CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 But but but but but how do you have high dews if dry begets dry? I thought soils are like the Mojave Desert all the way to the Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Low 60' dews in April are muggy as hell. With the drought this summer..we won't be seeing many days with dews over 65. Most won't find low 60s humid unless you're standing on Mount Tolland whipping around a sling psychrometer to get excited for high dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Most won't find low 60s humid unless you're standing on Mount Tolland whipping around a sling psychrometer to get excited for high dues. LOL..that had me laughing out loud at my desk.. Good stuff. In April anyone that has a pulse would find a 62-64 dewpoint ball sweaty and azz sticking to couch worthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 Low 60' dews in April are muggy as hell. With the drought this summer..we won't be seeing many days with dews over 65. LOL, that means nothing. Do you know how many days we've had in 2010 that had dews in the 70s with soils parched? You have to look at the airmass of the source region. The Gulf is opened up and you'll have plenty of evapotranspiration from trees off to the sw. How does Dubai have like 85F TDs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 Most won't find low 60s humid unless you're standing on Mount Tolland whipping around a sling psychrometer to get excited for high dues. LOL, just had a visual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 LOL, that means nothing. Do you know how many days we've had in 2010 that had dews in the 70s with soils parched? You have to look at the airmass of the source region. The Gulf is opened up and you'll have plenty of evapotranspiration from trees off to the sw. How does Dubai have like 85F TDs? Good point...now that the trees are leafed out..we can add some moisture back into the lower levels.. Thanks for clarifying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 Good point...now that the trees are leafed out..we can add some moisture back into the lower levels.. Thanks for clarifying I'm referring to the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 It would really be something if the closed low cuts off so far west we get little rain. It's definitely a possibility though right now there's a decent consensus for big rains here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 It would really be something if the closed low cuts off so far west we get little rain. It's definitely a possibility though right now there's a decent consensus for big rains here. I could see it shifting west and dumping on NY state and then maybe giving us leftover rains as it wobbles east. That's sort of what the euro showed, but still dumped a lot of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 It would really be something if the closed low cuts off so far west we get little rain. It's definitely a possibility though right now there's a decent consensus for big rains here. It's the scenario I think is most likely as of now. For once I hope I'm wrong..because my lawn is scremaing for some water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 yeah it was 58F here when i got up 52F for the low here. Tonight won't get below 60 though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 It's the scenario I think is most likely as of now. For once I hope I'm wrong..because my lawn is scremaing for some water How is your lawn that green with no water...and you said you haven't watered it yet. Is LESCO just spray paint? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 It's the scenario I think is most likely as of now. For once I hope I'm wrong..because my lawn is scremaing for some water I don't think that it's the most likely scenario but it's certainly possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 I don't think that it's the most likely scenario but it's certainly possible. Well you know his deal..any solution that gives the least rain is the most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 Looks like any debris clouds are vaporizing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Looks like any debris clouds are vaporizing now. It's been mostly clear up here since sunrise barring a few high clouds. Already into the 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 How is your lawn that green with no water...and you said you haven't watered it yet. Is LESCO just spray paint? I put down the straight fert application during the hot streak in March and then we had 2 light rain events and that 2 inches of snow that melted..all added up to like .50 lol..but it was just enough to wash it in. But rest assured it is f'ng dry and it won't be long till it starts burning if I don't fire up the sprinklers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Well you know his deal..any solution that gives the least rain is the most likely. Given the current pattern, persistence, and the fact that cut offs tend to happen farther sw this time of year leads this weenie to believe it is the most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 It's been mostly clear up here since sunrise barring a few high clouds. Already into the 70s. Really? 64F here...but probably going to skyrocket in the next hour of 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 Given the current pattern, persistence, and the fact that cut offs tend to happen farther sw this time of year leads this weenie to believe it is the most likely If anything the current pattern doesn't argue for cutoffs, but the pattern amplifies later this week. If the low parked to the sw, it wouldn't be a product of this pattern per se...that happens all the time regardless of any pattern. Eventually the low would have to wobble east and that's when we would get rains..if it were to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Most areas didn't. I hit 78 yesterday and the clouds probably knocked a degree or two off. I hit 70.4 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 There are two ways to get heavy rain with these lows. One is jsut good old fashioned frontogenesis where warm air is forced up over the colder air just west of the front. This usually leads to a more narrow area of heavy rainh just west and nw of the front. The other is when the ULL starts to mature and you get a trowal or tongue of moist air wrapping in off the water. In that case, moisture is forced upward via isentropic lift and it's more of a warm conveyor belt type deal. The heavy rains from part two are usually because the low is stalled and periods of mdt rain dump for a prolonged period of time. If part 2 were to come quickly through, you ain't getting much in the way of rain. We'll have to see how all this evolved as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Well you know his deal..any solution that gives the least rain is the most likely. persistence forecasting this year FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Gimme some trowal tongue....this weather sucks. I tossed up a nice, hanging curve for Kev with this quote lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Question for everyone...I know almost all Mass kids are off this week, what about the other states? Today is going to be hot down here, wind not playing much of a role yet, just hit 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Kids are off here this week. This marks the last year of both Feb and Apr vacays--district has opted to do away with Feb vacation, instead making it a 3 day weekend and letting everyone out 4 days earlier in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 70/58 here. Steamy. And messenger most ct kids had last week off I think.at least out in the eastern part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 70/58 here. Steamy. And messenger most ct kids had last week off I think. Most are off this week. Tolland and Ashford where my wife teaches are on vaca this week. Feb vaca was cancelled due to the October snowstorm..and next year they will only have 1 vaca in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Most are off this week. Tolland and Ashford where my wife teaches are on vaca this week. Feb vaca was cancelled due to the October snowstorm..and next year they will only have 1 vaca in April. Southern ct was off last week arleast around my area. We didn't get killed by the snowstorm that's probably why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Question for everyone...I know almost all Mass kids are off this week, what about the other states? Today is going to be hot down here, wind not playing much of a role yet, just hit 74 My grandkids in CT are all off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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