Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 models and ensembles look good for a rain storm next weekend. Guess it's possible the southern stream remains separate and doesn't phase but at least right now some good model consistency. Yep. ... Looks very MJO derivative, too. Enjoy this summery interlude because it may yet turn raw and nasty. And, if that thing next weekend should close off and slip under LI, eh.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Yep. ... Looks very MJO derivative, too. Enjoy this summery interlude because it may yet turn raw and nasty. And, if that thing next weekend should close off and slip under LI, eh.. Don't worry...CTBlizz said give up on the cut offs and rain. Not happening so cheer up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 First mowing of the year complete. Earliest on record by 3 weeks. Pics coming later. No sign of rain the rest of the month.. HPC agrees THE FLOW PATTERN ACROSS CANADA DOES NOT LOOK AMPLIFIED ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE OPERATIONAL 00Z ECMWF SOLUTION. IN ORDER TO DEAL WITH THE UNCERTAINTY...USED A 40/30/30 BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS PARALLEL/00Z GFS/00Z ECMWF FOR THIS WEEKEND. THIS SOLUTION KEPT REASONABLE CONTINUITY... THOUGH IT LED TO A MORE SOUTHERLY LOW TRACK ACROSS THE EAST/OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 How is that possible? We are almost fully leafed out here in NYC. I don't know what he's looking because I drive thru HFD a few times per week and work in the valley and more than half the trees have leafed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 First mowing of the year complete. Earliest on record by 3 weeks. Pics coming later. No sign of rain the rest of the month.. HPC agrees THE FLOW PATTERN ACROSS CANADA DOES NOT LOOK AMPLIFIED ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE OPERATIONAL 00Z ECMWF SOLUTION. IN ORDER TO DEAL WITH THE UNCERTAINTY...USED A 40/30/30 BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS PARALLEL/00Z GFS/00Z ECMWF FOR THIS WEEKEND. THIS SOLUTION KEPT REASONABLE CONTINUITY... THOUGH IT LED TO A MORE SOUTHERLY LOW TRACK ACROSS THE EAST/OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY MORNING. First? My guy has come 3 times already, starting on 3/30. (yeah yeah yeah, I know we are tropical down here...lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 First mowing of the year complete. Earliest on record by 3 weeks. Pics coming later. No sign of rain the rest of the month.. HPC agrees THE FLOW PATTERN ACROSS CANADA DOES NOT LOOK AMPLIFIED ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE OPERATIONAL 00Z ECMWF SOLUTION. IN ORDER TO DEAL WITH THE UNCERTAINTY...USED A 40/30/30 BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS PARALLEL/00Z GFS/00Z ECMWF FOR THIS WEEKEND. THIS SOLUTION KEPT REASONABLE CONTINUITY... THOUGH IT LED TO A MORE SOUTHERLY LOW TRACK ACROSS THE EAST/OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY MORNING. Your reading comprehension skills appear a bit selective in this case. They didn't say no rain anywhere in there. Aside from the fact, you would not find a meteorologist on this board or anywhere for that matter, that would think we are not heading into a period of amplitude along the EC; any such amplitude carries chances for meaningful rain. Here's today's middle range discussion if anyone is interested... A RELATIVELY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE LOWER 48 TRANSITIONS IN MOST GUIDANCE TO A MORE AMPLIFIED FLOW PATTERN BY NEXT WEEKEND AS MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING JUST OFF THE WEST COAST DIGS SOUTHWARD...AMPLIFYING RIDGING OVER W-CENTRAL US AND A DOWNSTREAM TROUGH TO THE ERN US. WHILE NOT DEPICTED IN PROGS DUE TO LOUSY DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY...THERE REMAINS SOME POSSIBILITY EITHER TROUGH COULD EVEN DEVELOP A CLOSED LOW NEAR OR SOUTH OF 40N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Huge differences in the foliage driving from taunton to philly. Basically no leaves at home. Swct had some foliage. Philly is full foliage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Appears the 12z Euro want to zip a low up well enough west to warm sector, but then lingers backside additional S/W dynamics for possible coastal there after. NCEP mentioned the CMC was not as amplified as the GFS - I only say that's the case for the time intervals. The CMC's extrapolation beyond it's end frames still argues for coastal development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 I don't know what he's looking because I drive thru HFD a few times per week and work in the valley and more than half the trees have leafed out. Look at the DOT traffic cams. I just looked at a few along I-91 from Rocky Hill up through Windsor and I-84 in the Hartford area. Not even close to full or even halfway leafed out. Lots of bare trees, many without even the green glow of pre-leaf out that all of the trees here have. We'll have another good growth spurt with the warmth this week, so we'll see how things progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Huge differences in the foliage driving from taunton to philly. Basically no leaves at home. Swct had some foliage. Philly is full foliage. Ummm...all of SNE is fully leafed out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Also, foliage just beginnng to break out on the Palisades Interstate Pkwy, in Bergen County, NJ, between the GW Bridge and the NYS state line, just 5 to 12 miles NNW of midtown Manhattan and about several hundred feet asl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2012 Author Share Posted April 15, 2012 Kevin is surrounded by a sea of facts as he drifts along in his boat of imagination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 No leafage here in the highlands of WMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Appears the 12z Euro want to zip a low up well enough west to warm sector, but then lingers backside additional S/W dynamics for possible coastal there after. NCEP mentioned the CMC was not as amplified as the GFS - I only say that's the case for the time intervals. The CMC's extrapolation beyond it's end frames still argues for coastal development. Coastals are a myth...they never happen anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2012 Author Share Posted April 15, 2012 I'll have to look for myself but the euro can overdo coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Forsythia have just opened here at 1100 feet in Central NH. Flowering trees and norway maples opened in Concord NH. 80-90F the next 2 days will shift leaf out north 50 miles I bet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 I'll have to look for myself but the euro can overdo coastals. Do you ever remember a stretch of 5 and a half months wth no coastals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2012 Author Share Posted April 15, 2012 Do you ever remember a stretch of 5 and a half months wth no coastals? No. This has been the most uneventful stretch of weather that I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 A pair of 7's on the Davis before the cloud deck moved in. The early sun boosted temps a bit more than forecast. Nice day outside with the family. Oaks now have tiny leaves on them, most trees still buds only-forsythia probably on their last few days here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Bringing my son and his friends to the water park in KFIT. Last time we went in February and had to bring a change of Wonter clothes Not so much today. 71.1F. Radar looks like a few sprinkles possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 This boring/rainless stretch should come to and end soon I would think. We are finally starting to see more in the way of deep troughs move through the country. Eventually one of these troughs have to remain in tact and give us something decent...maybe that will happen next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Heavy heavy drought cancel next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Ah ha - Kevin's about to get wet in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 If you didn't know any better you might mistake this for the Masters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 I mowed my new lawn for the first time today. Need to patch some areas up with seed. Have a depressed area (looks like they did work on a nat gas line or sewer line underneath) and it's a bit depressed... that needs to be taken care of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 2 weeks ago we were sledding here..today mowing and full on summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Kids enjoying the lawn and wx today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 I mowed my new lawn for the first time today. Need to patch some areas up with seed. Have a depressed area (looks like they did work on a nat gas line or sewer line underneath) and it's a bit depressed... that needs to be taken care of. Where did you move? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 How many trees is your Davis under? No wonder dry begets dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 How many trees is your Davis under? No wonder dry begets dry. None..There's no trees anywhere near it. Those trees are on the other side of that flowerbed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.