Eskimo Joe Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 Looks like another round of storms developing to the south in MD and DE will try and effect the Philadelphia metro area this evening a few things due stand out that make me think perhaps an isolated strong cell can not be ruled out. 1. Low level laps rates are still some what decent not the best in the world but will get the job done. 2. We still have a fair amount of instability around due to the return of sun shine for most that had the MCS this afternoon. In some places temps have risen back to near 80 degrees. 3. we still have a strong vortext/ shortwave near by enhancing storms. Best chance for storms to return would be between 6 and 9pm after 9pm convection should slowly die down as the atmosphere slowly stabilizes however elevated instability may persist into the night. I give you credit for the analysis, but I disagree because: 1.) Once the sun sets we lose the low level lapse rates and surface based instability and therefore any server threat. 2.) The departing vort max puts the Delaware Valley in a region of Negative Vorticity Advection (NVA). The NVA is evident across the eastern Susquehanna Valley on the third image you posted. NVA enables sinking air and is a hindrance to storms. 3.) Finally any activity in Maryland is based off the bay breeze from the Chesapeake and is more of a local phenomena. With that said I would not be surprised to see a few good elevated storms form between now and midnight. Still could pack a heck of a light show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 Parents had 0.59" in the tipping bucket, 0.65" in the manual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 ^^^ got an area directly above me in SE pa/delco tryin to get going. Doubtful it amounts to anything much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 ^^^ got an area directly above me in SE pa/delco tryin to get going. Doubtful it amounts to anything much. I am sorta keeping an eye on it, i doubt it doing anything really. But if it does form I will go after it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 ^^^ got an area directly above me in SE pa/delco tryin to get going. Doubtful it amounts to anything much. yea i saw the building cumulus to the sw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 ^^^ got an area directly above me in SE pa/delco tryin to get going. Doubtful it amounts to anything much. I can see from my deck new development occurring towards center city and west Philly. should be interesting to see if we can get something form out of of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 24, 2012 Share Posted May 24, 2012 Missed the storms today, but got this as a consolation prize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Buddy snapped these 2 pics from fort Dix: Lightning strike! Sent from my iPad HD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Allentown has been the bullseye for rain the last 2 days, and based on the radar it looks like we're about to get even more in a little less than an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Buddy snapped these 2 pics from fort Dix: Lightning strike! Sent from my iPad HD Strike blends in with the scenery, that place is a ****hole. Shipped to Iraq via Dix, which could have something to do with the animosity I hold towards it. Cool pics though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 here is the pic i promised of the tree that snapped in half and took down the wires. Also found out more good size branches in the cemetary about a .25 mile from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Tried to chase the storms which came through Hunterdon County earlier and didn't experience much but I did get a couple nice pictures of the ominous-looking storm clouds: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Just for the record, I think calling what happened today an MCS is a bit of an exaggeration. It was a multicellular storm at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Just for the record, I think calling what happened today an MCS is a bit of an exaggeration. It was a multicellular storm at best. I agree as yesterdays storms were a small cluster of convection that expanded some as it moved northwestward. It looks like it took advantage of the water loading within the downdrafts, which helped produce the locally strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Are you aware your phone number is up on wxtap? Is it? For my spotter network icon? I gotta change that. Dammit, I missed this. It would have been Prank Call City, USA yesterday, you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Not that bad of a sounding, minus the lack of wind shear. Too bad we don't have a stronger lifting mechanism closer. Sent from my iPad HD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 spooky dark clouds to the SSW... stalkin' out Tony's tomato plants no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Showers and storms beginning to pop over Burlington and Camden counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Convection is struggling more today compared to yesterday due to less of a trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 It's gotten dark here again... but no thunder yet. boooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Whoever wanted this weather, I hate you. 81/72. Finished up cutting my grass from yesterday and thought I was gonna die, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fsu_wxgirl Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 I thought I left this down in Florida...walking the dog at 5:30 at 65/60 is not what I consider nice spring like conditions. Pooey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 A decent shower making a bee line right for my house and it has nearly dissipated now. Figures! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 A decent shower making a bee line right for my house and it has nearly dissipated now. Figures! i like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 A decent shower making a bee line right for my house and it has nearly dissipated now. Figures! A new one just formed in it's place, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 i like that I blame Lee for this humidity, with his 7am bust calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 NWS issued a short term statement alluding to the possibility of storms over SEPA, DE, and SNJ this afternoon. I'd like that but want to get home and cut my grass first....give me until 5! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 901 AM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-261315- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING- SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND- ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 901 AM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ERUPT LATER TODAY...SOME COULD CAUSE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 A new one just formed in it's place, lol. Yeah, and that one also dissipated before it got to my house. It is like it knew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Yeah, and that one also dissipated before it got to my house. It is like it knew. Didn't it just rain... yesterday? How much more do you want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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