winterwarlock Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 12z euro is going 1.5-2.5 of rain this week. keeps it unsettled right through saturday. Mt Hollys disco seems less bullish on rains tomorrow and seems optimistic for Memorial day weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 The 18z High resloution nam is now in the bullish range like the euro with pretty decent amounts though its 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Squally, rainy, blah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Squally, rainy, blah... Wait until that big blob SE of us offshore gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 interesting feature just north of Moorestown. Looks like a mesocyclone on BR, but no corresponding BV feature. It's been on 2 frames in a row so far. Only really showing up on TPHL. Here's the 0520 and 0526 scans: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 1.05" of rain and stil hvy here in Monmouth. Very loud thunder woke me at about 4am, with torrential rains, and vivid flashes. Pretty nice event so far for here. Looks like another blob of rain SE of ACY may try to propagate up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 .01" here thus far. You Jersey folks can have all that rain, including the stuff incoming from the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Up to 0.87" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 The 1.5-2.5 inches of Euro rain is becoming Grothar-like here in Delaware - the sun is trying to come out in Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 It's been a cloudy and releatively cool day...a little bit of light rain before 8 AM, but nothing since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 The 1.5-2.5 inches of Euro rain is becoming Grothar-like here in Delaware - the sun is trying to come out in Newark. its not 1.5-2.5 today thats spread out from last night till sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Looks to me like subsidence which has limited/ prevented any heavier rain for mos of our area today is now diminishing and should result in more shower activity this evening through tonight. We shall see if the weak band to the east develops now. By the way a misty type rain has now developed here in Northeast Philadelphia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 12z euro is showing 90 degree heat just for next tuesday, it is also du,ping from now till next wed 1.5-2.5 of rain...with the 2-2.5 frpm del river west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Up to 1.37" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted May 21, 2012 Author Share Posted May 21, 2012 .30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Must note it is very worth watching the banding setting up to our east with subsidence relaxed we could be in for a nice treat over night it is all about radar trends right now not the models for this IMO the more north you are the more rain you will see but even Philly could get in on this. Time will tell but radar is organizing rather nicely. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=dix&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Must note it is very worth watching the banding setting up to our east with subsidence relaxed we could be in for a nice treat over night it is all about radar trends right now not the models for this IMO the more north you are the more rain you will see but even Philly could get in on this. Time will tell but radar is organizing rather nicely. http://radar.weather...id=dix&loop=yes i would say the same area hit this morning central and northern nj into nyc look to get hit good again. The subsidence is killing that band off the coast further south. The RAP, shows this pretty well and brings another inch of around to those areas this evening into overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 up to .25 right now for the day, just tacked on .05 with a little 25dbz shower. its raining easily moderately right now. High pwats ftw... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 wed and thursday timeframe look to be the days for slow moving drenching t storms around the region. Not every place will get hit but where a storm pops up it will not move all that quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 1.05" of rain and stil hvy here in Monmouth. Very loud thunder woke me at about 4am, with torrential rains, and vivid flashes. Pretty nice event so far for here. Looks like another blob of rain SE of ACY may try to propagate up here That band and later in the morning nailed Asbury Park...where I was working outside loading out the Bamboozle music festival...brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Wound up with a total of 1.53" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 wed and thursday timeframe look to be the days for slow moving drenching t storms around the region. Not every place will get hit but where a storm pops up it will not move all that quickly. Yep...*if* we get a long enough break and some brightening around midday we could see a few thunderstorms this afternoon as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 .23" for yesterday in NW Chesco. .04" of drizzle since midnight so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 0z euro through sunday drop 1-1.25 over the area. Then another 1-2 inches in the monday to wednesday period. definitely could see svr weather in that timeframe. Big time battlezone over the area with cool over northeast and being on the northern fringe of that heat bubble over the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Sun poking through a bit, maybe some action later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fsu_wxgirl Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 I see blue skies!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Sun poking through a bit, maybe some action later? meh..lapse rates are minimal, shear non existent, I wouldn't get too excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 meh..lapse rates are minimal, shear non existent, I wouldn't get too excited. Storms are popping in western pa without any shear either. But the low level lapse rates are a good bit higher out there so that may be the driving force. svr storms not gonna happen, but as the day progresses into evening wouldn't be surprised if some storms pop. A lot of the guidance has something coming towards philly late this evening. Not saying this will be right, by here is the 18z ruc for later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 lotsa sun here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 meh..lapse rates are minimal, shear non existent, I wouldn't get too excited. It is more so a heavy rainfall threat with storms today and tomorrow due to the slow movement and high moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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