NaoPos Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 I was strictly speaking thunderstorms with severe potential. I should have clarified. With high pwats, def a heavier rain threat. Although, if anything pops by 6, could have a rumble of thunder or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Partly sunny and near 80.......not too bad of an afternoon here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 this is looking northeast earlier in the evening around 8:10 at what i believe is the t storm north of trenton. You can see the anvil on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Took this one last night along 309 south of Tamaqua. At the time it looked like it might develop into something over or just southeast of the Lehigh Valley. I was at work at the time so I don't know if it did or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Today we have the sun to help us out, maybe today we can score a thunderstorm or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 With more sun out today it could get rather interesting for slow moving non severe storms producing heavy rain fall. sb cape Instability has got to 500-1000 and could get up to 1500 in some spots providing convection does not develop faster. Already at 10am the first few cells are popping west of Allentown and it looks like there will be more as clouds are already building up.. Also the HRRR and spc 4km hit west and northwest of I95 pretty good this afternoon. we shall see how that goes here is the link to the spc 4km wrf. http://www.emc.ncep....animate_1h.html And now here are the spc wrf rain fall total remember only use this map as a reminder that storms today will produce heavy rain fall amounts not everyone will; see the high amounts it has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted May 23, 2012 Author Share Posted May 23, 2012 Not looking forward to the humid days ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fsu_wxgirl Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Looks like some showers starting to develop to our west...not moving much but maybe its a good sign for thunderstorms later this afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 hmm... to make the trip up to Berks Co tonight for the races or not...? Looks like that area is pretty favorable for storms today. And yeah, not moving much at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 yea north and west of 95 looks good today for storm...probably will be some south of i95 but isolated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 yea north and west of 95 looks good today for storm...probably will be some south of i95 but isolated based on CAPE alone, or other factors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 based on CAPE alone, or other factors? Well mid level lapse rates , strong forcing and shear are missing. What we do have is solid 1000-1500 cape, 8-8.5 low level lapse rates and lift index of roughly -3 per meso analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 based on CAPE alone, or other factors? i think up that way there are remnants of the cool front. radar really kicking off up that way. precip is broadening but not moving much. it's getting warm down here... 80s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Storms tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted May 23, 2012 Author Share Posted May 23, 2012 stuck storms on radar = flooding concerns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 I can see a good many flood warning statements coming with these crawling storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Yeah, I think I'm much more concerned with flooding than severe storms today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 ULL cut off low down south is now starting to move more north we shall see if it enhances storms at all. a few cells now popping just east of Philly in New jersey. There are some smaller thunderheads going up here in the city with dark sky's just east of me so we shall see if this triggers more cells to pop. Main concern today remains flash flooding. http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 So far, there is nearly a complete shield protecting Philadelphia, Delaware, Chester, Bucks & Montgomery Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 I'm going to be pissed if that good rain just sits and rots west of here all day and night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Given the forecast over the next few days, I'm fine with the rain missing me. I already noticed the first mushrooms of the season sprouting in my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Given the forecast over the next few days, I'm fine with the rain missing me. I already noticed the first mushrooms of the season sprouting in my backyard. Same here. Currently 83 with a fair amount of sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Looks like a cell has formed near West Chester and another is popping up near the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 based on CAPE alone, or other factors? Like bri mentioned all the parameters are the same as out there. So i think its 2 reasons why its having problems around the philly area and SE. If you look at the satellite shot stormspotter posted the flow around the ULL is bring a wind off the ocean, which could be to a degree putting a lid on some of the convection making the atmosphere a little more stable. Also, on the spc surface graphics their appears to be some sort of wind shift line just west of the abe to lns line where the winds start to veer and that could be triggering. That is just my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Got some hail out this way, sorry no pics yet, try to post if I get any. Looks like a pretty good cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Got some hail out this way, sorry no pics yet, try to post if I get any. Looks like a pretty good cell. Sweet! The way this system is moving, might catch some of it at my house. I'll have to keep an eye on my PWS data. So far, we've only gotten 0.04" of rain today, but temps have dropped dramatically in the past hour. Unfortunately, I'm stuck at work in a windowless room, away from all the action. Second shift sucks for severe weather enthusiasts in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Thunderstorm currently occurring here. The rain isn't extremely heavy but there's lots of close lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 A few cells over SE Mont. Co. heading my way. I snapped some pics. of them about an hour ago when they were just some tower Cu. Hope to post them later. Thunder getting louder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 Wow, plenty of lightning & thunder to my southeast. Odd seing a storm approach me from that direction, though the worst looks to stay east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 23, 2012 Share Posted May 23, 2012 I am jackpotted under that little tiny cell in northern New Castle county. Tons of rain and some decent close thunder. Sweet. No watering for me the rest of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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