDIATE PREFERENCE WILL REMAIN PREFERRED UNTIL SUFFICIENT

EVIDENCE SUGGESTS OTHERWISE. THIS APPROACH SUPPORTS WET CONDITIONS

ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS

THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD...WHILE POTENTIALLY

RAINY AND WINDY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE EAST

COAST NEXT WEEKEND FOR EVERYONE BUT MAGICALLY NOT MT TOLLAND CT.

JAMES

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As close by as southern James Bay was in the the low 20s today. It's amazing to think that it's been like that since last October really... Seems next to impossible to transport meaningful cold into here. Couple days early in March... otherwise, that's it.

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