CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 I see all models are signalling the SOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 BOS should break the record, but what's BDL? What's BOS? BDL is 90. I think 88 there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 I see all models are signalling the SOS. The spotlight has taken the form of a closed low over the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 What's BOS? BDL is 90. I think 88 there. BOS is only 84. Probably 88 or so here I think. Maybe 89 if clouds clear. If the wind were like 230 or better it could be 90, but not sure of that much of a westerly wind. Looks like classic low elevation nrn MA and srn NH torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 The spotlight has taken the form of a closed low over the Apps. There is actually good agreement on something in the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 That would be a nice location for a cutoff this time of year on the euro...Right over the OH valley and SE. We stay is the southerly flow and get poured on...too bad it's so far out. 2-4"+ this run for everyone. Maybe we can salvage a nice weekend next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 BOS is only 84. Probably 88 or so here I think. Maybe 89 if clouds clear. If the wind were like 230 or better it could be 90, but not sure of that much of a westerly wind. Looks like classic low elevation nrn MA and srn NH torch. NAM is awfully southerly with winds... more so than they appeared to be yesterday. Looks like a Rt 2 to Merrimack River torch. Sea breeze gets the SW synoptic flow assist so even BDL feels it by 20z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 That would be a nice location for a cutoff this time of year on th euro...Right over the OH valley and SE. We stay is the southerly flow and get poured on...too bad it's so far out. 2-4"+ this run for everyone. Maybe we can salvage a nice weekend next week. I could see the whole thing slowing down. Saturday may wind up OK as rain holds off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Managed to get my first measurable of the month last night--picked up .02". In spite of the dryness, everything's still green since there hasn't been any heat to scorch it. But the growth of the lawn has been zilch. Yours is looking good, Kevin. Guessing today might be a no-shawl day, (though you never know what breeze might kick in). Off to a mild start, 55.9/55. To the leaf piece, I think we're right on track for leaf-out by May 1. I think Kevin had intended to type "5/1" and fat-fingered "4/1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 NAM is awfully southerly with winds... more so than they appeared to be yesterday. Looks like a Rt 2 to Merrimack River torch. Sea breeze gets the SW synoptic flow assist so even BDL feels it by 20z. Yeah looks like a 210 or so direction overall. If winds aren't strong through like 2-3pm..could torch real quick and then maybe after 3 temps level off and then cool as sw winds get gusty. At least for BDL and probably BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Yeah looks like a 210 or so direction overall. If winds aren't strong through like 2-3pm..could torch real quick and then maybe after 3 temps level off and then cool as sw winds get gusty. At least for BDL and probably BOS. Yeah no doubt it will be warm. If we got winds westerly like >250 we'd probably get a degree assist from no sea breeze and a 1-2F assist from downsloping. There's your 90 or 91. I'm surprised Kevin hasn't locked in upper 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Can someone post the SOS spotlight? I can't find it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Got some rain overnight. We could really use a good snowfall to alleviate the dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Got some rain overnight. We could really use a good snowfall to alleviate the dry conditions. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 That cutoff storm is highly suspect. How many times have we seen some big rain event modelled the last2-3 mths..and it hasn't happened. I will admit it does look like we might see"Some" rain..but I would bet somene a 12 pack all 4 SNE clmio stations don't all see an inch from that. The fact that it's now pushed back to Monday on the Euro should raise some eyebrows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 That cutoff storm is highly suspect. How many times have we seen some big rain event modelled the last2-3 mths..and it hasn't happened. I will admit it does look like we might see"Some" rain..but I would bet somene a 12 pack all 4 SNE clmio stations don't all see an inch from that. The fact that it's now pushed back to Monday on the Euro should raise some eyebrows There are 5 climo stations in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Hamster in my fanny. Feels Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 There are 5 climo stations in SNE. As we've discussed BDR counts as NYC..We're talking about the 4 major SNE ones..not a NYC locale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 As we've discussed BDR counts as NYC..We're talking about the 4 major SNE ones..not a NYC locale That is so ridiculous. I don't know why you are married to whatever BOX says or whatever is in their forecast area. You're obsessed with their AFDs and first order climate sites. There are absolutely 5 climo sites in SNE. BDR's climate is more representative of coastal CT and even parts of of southern RI than BDL or BOS or ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 As we've discussed BDR counts as NYC..We're talking about the 4 major SNE ones..not a NYC locale You stated a couple of weeks ago that all 4 climo stations would have less then an additional inch of rain for the month. Still think so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 You stated a couple of weeks ago that all 4 climo stations would have less then an additional inch of rain for the month. Still think so? Yes..the rain in 7 days is certainly not locked. I could see much of it staying south of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 For D6-D7 the storm looks pretty good as modeled for a big rain event. All the signs are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 As we've discussed BDR counts as NYC..We're talking about the 4 major SNE ones..not a NYC locale You should say "BOX's climo stations" then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 For D6-D7 the storm looks pretty good as modeled for a big rain event. All the signs are there. Yeah looks decent for somewhere in the northeast at least. Better than how things looked for this week, one week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 You should say "BOX's climo stations" then. Yeah it's a stupid argument. If they put a climo station on ACK it wouldn't be representative of most of SNE but it certainly would be considered a SNE climo station. Connecticut is absolutely New England regardless of what forecast area it's in. Kevin has an unhealthy obsession with BOX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16, 2012 Author Share Posted April 16, 2012 It's possible the storm could cutoff to our west and we are just left with srly flow and not too much rain. Would like the storm further south and moisture thrown over the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Really socked in with the fog this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Yeah looks decent for somewhere in the northeast at least. Better than how things looked for this week, one week ago. Yeah obviously at D6 you can't really make a QPF forecast with much skill but I'd say signs are definitely pointing toward a sig rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 For D6-D7 the storm looks pretty good as modeled for a big rain event. All the signs are there. I don't agree with that at all. There are plenty of signs this stays toio far SW and we're left with south flow, breaks of sun and scattered showers..in fact that's a 50/50 shot right now..Each run the thing keeps cutting off farther SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16, 2012 Share Posted April 16, 2012 Yeah it's a stupid argument. If they put a climo station on ACK it wouldn't be representative of most of SNE but it certainly would be considered a SNE climo station. Connecticut is absolutely New England regardless of what forecast area it's in. Kevin has an unhealthy obsession with BOX. Noone considers BDR SNE..even the posters down there in FF Cty..feel like they are in NYC climate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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